Forex currencies

US Dollar vs Norwegian Krone (USDNOK) Seasonality

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), USDNOK has tended to move long between 11.10 and 30.11, closing higher in 74.3% of those years for an average +1.72% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.98.

Years: 1991-2025
Category: Forex currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

11.10 - 30.11

Direction

Long

Win rate

74.3%

Avg return

+1.72%

Sample

35 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1991-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.10 → 30.11	Long	74.3%	+1.72%	0.98	35
11.10 → 12.11	Long	74.3%	+1.31%	1.13	35
10.10 → 12.11	Long	74.3%

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USDNOK average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.1261
3	100.2035
4	100.0993
5	100.1831
6	100.2539
7	100.2458
8	100.3031
9	100.2315
10	100.2132
11	100.1499
12	100.0205
13	99.9805
14	99.9566
15	100.1348
16	100.2914
17	100.4195
18	100.3875
19	100.4273
20	100.572
21	100.4082
22	100.3758
23	100.3072
24	100.2133
25	100.3126
26	100.2251
27	100.3518
28	100.5585
29	100.6909
30	100.7252
31	100.6456
32	100.4536
33	100.6099
34	100.4769
35	100.5248
36	100.5707
37	100.655
38	100.8267
39	100.8341
40	100.6529
41	100.7932
42	100.8982
43	100.7781
44	100.7973
45	100.6819
46	100.6892
47	100.5174
48	100.5792
49	100.7285
50	100.5161
51	100.5997
52	100.7424
53	100.623
54	100.5173
55	100.4756
56	100.6625
57	100.8561
58	100.9672
59	100.8506
60	100.9873
61	100.8495
62	100.9929
63	100.8988
64	100.8535
65	100.8386
66	101.0333
67	100.98
68	101.0193
69	100.9038
70	100.8689
71	100.6534
72	100.9048
73	100.8572
74	101.1392
75	101.0756
76	100.8909
77	100.8232
78	100.9678
79	100.9663
80	101.1572
81	101.3164
82	101.3526
83	101.2752
84	101.2242
85	100.9542
86	100.8935
87	101.1179
88	101.017
89	101.1085
90	101.0275
91	100.8687
92	100.9335
93	100.6304
94	100.8611
95	100.8449
96	100.9382
97	101.1495
98	100.8809
99	100.7854
100	100.7111
101	100.7278
102	100.7395
103	100.6312
104	100.6102
105	100.5531
106	100.5741
107	100.5541
108	100.5816
109	100.4872
110	100.6048
111	100.6329
112	100.7664
113	100.7268
114	100.5827
115	100.824
116	100.8441
117	100.9039
118	100.717
119	100.5178
120	100.4707
121	100.4727
122	100.6484
123	100.5323
124	100.5231
125	100.6888
126	100.5472
127	100.6279
128	100.6246
129	100.5541
130	100.4225
131	100.7356
132	100.8416
133	100.6727
134	100.7584
135	100.886
136	100.8515
137	100.806
138	100.9801
139	100.9582
140	100.9891
141	100.829
142	100.803
143	100.9604
144	100.8351
145	100.8864
146	100.9488
147	100.7946
148	100.7884
149	100.7668
150	100.8066
151	100.841
152	100.9023
153	100.6526
154	100.6758
155	100.5783
156	100.5873
