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US Dollar vs Swedish Krona (USDSEK) Seasonality

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), USDSEK has tended to move short between 13.07 and 11.09, closing higher in 71.4% of those years for an average +0.48% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.26.

Average seasonal curve

USDSEK average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.2157
3	100.2499
4	100.1374
5	100.3409
6	100.3536
7	100.3766
8	100.5236
9	100.5535
10	100.4379
11	100.294
12	100.1525
13	100.2438
14	100.3578
15	100.535
16	100.7581
17	100.876
18	100.7701
19	100.7982
20	100.8884
21	100.7185
22	100.7889
23	100.7076
24	100.6836
25	100.767
26	100.7411
27	100.7979
28	101.1174
29	101.2784
30	101.3275
31	101.2473
32	101.0042
33	101.149
34	100.9529
35	101.0528
36	101.2356
37	101.2851
38	101.4091
39	101.3934
40	101.1739
41	101.3811
42	101.4025
43	101.2877
44	101.2707
45	101.2057
46	101.2421
47	101.2276
48	101.3612
49	101.5392
50	101.4254
51	101.4604
52	101.5394

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
13.07 → 11.09	Short	71.4%	+0.48%	0.26	35
07.07 → 11.07	Short	70.6%	+0.37%	2.36	34
11.07 → 18.07	Short	68.6%	+0.50%	2.13	35
09.07 → 17.07	Short	68.6%	+0.49%	1.81	35
10.07 → 17.07	Short	68.6%	+0.43%	1.87	35
11.07 → 17.07	Short	68.6%	+0.43%	2.28	35
09.07 → 19.07	Short	65.7%

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