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Silver (troy oz) vs. Swiss franc (XAGCHF) Seasonality

Over 2023 to 2025 (3 years of data), XAGCHF has tended to move short between 14.07 and 06.08, closing higher in 100.0% of those years for an average +7.59% move and an annualized Sharpe of 3.71.

Average seasonal curve

XAGCHF average seasonal curve, 2023 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.9454
3	99.9666
4	100.6222
5	101.8106
6	104.8975
7	103.6581
8	102.7845
9	104.2495
10	104.5645
11	105.3279
12	106.9619
13	107.6033
14	109.3261
15	110.3254
16	109.6278
17	108.8756
18	110.4257
19	110.2729
20	110.2981
21	109.1425
22	110.4746
23	112.7121
24	112.7557
25	113.8862
26	114.1857
27	115.0418
28	117.3378
29	118.3026
30	107.6148
31	106.9105
32	105.5144
33	105.8583
34	106.8172
35	109.4628
36	99.0961
37	104.1514
38	103.6759
39	105.1585
40	105.7655
41	105.9969
42	106.5779
43	103.716
44	103.8173
45	103.8003
46	104.0795
47	104.8162
48	103.3743
49	106.3374
50	106.0798
51	109.0464
52	108.1938

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
14.07 → 06.08	Short	100.0%	+7.59%	3.71	3
15.07 → 06.08	Short	100.0%	+7.56%	3.70	3
14.07 → 05.08	Short	100.0%	+7.10%	3.96	3
15.07 → 05.08	Short	100.0%	+7.07%	3.94	3
17.07 → 04.08	Short	100.0%	+6.99%	3.77	3
17.07 → 03.08	Short	100.0%	+6.96%	3.85	3
13.07 → 06.08	Short	100.0%

Explore further

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