Forex currencies

US Dollar vs Turkish Lira (USDTRY) Seasonality

Over 2001 to 2025 (25 years of data), USDTRY has tended to move long between 06.10 and 23.11, closing higher in 68.0% of those years for an average +2.79% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.72.

Years: 2001-2025
Category: Forex currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

06.10 - 23.11

Direction

Long

Win rate

68.0%

Avg return

+2.79%

Sample

25 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

2001-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
06.10 → 23.11	Long	68.0%	+2.79%	0.72	25
06.10 → 24.11	Long	68.0%	+2.62%	0.74	25
06.10 → 25.11	Long	68.0%

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USDTRY average seasonal curve, 2001 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.2931
3	100.3614
4	100.2808
5	100.4841
6	100.4725
7	100.6955
8	100.7642
9	100.7875
10	100.8543
11	100.9525
12	100.6016
13	100.6594
14	100.7314
15	100.8903
16	101.1337
17	101.0933
18	101.054
19	101.183
20	101.3382
21	101.5306
22	101.4335
23	101.4498
24	101.4719
25	101.6708
26	101.5229
27	101.4634
28	101.3413
29	101.5777
30	101.4497
31	101.1041
32	100.823
33	100.9251
34	100.8116
35	100.9179
36	100.896
37	100.9179
38	101.1871
39	101.2877
40	101.1874
41	101.3682
42	101.341
43	101.2638
44	101.1697
45	101.1598
46	101.111
47	101.1198
48	101.1062
49	101.1573
50	101.2214
51	101.3872
52	101.4615
53	101.5635
54	101.7658
55	101.909
56	102.0776
57	102.2627
58	102.5493
59	102.4757
60	102.6233
61	103.0226
62	103.0507
63	103.0324
64	103.3774
65	103.3653
66	103.7453
67	103.9728
68	103.8892
69	103.8171
70	103.7506
71	103.4979
72	103.9721
73	103.8282
74	103.7981
75	103.6736
76	103.7877
77	103.6251
78	103.9397
79	103.915
80	104.5186
81	104.5783
82	104.5459
83	104.446
84	104.2337
85	104.1773
86	104.3512
87	104.7016
88	104.6399
89	104.6915
90	104.4385
91	104.2093
92	104.2014
93	103.9746
94	104.0523
95	104.0685
96	104.1305
97	104.2763
98	104.2018
99	104.2587
100	104.3678
101	104.4365
102	104.3814
103	104.4043
104	104.6918
105	104.8681
106	104.8023
107	104.8733
108	104.8699
109	104.8715
110	104.9727
111	105.0203
112	105.2575
113	105.2795
114	105.0578
115	105.0704
116	104.8893
117	104.8307
118	104.6824
119	104.531
120	104.7971
121	104.8185
122	104.8648
123	104.9666
124	105.1317
125	105.4433
126	105.6138
127	105.5605
128	105.5889
129	105.766
130	105.7133
131	105.8768
132	105.8729
133	105.9815
134	105.8781
135	106.0828
136	106.0977
137	106.2466
138	106.2973
139	106.3182
140	106.3032
141	106.4419
142	106.8106
143	106.7229
144	107.0118
145	107.0364
146	107.1797
147	107.0531
148	107.0352
149	106.9684
150	106.7952
151	106.855
152	107.1372
153	107.0837
154	107.2075
155	106.9884
156	107.1475
