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US Dollar vs Czech Koruna (USDCZK) Seasonality

Over 2016 to 2025 (10 years of data), USDCZK has tended to move short between 11.07 and 17.07, closing higher in 90.0% of those years for an average +0.69% move and an annualized Sharpe of 7.27.

Average seasonal curve

USDCZK average seasonal curve, 2016 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.3702
3	100.4742
4	100.0672
5	100.0414
6	99.6881
7	99.624
8	99.8231
9	99.66
10	99.7308
11	99.7024
12	99.271
13	99.3597
14	99.3664
15	99.4352
16	99.5343
17	99.607
18	99.7193
19	99.5051
20	99.2407
21	99.2009
22	99.2374
23	99.2488
24	99.245
25	99.016
26	99.1094
27	99.2805
28	99.3247
29	99.4232
30	99.3891
31	99.1815
32	98.7816
33	99.1274
34	99.1082
35	99.0684
36	99.153
37	99.2943
38	99.5597
39	99.7503
40	99.7217
41	99.8677
42	99.958
43	99.8472
44	99.8286
45	99.8018
46	99.4473
47	99.6081
48	99.691
49	99.8476
50	99.8194
51	99.7825
52	99.8471

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.07 → 17.07	Short	90.0%	+0.69%	7.27	10
11.07 → 14.07	Short	90.0%	+0.56%	7.97	10
11.07 → 05.08	Short	80.0%	+1.11%	1.87	10
11.07 → 06.08	Short	80.0%	+1.11%	2.06	10
11.07 → 30.08	Short	80.0%	+1.08%	0.99	10
11.07 → 07.08	Short	80.0%	+0.96%	1.77	10
11.07 → 09.09	Short	80.0%

Explore further

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