

Over 2012 to 2025 (14 years of data), USDCNH has tended to move short between 08.07 and 14.07, closing higher in 78.6% of those years for an average +0.05% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.78.
| Index | Value |
|---|---|
| 1 | 100 |
| 2 | 100.1136 |
| 3 | 100.1983 |
| 4 | 100.2067 |
| 5 | 100.1775 |
| 6 | 100.019 |
| 7 | 100.0073 |
| 8 | 99.9953 |
| 9 | 99.9213 |
| 10 | 99.9291 |
| 11 | 99.8199 |
| 12 | 99.7025 |
| 13 | 99.5797 |
| 14 | 99.574 |
| 15 | 99.5565 |
| 16 | 99.7524 |
| 17 | 99.8195 |
| 18 | 99.7976 |
| 19 | 99.7245 |
| 20 | 99.5288 |
| 21 | 99.5718 |
| 22 | 99.5782 |
| 23 | 99.419 |
| 24 | 99.3199 |
| 25 | 99.3125 |
| 26 | 99.2897 |
| 27 | 99.4635 |
| 28 | 99.4857 |
| 29 | 99.4271 |
| 30 | 99.5612 |
| 31 | 99.6571 |
| 32 | 99.5336 |
| 33 | 99.6873 |
| 34 | 99.7301 |
| 35 | 99.7235 |
| 36 | 99.7705 |
| 37 | 99.6297 |
| 38 | 99.6082 |
| 39 | 99.7147 |
| 40 | 99.6977 |
| 41 | 99.7728 |
| 42 | 99.737 |
| 43 | 99.7179 |
| 44 | 99.6744 |
| 45 | 99.6028 |
| 46 | 99.6182 |
| 47 | 99.5754 |
| 48 | 99.5888 |
| 49 | 99.5928 |
| 50 | 99.6769 |
| 51 | 99.4834 |
| 52 | 99.5827 |
| Window | Dir | Win rate | Avg return | Sharpe | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.07 → 14.07 | Short | 78.6% | +0.05% | 0.78 | 14 |
| 08.07 → 21.07 | Short | 78.6% | +0.03% | 0.25 | 14 |
| 08.07 → 27.07 | Short | 78.6% | +0.02% | 0.13 | 14 |
| 08.07 → 20.07 | Short | 78.6% | +0.00% | -0.01 | 14 |
| 09.07 → 21.07 | Short | 78.6% | -0.06% | -0.43 | 14 |
| 09.07 → 20.07 | Short | 78.6% | -0.09% | -0.65 | 14 |
| 09.07 → 06.08 | Short | 78.6% |
| 53 |
|---|
| 99.6069 |
| 54 | 99.6207 |
|---|
| 55 | 99.8072 |
|---|
| 56 | 99.6781 |
|---|
| 57 | 99.7 |
|---|
| 58 | 99.8498 |
|---|
| 59 | 99.7766 |
|---|
| 60 | 99.6049 |
|---|
| 61 | 99.7782 |
|---|
| 62 | 99.8137 |
|---|
| 63 | 99.6191 |
|---|
| 64 | 99.6773 |
|---|
| 65 | 99.805 |
|---|
| 66 | 99.8996 |
|---|
| 67 | 99.8509 |
|---|
| 68 | 99.7808 |
|---|
| 69 | 99.6838 |
|---|
| 70 | 99.7153 |
|---|
| 71 | 99.6003 |
|---|
| 72 | 99.5749 |
|---|
| 73 | 99.7381 |
|---|
| 74 | 99.7485 |
|---|
| 75 | 99.6577 |
|---|
| 76 | 99.6109 |
|---|
| 77 | 99.6605 |
|---|
| 78 | 99.5993 |
|---|
| 79 | 99.7484 |
|---|
| 80 | 99.75 |
|---|
| 81 | 99.742 |
|---|
| 82 | 99.7958 |
|---|
| 83 | 99.9273 |
|---|
| 84 | 99.9735 |
|---|
| 85 | 99.9817 |
|---|