157	107.3825
158	107.9065
159	108.0448
160	108.0041
161	107.8162
162	107.884
163	108.0943
164	108.1577
165	108.2778
166	108.5015
167	108.6158
168	108.6184
169	108.3114
170	108.464
171	108.4685
172	108.6529
173	108.9769
174	108.9378
175	108.7503
176	108.9117
177	108.8801
178	108.8466
179	108.8974
180	108.9367
181	108.7178
182	108.4846
183	108.5331
184	108.6721
185	108.6568
186	108.9589
187	109.0141
188	109.1537
189	109.1216
190	109.0185
191	109.0367
192	109.3484
193	109.2909
194	109.1587
195	109.0685
196	108.9177
197	109.0777
198	109.0071
199	109.0254
200	109.0005
201	109.1263
202	109.2678
203	109.2056
204	109.1319
205	109.5088
206	109.458
207	109.6494
208	109.5512
209	109.5016
210	109.5802
211	109.446
212	109.3668
213	109.4212
214	109.4276
215	109.3853
216	109.5839
217	109.6688
218	109.9146
219	110.0977
220	110.1837
221	110.6132
222	111.4765
223	111.7531
224	111.9209
225	112.1908
226	111.9765
227	111.8075
228	111.7633
229	111.8424
230	111.9281
231	112.179
232	112.3671
233	112.3974
234	112.3058
235	112.3512
236	112.0384
237	112.107
238	112.075
239	112.3092
240	112.4742
241	112.4842
242	112.8667
243	112.6179
244	112.5837
245	112.6692
246	112.7269
247	112.8945
248	113.107
249	113.0073
250	112.8889
251	112.9965
252	113.1969
253	113.1765
254	113.1778
255	113.1774
256	112.7916
257	112.7997
258	112.6473
259	112.6762
260	113.0426
261	113.0586
262	113.1506
263	113.0538
264	113.1856
265	113.2644
266	113.3195
267	113.4085
268	113.5172
269	113.5032
270	113.4036
271	113.5376
272	113.6421
273	113.6343
274	113.5961
275	113.4821
276	113.9641
277	114.1239
278	113.8254
279	113.6396
280	114.1758
281	114.2951
282	114.5332
283	114.4102
284	114.455
285	114.3187
286	114.4745
287	114.2101
288	114.2559
289	114.6366
290	114.4716
291	114.5621
292	114.7458
293	114.5227
294	114.7963
295	115.0659
296	115.6541
297	115.5315
298	115.408
299	115.3692
300	115.4572
301	115.4258
302	115.1958
303	114.8974
304	115.1536
305	115.172
306	115.0588
307	115.1114
308	115.1945
309	114.9943
310	115.2013
311	115.5489
312	115.6474
313	115.8067
314	115.7297
315	115.7662
316	115.9909
317	115.8792
318	115.7684
319	115.9524
320	116.0729
321	116.3649
322	116.5233
323	116.787
324	117.031
325	117.239
326	116.9954
327	117.9254
328	117.9482
329	117.8178
330	118.3022
331	118.1555
332	117.8737
333	117.9995
334	118.068
335	117.8711
336	118.356
337	118.3903
338	118.4006
339	118.3253
340	118.5506
341	118.2979
342	118.4009
343	118.5993
344	118.6469
345	118.9525
346	118.9544
347	118.9502
348	119.5099
349	119.9104
350	120.1557
351	120.4697
352	120.3314
353	120.2644
354	119.8274
355	118.762
356	118.705
357	118.3569
358	117.7833
359	117.8087
360	117.9616
361	118.4178
362	118.6021
363	118.879
364	118.9907
365	119.0008
366	119.4009

