Forex currencies

US Dollar vs Polish Zloty (USDPLN) Seasonality

Over 1999 to 2025 (27 years of data), USDPLN has tended to move short between 10.10 and 14.10, closing higher in 74.1% of those years for an average +0.65% move and an annualized Sharpe of 3.53.

Years: 1999-2025
Category: Forex currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

10.10 - 14.10

Direction

Short

Win rate

74.1%

Avg return

+0.65%

Sample

27 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1999-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
10.10 → 14.10	Short	74.1%	+0.65%	3.53	27
05.10 → 13.10	Short	74.1%	+0.56%	1.98	27
11.10 → 14.10	Short	74.1%

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USDPLN average seasonal curve, 1999 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.3386
3	100.4648
4	100.4606
5	100.6682
6	100.5593
7	100.646
8	100.6443
9	100.6792
10	100.3824
11	100.3569
12	100.1951
13	100.2912
14	100.2894
15	100.7892
16	101.0188
17	100.9989
18	100.924
19	100.8839
20	101.1182
21	101.0563
22	100.9997
23	100.8804
24	100.8135
25	100.8245
26	100.644
27	100.6839
28	100.7197
29	100.8802
30	101.0212
31	100.7689
32	100.2804
33	100.4873
34	100.5228
35	100.7325
36	100.7353
37	100.7273
38	100.86
39	100.9254
40	100.6179
41	100.9647
42	101.0092
43	100.9968
44	101.0177
45	100.9442
46	100.8814
47	100.9952
48	101.2227
49	101.2102
50	100.9648
51	100.8395
52	100.9126
53	101.0079
54	101.0248
55	100.9114
56	100.9553
57	101.0376
58	101.0104
59	100.8201
60	101.0975
61	101.1759
62	101.3185
63	101.2662
64	101.3476
65	101.2449
66	101.4013
67	101.3689
68	100.9374
69	101.0586
70	100.9765
71	100.6988
72	100.8607
73	100.7739
74	100.9201
75	100.6549
76	100.4273
77	100.3131
78	100.625
79	100.7461
80	100.6158
81	100.5219
82	100.6018
83	100.8313
84	100.817
85	100.6719
86	100.6836
87	100.6596
88	100.6042
89	100.6056
90	100.511
91	100.1761
92	100.0924
93	99.9528
94	100.0316
95	99.93
96	100.1032
97	100.1248
98	99.7623
99	99.5409
100	99.3955
101	99.4547
102	99.2831
103	99.1367
104	99.1064
105	99.115
106	99.1338
107	99.3078
108	99.2508
109	99.3524
110	99.3097
111	99.166
112	99.461
113	99.6108
114	99.5279
115	99.6301
116	99.7129
117	99.9051
118	99.6302
119	99.3184
120	99.355
121	99.453
122	99.4249
123	99.4422
124	99.5511
125	99.8625
126	100.1291
127	100.0723
128	100.0099
129	99.9493
130	99.9173
131	100.1279
132	100.2213
133	100.3162
134	100.4883
135	100.6842
136	100.5973
137	100.5521
138	100.7601
139	100.4601
140	100.4384
141	100.2722
142	100.2692
143	100.493
144	100.5743
145	100.6459
146	100.8463
147	100.503
148	100.6421
149	100.5572
150	100.5677
151	100.5171
152	100.5525
153	100.1357
154	100.2872
155	100.2372
156	100.4172