| 86 | 99.9983 |
|---|
| 87 | 100.0098 |
|---|
| 88 | 100.0442 |
|---|
| 89 | 99.9246 |
|---|
| 90 | 99.7735 |
|---|
| 91 | 99.8165 |
|---|
| 92 | 100.037 |
|---|
| 93 | 99.878 |
|---|
| 94 | 99.9064 |
|---|
| 95 | 99.9582 |
|---|
| 96 | 99.8951 |
|---|
| 97 | 99.8403 |
|---|
| 98 | 100.0197 |
|---|
| 99 | 99.8908 |
|---|
| 100 | 99.7812 |
|---|
| 101 | 99.8291 |
|---|
| 102 | 99.781 |
|---|
| 103 | 99.7243 |
|---|
| 104 | 99.8149 |
|---|
| 105 | 99.8291 |
|---|
| 106 | 99.8059 |
|---|
| 107 | 99.808 |
|---|
| 108 | 99.7391 |
|---|
| 109 | 99.9412 |
|---|
| 110 | 99.9651 |
|---|
| 111 | 100.1372 |
|---|
| 112 | 100.3024 |
|---|
| 113 | 100.2931 |
|---|
| 114 | 100.336 |
|---|
| 115 | 100.596 |
|---|
| 116 | 100.6162 |
|---|
| 117 | 100.6161 |
|---|
| 118 | 100.8191 |
|---|
| 119 | 100.735 |
|---|
| 120 | 100.671 |
|---|
| 121 | 100.8407 |
|---|
| 122 | 100.5645 |
|---|
| 123 | 100.3814 |
|---|
| 124 | 100.2379 |
|---|
| 125 | 100.3931 |
|---|
| 126 | 100.4573 |
|---|
| 127 | 100.59 |
|---|
| 128 | 100.6481 |
|---|
| 129 | 100.7452 |
|---|
| 130 | 100.7266 |
|---|
| 131 | 100.8507 |
|---|
| 132 | 100.9601 |
|---|
| 133 | 100.8811 |
|---|
| 134 | 100.9358 |
|---|
| 135 | 100.9644 |
|---|
| 136 | 100.9964 |
|---|
| 137 | 100.9159 |
|---|
| 138 | 101.1276 |
|---|
| 139 | 100.9563 |
|---|
| 140 | 100.8111 |
|---|
| 141 | 100.8205 |
|---|
| 142 | 100.9003 |
|---|
| 143 | 100.7477 |
|---|
| 144 | 100.7326 |
|---|
| 145 | 100.9928 |
|---|
| 146 | 101.0847 |
|---|
| 147 | 100.9601 |
|---|
| 148 | 100.9844 |
|---|
| 149 | 100.9477 |
|---|
| 150 | 100.8903 |
|---|
| 151 | 100.9282 |
|---|
| 152 | 101.0147 |
|---|
| 153 | 100.9015 |
|---|
| 154 | 100.881 |
|---|
| 155 | 100.8157 |
|---|
| 156 | 100.8335 |
|---|
| 157 | 100.9471 |
|---|
| 158 | 101.0705 |
|---|
| 159 | 101.07 |
|---|
| 160 | 101.087 |
|---|
| 161 | 101.2137 |
|---|
| 162 | 101.1982 |
|---|
| 163 | 101.2372 |
|---|
| 164 | 101.3908 |
|---|
| 165 | 101.3083 |
|---|
| 166 | 100.9466 |
|---|
| 167 | 100.9637 |
|---|
| 168 | 101.1058 |
|---|
| 169 | 101.1342 |
|---|
| 170 | 101.2256 |
|---|
| 171 | 101.2115 |
|---|
| 172 | 101.2525 |
|---|
| 173 | 101.3583 |
|---|
| 174 | 101.3967 |
|---|
| 175 | 101.3824 |
|---|
| 176 | 101.3323 |
|---|
| 177 | 101.4275 |
|---|
| 178 | 101.4458 |
|---|
| 179 | 101.544 |
|---|
| 180 | 101.579 |
|---|
| 181 | 101.499 |
|---|
