

Forex metals
Over 1977 to 2025 (49 years of data), XAGSEK has tended to move short between 09.10 and 25.10, closing higher in 73.7% of those years for an average +2.10% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.83.
Best window
09.10 - 25.10
Direction
Short
Win rate
73.7%
Avg return
+2.10%
Sample
38 yrs
| Window | Dir | Win rate | Avg return | Sharpe | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10 → 25.10 | Short | 73.7% | +2.10% | 0.83 | 38 |
| 09.10 → 24.10 | Short | 73.7% | +1.43% | 0.61 | 38 |
| 11.10 → 24.10 | Short | 70.3% |
| Index | Value |
|---|---|
| 1 | 100 |
| 2 | 100.0007 |
| 3 | 99.8118 |
| 4 | 99.9576 |
| 5 | 100.0467 |
| 6 | 100.7115 |
| 7 | 100.8439 |
| 8 | 100.4701 |
| 9 | 100.3523 |
| 10 | 100.5311 |
| 11 | 100.4312 |
| 12 | 100.1799 |
| 13 | 100.0753 |
| 14 | 100.2418 |
| 15 | 100.3136 |
| 16 | 100.46 |
| 17 | 100.5582 |
| 18 | 100.552 |
| 19 | 100.2324 |
| 20 | 99.9585 |
| 21 | 100.0457 |
| 22 | 99.3876 |
| 23 | 99.3434 |
| 24 | 99.5133 |
| 25 | 99.7457 |
| 26 | 99.5171 |
| 27 | 100.0836 |
| 28 | 100.1356 |
| 29 | 100.5748 |
| 30 | 100.907 |
| 31 | 101.2926 |
| 32 | 101.5438 |
| 33 | 101.7715 |
| 34 | 101.5605 |
| 35 | 101.3576 |
| 36 | 101.7354 |
| 37 | 101.4353 |
| 38 | 101.7799 |
| 39 | 101.6073 |
| 40 | 101.4314 |
| 41 | 101.2806 |
| 42 | 101.5916 |
| 43 | 101.5094 |
| 44 | 101.7631 |
| 45 | 101.9378 |
| 46 | 102.0056 |
| 47 | 102.0454 |
| 48 | 101.9409 |
| 49 | 101.8828 |
| 50 | 101.3462 |
| 51 | 101.1622 |
| 52 | 100.8893 |
| 53 | 100.9027 |
| 54 | 100.8999 |
| 55 | 101.1609 |
| 56 | 101.0983 |
| 57 | 101.1766 |
| 58 | 101.3487 |
| 59 | 101.3117 |
| 60 | 101.4681 |
| 61 | 101.5423 |
| 62 | 101.5961 |
| 63 | 101.9961 |
| 64 | 101.8927 |
| 65 | 102.0673 |
| 66 | 101.7946 |
| 67 | 101.9711 |
| 68 | 101.8556 |
| 69 | 102.0358 |
| 70 | 102.0802 |
| 71 | 102.3709 |
| 72 | 102.3713 |
| 73 | 102.5717 |
| 74 | 102.7547 |
| 75 | 102.7877 |
| 76 | 103.112 |
| 77 | 103.8076 |
| 78 | 103.7232 |
| 79 | 103.4484 |
| 80 | 103.471 |
| 81 | 103.5064 |
| 82 | 104.2161 |
| 83 | 104.1585 |
| 84 | 104.2452 |
| 85 | 104.5616 |
| 86 | 104.5864 |
| 87 | 104.0518 |
| 88 | 104.0571 |
| 89 | 103.6594 |
| 90 | 103.552 |
| 91 | 103.8019 |
| 92 | 103.9432 |
| 93 | 103.6453 |
| 94 | 103.516 |
| 95 | 103.6964 |
| 96 | 103.8103 |
| 97 | 104.1349 |
| 98 | 104.3986 |
| 99 | 104.7169 |
| 100 | 104.8461 |
| 101 | 104.7123 |
| 102 | 104.9651 |
| 103 | 105.4894 |
| 104 | 105.054 |
| 105 | 104.9445 |
| 106 | 105.2362 |
| 107 | 105.5875 |
| 108 | 105.8183 |
| 109 | 105.7448 |
| 110 | 105.2613 |
| 111 | 105.3419 |