157	100.6163
158	100.5243
159	100.4999
160	100.432
161	100.7286
162	100.8473
163	100.9816
164	100.8469
165	100.9635
166	101.0073
167	100.985
168	100.884
169	100.9296
170	101.0206
171	101.1669
172	100.998
173	101.2323
174	101.2871
175	101.2784
176	101.3724
177	101.3573
178	101.3517
179	101.4544
180	101.3826
181	101.2114
182	101.2676
183	101.2832
184	101.249
185	101.2032
186	101.4707
187	101.5613
188	101.6466
189	101.6516
190	101.5576
191	101.3215
192	101.4746
193	101.4077
194	101.3123
195	101.3994
196	101.4343
197	101.3164
198	101.338
199	101.1661
200	101.1965
201	101.1125
202	100.9177
203	100.8953
204	101.006
205	101.1754
206	101.0701
207	101.0444
208	101.0213
209	100.9961
210	100.9509
211	100.8654
212	100.8619
213	100.8146
214	100.9501
215	100.8263
216	100.8659
217	100.7829
218	100.8567
219	100.8149
220	100.8168
221	100.8449
222	100.9611
223	101.0318
224	100.89
225	100.842
226	100.9699
227	100.9979
228	101.0293
229	101.0043
230	101.1882
231	101.3092
232	101.2741
233	101.2434
234	101.2452
235	101.1783
236	101.1481
237	101.2206
238	101.3526
239	101.2935
240	101.1244
241	101.0426
242	101.1474
243	101.1508
244	101.0895
245	101.0443
246	101.0073
247	101.1229
248	101.0708
249	101.094
250	101.1854
251	101.0771
252	101.1176
253	101.1056
254	101.1059
255	101.0804
256	101.0435
257	101.0413
258	100.8987
259	101.0517
260	100.9776
261	100.8737
262	100.8442
263	100.888
264	100.8447
265	100.9164
266	100.7378
267	100.8583
268	100.8781
269	101.0633
270	101.1049
271	101.0012
272	100.9463
273	101.0198
274	100.8933
275	101.0429
276	101.1727
277	101.1681
278	101.0811
279	100.9692
280	101.1094
281	101.0857
282	101.0548
283	101.0364
284	101.1142
285	101.0194
286	100.8767
287	100.908
288	101.0636
289	101.2153
290	101.3128
291	101.4591
292	101.4096
293	101.3907
294	101.3705
295	101.5442
296	101.5648
297	101.5498
298	101.515
299	101.6282
300	101.562
301	101.6611
302	101.5135
303	101.4741
304	101.6827
305	101.6195
306	101.6658
307	101.8058
308	101.6737
309	101.504
310	101.5752
311	101.541
312	101.5633
313	101.7067
314	101.5582
315	101.5128
316	101.8612
317	101.9123
318	101.9258
319	102.045
320	102.072
321	102.1131
322	102.0988
323	102.3514
324	102.2622
325	102.305
326	102.2081
327	102.2336
328	102.2802
329	102.1971
330	102.2986
331	102.4565
332	102.3378
333	102.4124
334	102.3809
335	102.1855
336	102.0564
337	101.8953
338	101.9362
339	102.0694
340	101.9549
341	102.0209
342	102.135
343	102.1394
344	102.2569
345	102.3569
346	102.2764
347	102.1984
348	102.2944
349	102.467
350	102.3072
351	102.354
352	102.1297
353	102.2578
354	102.4345
355	102.417
356	102.3478
357	102.309
358	102.2426
359	102.1512
360	102.2175
361	102.0842
362	102.1128
363	101.9564
364	101.7416
365	101.5633
366	101.5198