USDTRY average seasonal curve, 2001 to 2025

Index

Value

100

100.2931

100.3614

100.2808

100.4841

100.4725

100.6955

100.7642

100.7875

100.8543

100.9525

100.6016

100.6594

100.7314

100.8903

101.1337

101.0933

101.054

101.183

101.3382

101.5306

101.4335

101.4498

101.4719

101.6708

101.5229

101.4634

101.3413

101.5777

101.4497

101.1041

100.823

100.9251

100.8116

100.9179

100.896

100.9179

101.1871

101.2877

101.1874

101.3682

101.341

101.2638

101.1697

101.1598

101.111

101.1198

101.1062

101.1573

101.2214

101.3872

101.4615

101.5635

101.7658

101.909

102.0776

102.2627

102.5493

102.4757

102.6233

103.0226

103.0507

103.0324

103.3774

103.3653

103.7453

103.9728

103.8892

103.8171

103.7506

103.4979

103.9721

103.8282

103.7981

103.6736

103.7877

103.6251

103.9397

103.915

104.5186

104.5783

104.5459

104.446

104.2337

104.1773

104.3512

104.7016

104.6399

104.6915

104.4385

104.2093

104.2014

103.9746

104.0523

104.0685

104.1305

104.2763

104.2018

104.2587

100

104.3678

101

104.4365

102

104.3814

103

104.4043

104

104.6918

105

104.8681

106

104.8023

107

104.8733

108

104.8699

109

104.8715

110

104.9727

111

105.0203

112

105.2575

113

105.2795

114

105.0578

115

105.0704

116

104.8893

117

104.8307

118

104.6824

119

104.531

120

104.7971

121

104.8185

122

104.8648

123

104.9666

124

105.1317

125

105.4433

126

105.6138

127

105.5605

128

105.5889

129

105.766

130

105.7133

131

105.8768

132

105.8729

133

105.9815

134

105.8781

135

106.0828

136

106.0977

137

106.2466

138

106.2973

139

106.3182

140

106.3032

141

106.4419

142

106.8106

143

106.7229

144

107.0118

145

107.0364

146

107.1797

147

107.0531

148

107.0352

149

106.9684

150

106.7952

151

106.855

152

107.1372

153

107.0837

154

107.2075

155

106.9884

156

107.1475

157

107.3825

158

107.9065

159

108.0448

160

108.0041

161

107.8162

162

107.884

163

108.0943

164

108.1577

165

108.2778

166

108.5015

167

108.6158

168

108.6184

169

108.3114

170

108.464

171

108.4685

172

108.6529

173

108.9769

174

108.9378

175

108.7503

176

108.9117

177

108.8801

178

108.8466

179

108.8974

180

108.9367

181

108.7178

182

108.4846

183

108.5331

184

108.6721

185

108.6568

186

108.9589

187

109.0141

188

109.1537

189

109.1216

190

109.0185

191

109.0367

192

109.3484

193

109.2909

194

109.1587

195

109.0685

196

108.9177

197

109.0777

198

109.0071

199

109.0254

200

109.0005

201

109.1263

202

109.2678

203

109.2056

204

109.1319

205

109.5088

206

109.458

207

109.6494

208

109.5512

209

109.5016

210

109.5802

211

109.446

212

109.3668

213

109.4212

214

109.4276

215

109.3853

216

109.5839

217

109.6688

218

109.9146

219

110.0977

220

110.1837

221

110.6132

222

111.4765

223

111.7531

224

111.9209

225

112.1908

226

111.9765

227

111.8075

228

111.7633

229

111.8424

230

111.9281

231

112.179

232

112.3671

233

112.3974

234

112.3058

235

112.3512

236

112.0384

237

112.107

238

112.075

239

112.3092

240

112.4742

241

112.4842

242

112.8667

243

112.6179

244

112.5837

245

112.6692

246

112.7269

247

112.8945

248

113.107

249

113.0073

250

112.8889

251

112.9965

252

113.1969

253

113.1765

254

113.1778

255

113.1774

256

112.7916

257

112.7997

258

112.6473

259

112.6762

260

113.0426

261

113.0586

262

113.1506

263

113.0538

264

113.1856

265

113.2644

266

113.3195

267

113.4085

268

113.5172

269

113.5032

270

113.4036

271

113.5376

272

113.6421

273

113.6343

274

113.5961

275

113.4821

276

113.9641

277

114.1239

278

113.8254

279

113.6396

280

114.1758

281

114.2951

282

114.5332

283

114.4102

284

114.455

285

114.3187

286

114.4745

287

114.2101

288

114.2559

289

114.6366

290

114.4716

291

114.5621

292

114.7458

293

114.5227

294

114.7963

295

115.0659

296

115.6541

297

115.5315

298

115.408

299

115.3692

300

115.4572

301

115.4258

302

115.1958

303

114.8974

304

115.1536

305

115.172

306

115.0588

307

115.1114

308

115.1945

309

114.9943

310

115.2013

311

115.5489

312

115.6474

313

115.8067

314

115.7297

315

115.7662

316

115.9909

317

115.8792

318

115.7684

319

115.9524

320

116.0729

321

116.3649

322

116.5233

323

116.787

324

117.031

325

117.239

326

116.9954

327

117.9254

328

117.9482

329

117.8178

330

118.3022

331

118.1555

332

117.8737

333

117.9995

334

118.068

335

117.8711

336

118.356

337

118.3903

338

118.4006

339

118.3253

340

118.5506

341

118.2979

342

118.4009

343

118.5993

344

118.6469

345

118.9525

346

118.9544

347

118.9502

348

119.5099

349

119.9104

350

120.1557

351

120.4697

352

120.3314

353

120.2644

354

119.8274

355

118.762

356

118.705

357

118.3569

358

117.7833

359

117.8087

360

117.9616

361

118.4178

362

118.6021

363

118.879

364

118.9907

365

119.0008

366

119.4009