| 112 | 105.6967 |
| 113 | 105.8823 |
| 114 | 106.2693 |
| 115 | 106.141 |
| 116 | 106.3993 |
| 117 | 106.5143 |
| 118 | 106.3489 |
| 119 | 106.5044 |
| 120 | 106.361 |
| 121 | 106.3382 |
| 122 | 106.739 |
| 123 | 106.6809 |
| 124 | 106.8555 |
| 125 | 106.8987 |
| 126 | 106.9998 |
| 127 | 106.5086 |
| 128 | 106.5358 |
| 129 | 106.8843 |
| 130 | 106.6935 |
| 131 | 106.4219 |
| 132 | 106.7798 |
| 133 | 106.4514 |
| 134 | 106.5602 |
| 135 | 106.5271 |
| 136 | 110.0536 |
| 137 | 110.0116 |
| 138 | 110.2036 |
| 139 | 109.9944 |
| 140 | 110.1251 |
| 141 | 110.2163 |
| 142 | 110.1869 |
| 143 | 110.1968 |
| 144 | 109.9841 |
| 145 | 109.7585 |
| 146 | 109.9951 |
| 147 | 110.2508 |
| 148 | 110.8134 |
| 149 | 110.7812 |
| 150 | 110.684 |
| 151 | 110.3426 |
| 152 | 110.5886 |
| 153 | 110.9361 |
| 154 | 111.0353 |
| 155 | 111.1604 |
| 156 | 111.2536 |
| 157 | 111.2647 |
| 158 | 110.9612 |
| 159 | 110.8709 |
| 160 | 110.9836 |
| 161 | 111.0639 |
| 162 | 111.1831 |
| 163 | 110.6259 |
| 164 | 111.0051 |
| 165 | 110.9205 |
| 166 | 111.1667 |
| 167 | 111.4943 |
| 168 | 111.2342 |
| 169 | 110.9617 |
| 170 | 110.896 |
| 171 | 110.9142 |
| 172 | 111.188 |
| 173 | 110.8802 |
| 174 | 110.9831 |
| 175 | 110.6334 |
| 176 | 110.9085 |
| 177 | 110.4981 |
| 178 | 110.4511 |
| 179 | 110.2761 |
| 180 | 110.1444 |
| 181 | 110.1621 |
| 182 | 110.2988 |
| 183 | 110.4822 |
| 184 | 110.7053 |
| 185 | 110.851 |
| 186 | 110.6981 |
| 187 | 110.6847 |
| 188 | 110.5606 |
| 189 | 110.4965 |
| 190 | 110.452 |
| 191 | 110.2414 |
| 192 | 110.6483 |
| 193 | 110.7904 |
| 194 | 110.7366 |
| 195 | 110.7267 |
| 196 | 110.7071 |
| 197 | 110.674 |
| 198 | 111.1808 |
| 199 | 110.9121 |
| 200 | 110.9889 |
| 201 | 110.6029 |
| 202 | 110.8694 |
| 203 | 110.6197 |
| 204 | 110.5875 |
| 205 | 110.6643 |
| 206 | 110.431 |
| 207 | 110.6008 |
| 208 | 110.8469 |
| 209 | 110.7751 |
| 210 | 111.0986 |
| 211 | 111.1854 |
| 212 | 111.4087 |
| 213 | 111.4271 |
| 214 | 111.5879 |
| 215 | 111.5524 |
| 216 | 111.5665 |
| 217 | 111.5896 |
| 218 | 111.4422 |
| 219 | 111.4378 |
| 220 | 111.0416 |
| 221 | 111.3588 |
| 222 | 111.3654 |
| 223 | 111.4018 |
| 224 | 111.7837 |
| 225 | 111.8364 |
| 226 | 111.6167 |
| 227 | 111.7992 |
| 228 | 111.3785 |
| 229 | 111.7064 |
| 230 | 111.9975 |
| 231 | 111.9325 |
| 232 | 111.9657 |
| 233 | 111.9084 |
| 234 | 111.8902 |
| 235 | 111.951 |
| 236 | 112.0044 |
| 237 | 112.239 |
| 238 | 112.2094 |
| 239 | 112.1059 |
| 240 | 111.7549 |
| 241 | 111.8684 |
| 242 | 111.5662 |
| 243 | 111.2561 |
| 244 | 111.3243 |
| 245 | 111.3707 |
| 246 | 111.3433 |
