← All seasonality|Forex metals1999–2025

Spot gold (XAUUSD) Seasonality

Over 1999 to 2025 (27 years of data), XAUUSD has tended to move long between 27.07 and 06.09, closing higher in 77.8% of those years for an average +2.55% move and an annualized Sharpe of 1.51.

Average seasonal curve

XAUUSD average seasonal curve, 1999 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.2601
3	100.3926
4	100.4337
5	100.3267
6	100.4837
7	100.3652
8	100.4392
9	100.6251
10	100.9822
11	101.1325
12	101.1856
13	101.2172
14	100.9927
15	100.983
16	101.1962
17	101.1629
18	101.1418
19	101.4137
20	101.5511
21	101.4164
22	101.5934
23	101.994
24	102.091
25	102.2232
26	102.153
27	102.0276
28	101.9317
29	101.9373
30	102.3253
31	102.4222
32	102.6627
33	102.3692
34	102.2945
35	102.5309
36	102.5803
37	102.5517
38	102.488
39	102.7082
40	102.9353
41	103.0793
42	103.2433
43	103.1183
44	103.0499
45	103.1886
46	102.8423
47	103.0289
48	103.1426
49	103.3376
50	103.5184
51	103.4062
52	103.684

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
27.07 → 06.09	Long	77.8%	+2.55%	1.51	27
27.07 → 05.09	Long	77.8%	+2.54%	1.52	27
26.07 → 06.09	Long	77.8%	+2.53%	1.46	27
26.07 → 05.09	Long	77.8%	+2.52%	1.46	27
25.07 → 06.09	Long	77.8%	+2.49%	1.46	27
27.07 → 03.09	Long	77.8%	+2.49%	1.53	27
25.07 → 05.09	Long	77.8%

Explore further

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