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Volatility Index (VOLIDXUSD) Seasonality

Over 2022 to 2025 (4 years of data), VOLIDXUSD has tended to move long between 16.08 and 03.10, closing higher in 100.0% of those years for an average +20.49% move and an annualized Sharpe of 4.67.

Average seasonal curve

VOLIDXUSD average seasonal curve, 2022 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.061
3	100.0009
4	99.9533
5	99.8894
6	99.7939
7	99.9699
8	99.9267
9	99.9319
10	99.8894
11	99.8417
12	99.7298
13	99.5576
14	99.7711
15	99.4832
16	99.7358
17	99.8239
18	99.7991
19	99.9826
20	99.7611
21	99.6712
22	99.6751
23	99.5218
24	99.5181
25	99.5338
26	99.5563
27	99.5988
28	99.5261
29	99.5358
30	99.5666
31	99.7018
32	99.4985
33	99.9468
34	99.642
35	99.6779
36	99.478
37	99.4138
38	99.4428
39	99.5044
40	99.5692
41	99.5247
42	99.5251
43	99.8043
44	99.899
45	99.6795
46	99.6158
47	99.9288
48	99.9422
49	99.9301
50	99.9333
51	100.0052
52	100.2643

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
16.08 → 03.10	Long	100.0%	+20.49%	4.67	3
19.08 → 03.10	Long	100.0%	+20.41%	4.62	3
17.08 → 03.10	Long	100.0%	+20.16%	4.63	3
18.08 → 03.10	Long	100.0%	+18.33%	3.70	3
19.08 → 17.10	Long	100.0%	+16.86%	2.88	4
16.08 → 04.10	Long	100.0%	+16.78%	3.81	3
19.08 → 04.10	Long	100.0%

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