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Silver (troy oz) vs. Swiss franc (XAGCHF) Seasonality

Over 2023 to 2025 (3 years of data), XAGCHF has tended to move short between 13.07 and 11.08, closing higher in 100.0% of those years for an average +7.17% move and an annualized Sharpe of 3.77.

Average seasonal curve

XAGCHF average seasonal curve, 2023 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	101.293
3	99.8234
4	99.9204
5	100.3086
6	100.5802
7	101.0081
8	100.9968
9	100.9434
10	101.4013
11	101.3831
12	102.3107
13	100.9326
14	100.9751
15	102.5576
16	102.3897
17	101.3376
18	101.9303
19	101.5547
20	101.5217
21	101.65
22	100.7057
23	101.1783
24	101.2371
25	101.9975
26	101.6452
27	100.9263
28	101.5493
29	102.9438
30	104.3009
31	103.2787
32	103.5556
33	102.8249
34	103.4232
35	104.0889
36	103.5598
37	103.7776
38	103.0676
39	103.9465
40	104.1712
41	104.6559
42	104.4773
43	105.3685
44	104.1889
45	104.1633
46	105.1869
47	106.1391
48	106.7617
49	107.7342
50	106.6024
51	106.6793
52	105.4305

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
13.07 → 11.08	Short	100.0%	+7.17%	3.77	3
13.07 → 10.08	Short	100.0%	+7.02%	3.84	3
13.07 → 14.08	Short	100.0%	+6.92%	3.60	3
13.07 → 05.08	Short	100.0%	+6.42%	3.30	3
13.07 → 15.08	Short	100.0%	+5.98%	3.89	3
13.07 → 02.08	Short	100.0%	+5.80%	5.62	3
12.07 → 02.08	Short	100.0%

Explore further

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