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US Dollar vs South African Rand (USDZAR) Seasonality

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), USDZAR has tended to move long between 28.07 and 24.08, closing higher in 82.3% of those years for an average +12.03% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.78.

Average seasonal curve

USDZAR average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.0436
3	100.0864
4	100.1767
5	100.2167
6	99.7419
7	99.7645
8	100.0165
9	99.8342
10	100.1934
11	99.9325
12	99.2886
13	99.374
14	99.3123
15	99.1123
16	99.7249
17	99.81
18	99.976
19	99.9598
20	99.4583
21	99.1218
22	99.1613
23	98.9868
24	98.8508
25	98.724
26	98.9122
27	99.3977
28	99.0985
29	98.9807
30	99.2262
31	99.3859
32	98.8353
33	99.5341
34	99.4035
35	99.8244
36	100.0616
37	99.515
38	99.3615
39	99.6376
40	99.5349
41	99.536
42	99.5877
43	99.7392
44	99.7782
45	99.4043
46	99.4379
47	99.4679
48	99.4581
49	99.6792
50	100.0293
51	99.683
52	99.8226

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
28.07 → 24.08	Long	82.3%	+12.03%	0.78	34
24.07 → 26.08	Long	82.3%	+11.93%	0.69	34
28.07 → 23.08	Long	82.3%	+11.92%	0.79	34
25.07 → 20.08	Long	82.3%	+11.81%	0.79	34
25.07 → 26.08	Long	82.3%	+11.80%	0.70	34
28.07 → 22.08	Long	82.3%	+11.57%	0.81	34
28.07 → 21.08	Long	82.3%

Explore further

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