| 247 | 111.346 |
| 248 | 111.1827 |
| 249 | 111.2267 |
| 250 | 111.1283 |
| 251 | 111.4186 |
| 252 | 111.2821 |
| 253 | 111.0778 |
| 254 | 111.1706 |
| 255 | 111.4019 |
| 256 | 111.5717 |
| 257 | 112.0642 |
| 258 | 112.4207 |
| 259 | 112.4752 |
| 260 | 111.6718 |
| 261 | 111.211 |
| 262 | 111.4031 |
| 263 | 111.7124 |
| 264 | 111.3649 |
| 265 | 111.1926 |
| 266 | 110.8555 |
| 267 | 110.8077 |
| 268 | 110.7905 |
| 269 | 111.0104 |
| 270 | 110.8358 |
| 271 | 111.1784 |
| 272 | 111.2406 |
| 273 | 110.5592 |
| 274 | 111.1446 |
| 275 | 110.6988 |
| 276 | 110.2639 |
| 277 | 109.5333 |
| 278 | 109.7642 |
| 279 | 110.1025 |
| 280 | 109.8878 |
| 281 | 110.254 |
| 282 | 109.9843 |
| 283 | 109.7945 |
| 284 | 110.1813 |
| 285 | 110.5173 |
| 286 | 110.1798 |
| 287 | 110.6172 |
| 288 | 110.8621 |
| 289 | 110.3206 |
| 290 | 109.914 |
| 291 | 109.8626 |
| 292 | 109.4997 |
| 293 | 109.7182 |
| 294 | 110.1461 |
| 295 | 110.2242 |
| 296 | 110.0939 |
| 297 | 109.6402 |
| 298 | 109.3347 |
| 299 | 108.8265 |
| 300 | 109.1525 |
| 301 | 109.1371 |
| 302 | 109.6105 |
| 303 | 109.8783 |
| 304 | 110.1474 |
| 305 | 109.99 |
| 306 | 110.705 |
| 307 | 110.7973 |
| 308 | 111.0511 |
| 309 | 111.472 |
| 310 | 111.4576 |
| 311 | 110.7525 |
| 312 | 110.8278 |
| 313 | 111.0826 |
| 314 | 110.7942 |
| 315 | 111.2516 |
| 316 | 111.4542 |
| 317 | 111.3259 |
| 318 | 111.3692 |
| 319 | 111.1984 |
| 320 | 111.345 |
| 321 | 111.028 |
| 322 | 111.1599 |
| 323 | 111.3075 |
| 324 | 111.0602 |
| 325 | 110.6748 |
| 326 | 110.6552 |
| 327 | 110.9961 |
| 328 | 111.2562 |
| 329 | 111.5699 |
| 330 | 111.6467 |
| 331 | 111.602 |
| 332 | 111.7826 |
| 333 | 111.9874 |
| 334 | 112.2524 |
| 335 | 112.3865 |
| 336 | 111.9767 |
| 337 | 111.7868 |
| 338 | 112.2008 |
| 339 | 112.5072 |
| 340 | 112.8698 |
| 341 | 112.6892 |
| 342 | 112.4408 |
| 343 | 112.6976 |
| 344 | 112.5944 |
| 345 | 112.2898 |
| 346 | 111.794 |
| 347 | 111.6264 |
| 348 | 111.4787 |
| 349 | 111.444 |
| 350 | 111.3162 |
| 351 | 111.7094 |
| 352 | 111.6796 |
| 353 | 111.8044 |
| 354 | 111.7338 |
| 355 | 112.0391 |
| 356 | 112.0663 |
| 357 | 112.1377 |
| 358 | 112.361 |
| 359 | 112.6084 |
| 360 | 113.0674 |
| 361 | 112.9907 |
| 362 | 112.8927 |
| 363 | 112.811 |
| 364 | 112.977 |
| 365 | 112.7137 |
| 366 | 112.8653 |
| +1.62% |
| 0.87 |
| 37 |
| 10.10 → 24.10 | Short | 70.3% | +1.00% | 0.47 | 37 |
| 09.10 → 23.10 | Short | 70.3% | +0.83% | 0.40 | 37 |
| 12.10 → 26.10 | Short | 68.4% | +2.37% | 1.17 | 38 |
| 11.10 → 25.10 | Short | 68.4% | +2.26% | 1.15 | 38 |
| 09.10 → 26.10 | Short | 68.4% | +2.15% | 0.78 | 38 |