| 182 | 101.5132 |
|---|
| 183 | 101.5469 |
|---|
| 184 | 101.5431 |
|---|
| 185 | 101.4237 |
|---|
| 186 | 101.5312 |
|---|
| 187 | 101.5178 |
|---|
| 188 | 101.4137 |
|---|
| 189 | 101.4227 |
|---|
| 190 | 101.399 |
|---|
| 191 | 101.4174 |
|---|
| 192 | 101.4445 |
|---|
| 193 | 101.2841 |
|---|
| 194 | 101.2642 |
|---|
| 195 | 101.3386 |
|---|
| 196 | 101.4085 |
|---|
| 197 | 101.3774 |
|---|
| 198 | 101.5172 |
|---|
| 199 | 101.479 |
|---|
| 200 | 101.5545 |
|---|
| 201 | 101.506 |
|---|
| 202 | 101.4963 |
|---|
| 203 | 101.4464 |
|---|
| 204 | 101.4437 |
|---|
| 205 | 101.4422 |
|---|
| 206 | 101.2637 |
|---|
| 207 | 101.2615 |
|---|
| 208 | 101.2963 |
|---|
| 209 | 101.2907 |
|---|
| 210 | 101.3171 |
|---|
| 211 | 101.3937 |
|---|
| 212 | 101.3311 |
|---|
| 213 | 101.412 |
|---|
| 214 | 101.5283 |
|---|
| 215 | 101.1512 |
|---|
| 216 | 101.1346 |
|---|
| 217 | 101.1436 |
|---|
| 218 | 101.1419 |
|---|
| 219 | 101.2024 |
|---|
| 220 | 101.3217 |
|---|
| 221 | 101.3375 |
|---|
| 222 | 101.2521 |
|---|
| 223 | 101.3624 |
|---|
| 224 | 101.3436 |
|---|
| 225 | 101.3443 |
|---|
| 226 | 101.307 |
|---|
| 227 | 101.6831 |
|---|
| 228 | 101.7703 |
|---|
| 229 | 101.5866 |
|---|
| 230 | 101.642 |
|---|
| 231 | 101.7348 |
|---|
| 232 | 101.6285 |
|---|
| 233 | 101.544 |
|---|
| 234 | 101.6936 |
|---|
| 235 | 101.6449 |
|---|
| 236 | 101.6221 |
|---|
| 237 | 101.5371 |
|---|
| 238 | 101.6294 |
|---|
| 239 | 101.6184 |
|---|
| 240 | 101.6369 |
|---|
| 241 | 101.6259 |
|---|
| 242 | 101.5779 |
|---|
| 243 | 101.4774 |
|---|
| 244 | 101.5 |
|---|
| 245 | 101.547 |
|---|
| 246 | 101.6087 |
|---|
| 247 | 101.65 |
|---|
| 248 | 101.697 |
|---|
| 249 | 101.7972 |
|---|
| 250 | 101.8323 |
|---|
| 251 | 101.8736 |
|---|
| 252 | 101.843 |
|---|
| 253 | 101.8677 |
|---|
| 254 | 101.7094 |
|---|
| 255 | 101.683 |
|---|
| 256 | 101.7554 |
|---|
| 257 | 101.7391 |
|---|
| 258 | 101.8099 |
|---|
| 259 | 101.727 |
|---|
| 260 | 101.6965 |
|---|
| 261 | 101.7948 |
|---|
| 262 | 101.8428 |
|---|
| 263 | 101.8733 |
|---|
| 264 | 101.9301 |
|---|
| 265 | 101.8761 |
|---|
| 266 | 102.0214 |
|---|
| 267 | 102.1326 |
|---|
| 268 | 102.0625 |
|---|
| 269 | 102.2222 |
|---|
| 270 | 102.1285 |
|---|
| 271 | 102.0362 |
|---|
| 272 | 101.773 |
|---|
| 273 | 101.8903 |
|---|
| 274 | 101.9991 |
|---|
| 275 | 102.1279 |
|---|
