Forex major currencies

US Dollar vs Japanese Yen (USDJPY) Seasonality

Over 1986 to 2025 (40 years of data), USDJPY has tended to move long between 12.10 and 04.12, closing higher in 70.0% of those years for an average +0.53% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.32.

Years: 1986-2025
Category: Forex major currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

12.10 - 04.12

Direction

Long

Win rate

70.0%

Avg return

+0.53%

Sample

40 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1986-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
12.10 → 04.12	Long	70.0%	+0.53%	0.32	40
10.10 → 30.11	Long	67.5%	+0.68%	0.42	40
10.10 → 02.12	Long	67.5%

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USDJPY average seasonal curve, 1986 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.1178
3	100.3289
4	100.89
5	101.0048
6	100.8001
7	100.8242
8	100.7373
9	100.8794
10	101.0072
11	100.9349
12	100.3834
13	100.1569
14	100.1997
15	100.1074
16	100.2048
17	100.477
18	100.4398
19	100.4503
20	100.423
21	100.4744
22	100.5586
23	100.3758
24	100.2391
25	100.029
26	100.1927
27	99.9512
28	100.086
29	99.9554
30	100.1172
31	100.1331
32	99.8187
33	100.0851
34	100.5888
35	100.6448
36	100.5959
37	100.4334
38	100.2306
39	100.529
40	100.4805
41	100.3121
42	100.1587
43	100.3494
44	100.4902
45	100.4632
46	100.5616
47	100.6401
48	100.419
49	100.7046
50	100.7269
51	100.4248
52	100.4823
53	100.4928
54	100.4714
55	101.0808
56	100.9934
57	100.9424
58	101.1184
59	101.1153
60	101.0493
61	101.3631
62	101.0864
63	100.9434
64	100.9628
65	100.8514
66	101.0058
67	100.943
68	100.6087
69	100.4076
70	100.8124
71	100.8565
72	100.7607
73	101.1692
74	101.0303
75	101.2332
76	101.0094
77	101.2334
78	100.9599
79	101.2881
80	101.5487
81	101.7673
82	101.6216
83	101.9816
84	101.8811
85	102.0282
86	102.2687
87	102.2894
88	102.4657
89	102.2847
90	102.0606
91	102.1855
92	102.1398
93	101.7838
94	101.7755
95	101.8304
96	101.7771
97	102.1122
98	101.873
99	102.1602
100	101.8906
101	102.2003
102	102.2008
103	102.081
104	102.285
105	102.3169
106	102.3468
107	102.5093
108	102.4445
109	103.0075
110	102.5627
111	102.611
112	102.9016
113	103.0147
114	102.9465
115	102.9343
116	102.8933
117	103.4912
118	104.0244
119	103.9544
120	103.4235
121	104.1567
122	103.6741
123	103.0202
124	102.8068
125	102.9998
126	102.8757
127	103.1709
128	103.531
129	103.4938
130	103.3434
131	103.4952
132	103.868
133	103.892
134	103.919
135	103.9201
136	103.6115
137	104.0293
138	103.9214
139	103.7777
140	103.6718
141	103.6615
142	103.8497
143	103.7
144	103.6332
145	103.8448
146	103.929
147	104.1762
148	104.4073
149	104.1477
150	104.2139
151	104.202
152	104.4106
153	104.4
154	104.722
155	104.4673
156	104.3662
157	104.9041
