

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), USDNOK has tended to move short between 27.08 and 21.09, closing higher in 65.7% of those years for an average +0.61% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.67.
| Window | Dir | Win rate | Avg return | Sharpe | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.08 → 21.09 | Short | 65.7% | +0.61% | 0.67 | 35 |
| 27.08 → 22.09 | Short | 65.7% | +0.55% | 0.56 | 35 |
| 27.08 → 12.09 | Short | 65.7% | +0.50% | 0.85 | 35 |
| 27.08 → 08.09 | Short | 65.7% | +0.33% | 0.86 | 35 |
| 25.08 → 12.09 | Short | 65.7% | +0.32% | 0.55 | 35 |
| 22.08 → 13.10 | Short | 65.7% | +0.30% | 0.15 | 35 |
| 22.08 → 14.10 | Short | 65.7% | +0.17% | 0.08 | 35 |
| 25.08 → 08.09 | Short | 65.7% | +0.15% | 0.38 | 35 |