| 276 | 102.0575 |
|---|
| 277 | 101.8808 |
|---|
| 278 | 102.0867 |
|---|
| 279 | 102.1556 |
|---|
| 280 | 102.3015 |
|---|
| 281 | 102.2315 |
|---|
| 282 | 102.1703 |
|---|
| 283 | 102.2957 |
|---|
| 284 | 102.3779 |
|---|
| 285 | 102.3296 |
|---|
| 286 | 102.3339 |
|---|
| 287 | 102.5103 |
|---|
| 288 | 102.4807 |
|---|
| 289 | 102.5942 |
|---|
| 290 | 102.6054 |
|---|
| 291 | 102.6938 |
|---|
| 292 | 102.7737 |
|---|
| 293 | 102.6947 |
|---|
| 294 | 102.6257 |
|---|
| 295 | 102.6948 |
|---|
| 296 | 102.7171 |
|---|
| 297 | 102.9108 |
|---|
| 298 | 102.9145 |
|---|
| 299 | 102.4727 |
|---|
| 300 | 102.7147 |
|---|
| 301 | 102.7474 |
|---|
| 302 | 102.7474 |
|---|
| 303 | 102.7808 |
|---|
| 304 | 102.9839 |
|---|
| 305 | 102.8616 |
|---|
| 306 | 103.0021 |
|---|
| 307 | 102.8593 |
|---|
| 308 | 102.3623 |
|---|
| 309 | 102.3547 |
|---|
| 310 | 102.4547 |
|---|
| 311 | 102.7376 |
|---|
| 312 | 102.6442 |
|---|
| 313 | 102.9108 |
|---|
| 314 | 102.5927 |
|---|
| 315 | 102.393 |
|---|
| 316 | 102.4347 |
|---|
| 317 | 102.4371 |
|---|
| 318 | 102.1743 |
|---|
| 319 | 102.2132 |
|---|
| 320 | 102.3048 |
|---|
| 321 | 102.3803 |
|---|
| 322 | 102.3198 |
|---|
| 323 | 102.3168 |
|---|
| 324 | 102.2034 |
|---|
| 325 | 102.2762 |
|---|
| 326 | 102.2489 |
|---|
| 327 | 102.2554 |
|---|
| 328 | 102.2859 |
|---|
| 329 | 102.2499 |
|---|
| 330 | 102.2677 |
|---|
| 331 | 102.4657 |
|---|
| 332 | 102.3177 |
|---|
| 333 | 102.0862 |
|---|
| 334 | 101.7691 |
|---|
| 335 | 101.7237 |
|---|
| 336 | 101.6647 |
|---|
| 337 | 101.7285 |
|---|
| 338 | 101.7644 |
|---|
| 339 | 101.7294 |
|---|
| 340 | 101.7315 |
|---|
| 341 | 101.7074 |
|---|
| 342 | 101.7625 |
|---|
| 343 | 101.7562 |
|---|
| 344 | 101.7099 |
|---|
| 345 | 101.6914 |
|---|
| 346 | 101.7788 |
|---|
| 347 | 101.572 |
|---|
| 348 | 101.5017 |
|---|
| 349 | 101.6128 |
|---|
| 350 | 101.5444 |
|---|
| 351 | 101.5893 |
|---|
| 352 | 101.6383 |
|---|
| 353 | 101.6875 |
|---|
| 354 | 101.6421 |
|---|
| 355 | 101.64 |
|---|
| 356 | 101.7076 |
|---|
| 357 | 101.6521 |
|---|
| 358 | 101.6711 |
|---|
| 359 | 101.6154 |
|---|
| 360 | 101.5464 |
|---|
| 361 | 101.5244 |
|---|
| 362 | 101.5321 |
|---|
| 363 | 101.4701 |
|---|
| 364 | 101.291 |
|---|
| 365 | 101.2717 |
|---|
| 366 | 101.5653 |
|---|
| -0.10% |
| -0.27 |
| 14 |
| 12.07 → 19.07 | Long | 71.4% | +0.15% | 2.61 | 14 |