158	105.0411
159	105.2422
160	105.3099
161	105.3845
162	105.2707
163	105.2049
164	105.3198
165	105.4661
166	105.4654
167	105.4765
168	106.0185
169	106.0755
170	106.2049
171	106.2219
172	106.6207
173	106.9235
174	106.7914
175	106.7408
176	106.6996
177	106.6212
178	106.8583
179	107.0536
180	107.2181
181	106.9942
182	106.8419
183	106.8239
184	106.9787
185	107.0565
186	107.0038
187	107.0005
188	106.9176
189	107.0674
190	107.0045
191	106.9989
192	107.1889
193	106.3641
194	106.3743
195	106.7564
196	106.8988
197	106.7586
198	106.8326
199	106.5518
200	106.8355
201	106.9061
202	106.8334
203	106.5654
204	106.436
205	106.3978
206	106.1479
207	106.122
208	105.7897
209	105.9608
210	105.8259
211	105.8405
212	106.162
213	105.0544
214	105.3393
215	104.9314
216	104.5133
217	104.8531
218	104.8615
219	104.7673
220	105.1849
221	105.5103
222	105.148
223	105.2526
224	105.3226
225	105.2188
226	105.3602
227	105.3334
228	105.8963
229	105.686
230	105.8617
231	106.057
232	105.8131
233	105.9232
234	105.695
235	105.5642
236	105.6042
237	105.6496
238	105.721
239	105.8097
240	105.7086
241	105.8046
242	105.9043
243	106.1006
244	106.3098
245	106.5754
246	106.5243
247	106.5153
248	106.1849
249	106.6389
250	106.686
251	106.5855
252	106.4288
253	106.4293
254	106.2034
255	106.3975
256	106.5315
257	106.2171
258	106.2917
259	106.0895
260	106.1567
261	106.4407
262	106.6183
263	106.7834
264	106.955
265	106.7081
266	106.8835
267	107.0002
268	107.1442
269	107.5269
270	107.681
271	107.1645
272	107.0515
273	107.103
274	107.1365
275	107.2077
276	107.5253
277	107.4363
278	108.0275
279	108.3466
280	108.6397
281	108.618
282	108.5821
283	108.5324
284	108.5588
285	108.9913
286	109.0859
287	109.2182
288	109.1828
289	108.9594
290	109.1672
291	109.2925
292	109.3383
293	109.3747
294	109.1598
295	109.3353
296	109.4929
297	109.9553
298	109.7146
299	109.5741
300	109.4379
301	109.5788
302	109.7679
303	109.9123
304	110.3763
305	109.9632
306	110.1256
307	110.0283
308	109.577
309	109.6722
310	109.4996
311	110.0001
312	109.7034
313	109.8949
314	109.2795
315	108.8502
316	109.0245
317	109.334
318	109.3311
319	109.4079
320	109.0899
321	109.1834
322	109.2623
323	109.5299
324	109.3549
325	109.5412
326	109.4326
327	109.2851
328	109.1775
329	109.07
330	109.1343
331	108.815
332	108.2662
333	108.2477
334	107.9261
335	107.3502
336	107.2585
337	107.0585
338	107.2452
339	107.7187
340	107.7047
341	107.1748
342	107.3873
343	107.4901
344	107.5715
345	107.7855
346	107.8993
347	107.2664
348	107.3192
349	107.5583
350	107.3208
351	107.5381
352	107.5153
353	108.2152
354	107.7516
355	107.4291
356	107.3815
357	107.3806
358	107.4253
359	107.3939
360	107.5046
361	107.5507
362	107.6268
363	107.3096
364	107.0844
365	106.998
366	107.1214