157	100.3303
158	100.0562
159	99.9649
160	99.9263
161	100.0163
162	100.044
163	100.3519
164	100.2727
165	100.4119
166	100.6346
167	100.5087
168	100.5195
169	100.4805
170	100.6398
171	100.6121
172	100.4721
173	100.754
174	100.6213
175	100.6408
176	100.7409
177	100.7696
178	100.6805
179	100.8998
180	100.6724
181	100.4043
182	100.0996
183	100.2489
184	100.1177
185	100.105
186	100.4605
187	100.5668
188	100.641
189	100.6381
190	100.4375
191	100.1739
192	100.3959
193	100.3121
194	100.2017
195	99.9928
196	99.8308
197	99.8313
198	99.9274
199	99.8812
200	99.7501
201	99.5879
202	99.5768
203	99.297
204	99.3679
205	99.5481
206	99.4727
207	99.3126
208	99.1621
209	99.0989
210	99.1126
211	99.0869
212	99.0607
213	99.1457
214	99.1788
215	98.8431
216	98.8624
217	98.7667
218	98.8515
219	98.8471
220	99.0376
221	99.1981
222	99.4943
223	99.634
224	99.6077
225	99.5076
226	99.8124
227	99.9966
228	99.9374
229	99.7849
230	99.9558
231	99.9623
232	99.9591
233	99.8369
234	99.7727
235	99.7748
236	99.6336
237	99.563
238	99.6631
239	99.761
240	99.8547
241	99.7727
242	99.9908
243	100.1035
244	100.1572
245	100.2705
246	100.2037
247	100.337
248	100.5531
249	100.7133
250	100.602
251	100.38
252	100.676
253	100.6335
254	100.5528
255	100.3513
256	100.2005
257	100.2279
258	99.9068
259	99.9242
260	99.9484
261	99.9448
262	100.0384
263	100.001
264	100.306
265	100.2576
266	100.187
267	100.365
268	100.5423
269	100.8185
270	100.9148
271	100.94
272	100.9253
273	101.0265
274	101.1588
275	101.1202
276	101.378
277	101.1347
278	101.0363
279	100.9009
280	101.2355
281	101.1124
282	101.1238
283	101.0848
284	100.9835
285	100.8973
286	100.5713
287	100.5088
288	100.3289
289	100.5876
290	100.4567
291	100.5195
292	100.58
293	100.5061
294	100.6125
295	101.0248
296	101.3072
297	101.47
298	101.4591
299	101.4669
300	101.4758
301	101.7344
302	101.3673
303	101.173
304	101.5917
305	101.666
306	101.4664
307	101.2756
308	101.0653
309	101.0555
310	101.0443
311	101.3268
312	101.3116
313	101.5567
314	101.4354
315	101.5558
316	101.9971
317	101.849
318	101.579
319	101.8021
320	101.7754
321	101.9729
322	101.8844
323	102.0632
324	102.0813
325	102.2635
326	102.2333
327	102.3418
328	102.2878
329	102.0572
330	102.1006
331	102.0879
332	101.8663
333	102.1387
334	101.9823
335	101.7779
336	101.6702
337	101.4126
338	101.4466
339	101.5579
340	101.4886
341	101.6173
342	101.7298
343	101.6653
344	101.6918
345	101.7703
346	101.6199
347	101.5664
348	101.534
349	101.646
350	101.5431
351	101.7059
352	101.6296
353	101.7557
354	101.8353
355	101.7672
356	101.6247
357	101.7386
358	101.5345
359	101.5402
360	101.5117
361	101.2798
362	101.3362
363	101.1598
364	101.1826
365	101.2173
366	101.5389