USDNOK average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025

Index

Value

100

100.1261

100.2035

100.0993

100.1831

100.2539

100.2458

100.3031

100.2315

100.2132

100.1499

100.0205

99.9805

99.9566

100.1348

100.2914

100.4195

100.3875

100.4273

100.572

100.4082

100.3758

100.3072

100.2133

100.3126

100.2251

100.3518

100.5585

100.6909

100.7252

100.6456

100.4536

100.6099

100.4769

100.5248

100.5707

100.655

100.8267

100.8341

100.6529

100.7932

100.8982

100.7781

100.7973

100.6819

100.6892

100.5174

100.5792

100.7285

100.5161

100.5997

100.7424

100.623

100.5173

100.4756

100.6625

100.8561

100.9672

100.8506

100.9873

100.8495

100.9929

100.8988

100.8535

100.8386

101.0333

100.98

101.0193

100.9038

100.8689

100.6534

100.9048

100.8572

101.1392

101.0756

100.8909

100.8232

100.9678

100.9663

101.1572

101.3164

101.3526

101.2752

101.2242

100.9542

100.8935

101.1179

101.017

101.1085

101.0275

100.8687

100.9335

100.6304

100.8611

100.8449

100.9382

101.1495

100.8809

100.7854

100

100.7111

101

100.7278

102

100.7395

103

100.6312

104

100.6102

105

100.5531

106

100.5741

107

100.5541

108

100.5816

109

100.4872

110

100.6048

111

100.6329

112

100.7664

113

100.7268

114

100.5827

115

100.824

116

100.8441

117

100.9039

118

100.717

119

100.5178

120

100.4707

121

100.4727

122

100.6484

123

100.5323

124

100.5231

125

100.6888

126

100.5472

127

100.6279

128

100.6246

129

100.5541

130

100.4225

131

100.7356

132

100.8416

133

100.6727

134

100.7584

135

100.886

136

100.8515

137

100.806

138

100.9801

139

100.9582

140

100.9891

141

100.829

142

100.803

143

100.9604

144

100.8351

145

100.8864

146

100.9488

147

100.7946

148

100.7884

149

100.7668

150

100.8066

151

100.841

152

100.9023

153

100.6526

154

100.6758

155

100.5783

156

100.5873

157

100.6163

158

100.5243

159

100.4999

160

100.432

161

100.7286

162

100.8473

163

100.9816

164

100.8469

165

100.9635

166

101.0073

167

100.985

168

100.884

169

100.9296

170

101.0206

171

101.1669

172

100.998

173

101.2323

174

101.2871

175

101.2784

176

101.3724

177

101.3573

178

101.3517

179

101.4544

180

101.3826

181

101.2114

182

101.2676

183

101.2832

184

101.249

185

101.2032

186

101.4707

187

101.5613

188

101.6466

189

101.6516

190

101.5576

191

101.3215

192

101.4746

193

101.4077

194

101.3123

195

101.3994

196

101.4343

197

101.3164

198

101.338

199

101.1661

200

101.1965

201

101.1125

202

100.9177

203

100.8953

204

101.006

205

101.1754

206

101.0701

207

101.0444

208

101.0213

209

100.9961

210

100.9509

211

100.8654

212

100.8619

213

100.8146

214

100.9501

215

100.8263

216

100.8659

217

100.7829

218

100.8567

219

100.8149

220

100.8168

221

100.8449

222

100.9611

223

101.0318

224

100.89

225

100.842

226

100.9699

227

100.9979

228

101.0293

229

101.0043

230

101.1882

231

101.3092

232

101.2741

233

101.2434

234

101.2452

235

101.1783

236

101.1481

237

101.2206

238

101.3526

239

101.2935

240

101.1244

241

101.0426

242

101.1474

243

101.1508

244

101.0895

245

101.0443

246

101.0073

247

101.1229

248

101.0708

249

101.094

250

101.1854

251

101.0771

252

101.1176

253

101.1056

254

101.1059

255

101.0804

256

101.0435

257

101.0413

258

100.8987

259

101.0517

260

100.9776

261

100.8737

262

100.8442

263

100.888

264

100.8447

265

100.9164

266

100.7378

267

100.8583

268

100.8781

269

101.0633

270

101.1049

271

101.0012

272

100.9463

273

101.0198

274

100.8933

275

101.0429

276

101.1727

277

101.1681

278

101.0811

279

100.9692

280

101.1094

281

101.0857

282

101.0548

283

101.0364

284

101.1142

285

101.0194

286

100.8767

287

100.908

288

101.0636

289

101.2153

290

101.3128

291

101.4591

292

101.4096

293

101.3907

294

101.3705

295

101.5442

296

101.5648

297

101.5498

298

101.515

299

101.6282

300

101.562

301

101.6611

302

101.5135

303

101.4741

304

101.6827

305

101.6195

306

101.6658

307

101.8058

308

101.6737

309

101.504

310

101.5752

311

101.541

312

101.5633

313

101.7067

314

101.5582

315

101.5128

316

101.8612

317

101.9123

318

101.9258

319

102.045

320

102.072

321

102.1131

322

102.0988

323

102.3514

324

102.2622

325

102.305

326

102.2081

327

102.2336

328

102.2802

329

102.1971

330

102.2986

331

102.4565

332

102.3378

333

102.4124

334

102.3809

335

102.1855

336

102.0564

337

101.8953

338

101.9362

339

102.0694

340

101.9549

341

102.0209

342

102.135

343

102.1394

344

102.2569

345

102.3569

346

102.2764

347

102.1984

348

102.2944

349

102.467

350

102.3072

351

102.354

352

102.1297

353

102.2578

354

102.4345

355

102.417

356

102.3478

357

102.309

358

102.2426

359

102.1512

360

102.2175

361

102.0842

362

102.1128

363

101.9564

364

101.7416

365

101.5633

366

101.5198