USDJPY average seasonal curve, 1986 to 2025

Index

Value

100

100.1178

100.3289

100.89

101.0048

100.8001

100.8242

100.7373

100.8794

101.0072

100.9349

100.3834

100.1569

100.1997

100.1074

100.2048

100.477

100.4398

100.4503

100.423

100.4744

100.5586

100.3758

100.2391

100.029

100.1927

99.9512

100.086

99.9554

100.1172

100.1331

99.8187

100.0851

100.5888

100.6448

100.5959

100.4334

100.2306

100.529

100.4805

100.3121

100.1587

100.3494

100.4902

100.4632

100.5616

100.6401

100.419

100.7046

100.7269

100.4248

100.4823

100.4928

100.4714

101.0808

100.9934

100.9424

101.1184

101.1153

101.0493

101.3631

101.0864

100.9434

100.9628

100.8514

101.0058

100.943

100.6087

100.4076

100.8124

100.8565

100.7607

101.1692

101.0303

101.2332

101.0094

101.2334

100.9599

101.2881

101.5487

101.7673

101.6216

101.9816

101.8811

102.0282

102.2687

102.2894

102.4657

102.2847

102.0606

102.1855

102.1398

101.7838

101.7755

101.8304

101.7771

102.1122

101.873

102.1602

100

101.8906

101

102.2003

102

102.2008

103

102.081

104

102.285

105

102.3169

106

102.3468

107

102.5093

108

102.4445

109

103.0075

110

102.5627

111

102.611

112

102.9016

113

103.0147

114

102.9465

115

102.9343

116

102.8933

117

103.4912

118

104.0244

119

103.9544

120

103.4235

121

104.1567

122

103.6741

123

103.0202

124

102.8068

125

102.9998

126

102.8757

127

103.1709

128

103.531

129

103.4938

130

103.3434

131

103.4952

132

103.868

133

103.892

134

103.919

135

103.9201

136

103.6115

137

104.0293

138

103.9214

139

103.7777

140

103.6718

141

103.6615

142

103.8497

143

103.7

144

103.6332

145

103.8448

146

103.929

147

104.1762

148

104.4073

149

104.1477

150

104.2139

151

104.202

152

104.4106

153

104.4

154

104.722

155

104.4673

156

104.3662

157

104.9041

158

105.0411

159

105.2422

160

105.3099

161

105.3845

162

105.2707

163

105.2049

164

105.3198

165

105.4661

166

105.4654

167

105.4765

168

106.0185

169

106.0755

170

106.2049

171

106.2219

172

106.6207

173

106.9235

174

106.7914

175

106.7408

176

106.6996

177

106.6212

178

106.8583

179

107.0536

180

107.2181

181

106.9942

182

106.8419

183

106.8239

184

106.9787

185

107.0565

186

107.0038

187

107.0005

188

106.9176

189

107.0674

190

107.0045

191

106.9989

192

107.1889

193

106.3641

194

106.3743

195

106.7564

196

106.8988

197

106.7586

198

106.8326

199

106.5518

200

106.8355

201

106.9061

202

106.8334

203

106.5654

204

106.436

205

106.3978

206

106.1479

207

106.122

208

105.7897

209

105.9608

210

105.8259

211

105.8405

212

106.162

213

105.0544

214

105.3393

215

104.9314

216

104.5133

217

104.8531

218

104.8615

219

104.7673

220

105.1849

221

105.5103

222

105.148

223

105.2526

224

105.3226

225

105.2188

226

105.3602

227

105.3334

228

105.8963

229

105.686

230

105.8617

231

106.057

232

105.8131

233

105.9232

234

105.695

235

105.5642

236

105.6042

237

105.6496

238

105.721

239

105.8097

240

105.7086

241

105.8046

242

105.9043

243

106.1006

244

106.3098

245

106.5754

246

106.5243

247

106.5153

248

106.1849

249

106.6389

250

106.686

251

106.5855

252

106.4288

253

106.4293

254

106.2034

255

106.3975

256

106.5315

257

106.2171

258

106.2917

259

106.0895

260

106.1567

261

106.4407

262

106.6183

263

106.7834

264

106.955

265

106.7081

266

106.8835

267

107.0002

268

107.1442

269

107.5269

270

107.681

271

107.1645

272

107.0515

273

107.103

274

107.1365

275

107.2077

276

107.5253

277

107.4363

278

108.0275

279

108.3466

280

108.6397

281

108.618

282

108.5821

283

108.5324

284

108.5588

285

108.9913

286

109.0859

287

109.2182

288

109.1828

289

108.9594

290

109.1672

291

109.2925

292

109.3383

293

109.3747

294

109.1598

295

109.3353

296

109.4929

297

109.9553

298

109.7146

299

109.5741

300

109.4379

301

109.5788

302

109.7679

303

109.9123

304

110.3763

305

109.9632

306

110.1256

307

110.0283

308

109.577

309

109.6722

310

109.4996

311

110.0001

312

109.7034

313

109.8949

314

109.2795

315

108.8502

316

109.0245

317

109.334

318

109.3311

319

109.4079

320

109.0899

321

109.1834

322

109.2623

323

109.5299

324

109.3549

325

109.5412

326

109.4326

327

109.2851

328

109.1775

329

109.07

330

109.1343

331

108.815

332

108.2662

333

108.2477

334

107.9261

335

107.3502

336

107.2585

337

107.0585

338

107.2452

339

107.7187

340

107.7047

341

107.1748

342

107.3873

343

107.4901

344

107.5715

345

107.7855

346

107.8993

347

107.2664

348

107.3192

349

107.5583

350

107.3208

351

107.5381

352

107.5153

353

108.2152

354

107.7516

355

107.4291

356

107.3815

357

107.3806

358

107.4253

359

107.3939

360

107.5046

361

107.5507

362

107.6268

363

107.3096

364

107.0844

365

106.998

366

107.1214