USDPLN average seasonal curve, 1999 to 2025

Index

Value

100

100.3386

100.4648

100.4606

100.6682

100.5593

100.646

100.6443

100.6792

100.3824

100.3569

100.1951

100.2912

100.2894

100.7892

101.0188

100.9989

100.924

100.8839

101.1182

101.0563

100.9997

100.8804

100.8135

100.8245

100.644

100.6839

100.7197

100.8802

101.0212

100.7689

100.2804

100.4873

100.5228

100.7325

100.7353

100.7273

100.86

100.9254

100.6179

100.9647

101.0092

100.9968

101.0177

100.9442

100.8814

100.9952

101.2227

101.2102

100.9648

100.8395

100.9126

101.0079

101.0248

100.9114

100.9553

101.0376

101.0104

100.8201

101.0975

101.1759

101.3185

101.2662

101.3476

101.2449

101.4013

101.3689

100.9374

101.0586

100.9765

100.6988

100.8607

100.7739

100.9201

100.6549

100.4273

100.3131

100.625

100.7461

100.6158

100.5219

100.6018

100.8313

100.817

100.6719

100.6836

100.6596

100.6042

100.6056

100.511

100.1761

100.0924

99.9528

100.0316

99.93

100.1032

100.1248

99.7623

99.5409

100

99.3955

101

99.4547

102

99.2831

103

99.1367

104

99.1064

105

99.115

106

99.1338

107

99.3078

108

99.2508

109

99.3524

110

99.3097

111

99.166

112

99.461

113

99.6108

114

99.5279

115

99.6301

116

99.7129

117

99.9051

118

99.6302

119

99.3184

120

99.355

121

99.453

122

99.4249

123

99.4422

124

99.5511

125

99.8625

126

100.1291

127

100.0723

128

100.0099

129

99.9493

130

99.9173

131

100.1279

132

100.2213

133

100.3162

134

100.4883

135

100.6842

136

100.5973

137

100.5521

138

100.7601

139

100.4601

140

100.4384

141

100.2722

142

100.2692

143

100.493

144

100.5743

145

100.6459

146

100.8463

147

100.503

148

100.6421

149

100.5572

150

100.5677

151

100.5171

152

100.5525

153

100.1357

154

100.2872

155

100.2372

156

100.4172

157

100.3303

158

100.0562

159

99.9649

160

99.9263

161

100.0163

162

100.044

163

100.3519

164

100.2727

165

100.4119

166

100.6346

167

100.5087

168

100.5195

169

100.4805

170

100.6398

171

100.6121

172

100.4721

173

100.754

174

100.6213

175

100.6408

176

100.7409

177

100.7696

178

100.6805

179

100.8998

180

100.6724

181

100.4043

182

100.0996

183

100.2489

184

100.1177

185

100.105

186

100.4605

187

100.5668

188

100.641

189

100.6381

190

100.4375

191

100.1739

192

100.3959

193

100.3121

194

100.2017

195

99.9928

196

99.8308

197

99.8313

198

99.9274

199

99.8812

200

99.7501

201

99.5879

202

99.5768

203

99.297

204

99.3679

205

99.5481

206

99.4727

207

99.3126

208

99.1621

209

99.0989

210

99.1126

211

99.0869

212

99.0607

213

99.1457

214

99.1788

215

98.8431

216

98.8624

217

98.7667

218

98.8515

219

98.8471

220

99.0376

221

99.1981

222

99.4943

223

99.634

224

99.6077

225

99.5076

226

99.8124

227

99.9966

228

99.9374

229

99.7849

230

99.9558

231

99.9623

232

99.9591

233

99.8369

234

99.7727

235

99.7748

236

99.6336

237

99.563

238

99.6631

239

99.761

240

99.8547

241

99.7727

242

99.9908

243

100.1035

244

100.1572

245

100.2705

246

100.2037

247

100.337

248

100.5531

249

100.7133

250

100.602

251

100.38

252

100.676

253

100.6335

254

100.5528

255

100.3513

256

100.2005

257

100.2279

258

99.9068

259

99.9242

260

99.9484

261

99.9448

262

100.0384

263

100.001

264

100.306

265

100.2576

266

100.187

267

100.365

268

100.5423

269

100.8185

270

100.9148

271

100.94

272

100.9253

273

101.0265

274

101.1588

275

101.1202

276

101.378

277

101.1347

278

101.0363

279

100.9009

280

101.2355

281

101.1124

282

101.1238

283

101.0848

284

100.9835

285

100.8973

286

100.5713

287

100.5088

288

100.3289

289

100.5876

290

100.4567

291

100.5195

292

100.58

293

100.5061

294

100.6125

295

101.0248

296

101.3072

297

101.47

298

101.4591

299

101.4669

300

101.4758

301

101.7344

302

101.3673

303

101.173

304

101.5917

305

101.666

306

101.4664

307

101.2756

308

101.0653

309

101.0555

310

101.0443

311

101.3268

312

101.3116

313

101.5567

314

101.4354

315

101.5558

316

101.9971

317

101.849

318

101.579

319

101.8021

320

101.7754

321

101.9729

322

101.8844

323

102.0632

324

102.0813

325

102.2635

326

102.2333

327

102.3418

328

102.2878

329

102.0572

330

102.1006

331

102.0879

332

101.8663

333

102.1387

334

101.9823

335

101.7779

336

101.6702

337

101.4126

338

101.4466

339

101.5579

340

101.4886

341

101.6173

342

101.7298

343

101.6653

344

101.6918

345

101.7703

346

101.6199

347

101.5664

348

101.534

349

101.646

350

101.5431

351

101.7059

352

101.6296

353

101.7557

354

101.8353

355

101.7672

356

101.6247

357

101.7386

358

101.5345

359

101.5402

360

101.5117

361

101.2798

362

101.3362

363

101.1598

364

101.1826

365

101.2173

366

101.5389