Forex major currencies

US Dollar vs Swiss Franc (USDCHF) Seasonality

Over 1986 to 2025 (40 years of data), USDCHF has tended to move long between 10.10 and 25.11, closing higher in 65.0% of those years for an average +0.20% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.13.

Years: 1986-2025
Category: Forex major currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

10.10 - 25.11

Direction

Long

Win rate

65.0%

Avg return

+0.20%

Sample

40 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1986-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
10.10 → 25.11	Long	65.0%	+0.20%	0.13	40
11.10 → 23.11	Long	62.5%	+0.35%	0.24	40
10.10 → 23.11	Long	62.5%

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USDCHF average seasonal curve, 1986 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.1586
3	100.321
4	100.2692
5	100.5346
6	100.5287
7	100.6072
8	100.5479
9	100.614
10	100.5877
11	100.5732
12	100.4418
13	100.4266
14	100.496
15	100.015
16	100.0941
17	100.1776
18	100.0762
19	100.278
20	100.2962
21	100.1599
22	100.1367
23	100.0232
24	99.9795
25	100.0333
26	100.1108
27	100.1286
28	100.2689
29	100.3998
30	100.3949
31	100.2666
32	100.1728
33	100.382
34	100.3398
35	100.4247
36	100.5353
37	100.5171
38	100.6409
39	100.6651
40	100.5474
41	100.6126
42	100.6693
43	100.7625
44	100.802
45	100.6888
46	100.6886
47	100.546
48	100.6301
49	100.7752
50	100.622
51	100.6524
52	100.6626
53	100.6098
54	100.5796
55	100.5279
56	100.6014
57	100.6731
58	100.555
59	100.3773
60	100.5112
61	100.4709
62	100.4984
63	100.432
64	100.5059
65	100.366
66	100.3969
67	100.5106
68	100.3649
69	100.4
70	100.3941
71	100.3842
72	100.4257
73	100.4622
74	100.559
75	100.2622
76	100.1691
77	99.9493
78	100.034
79	100.106
80	100.1827
81	100.2837
82	100.3304
83	100.3614
84	100.5044
85	100.4397
86	100.4077
87	100.5012
88	100.4656
89	100.4377
90	100.3932
91	100.2747
92	100.3051
93	100.3076
94	100.2801
95	100.269
96	100.3194
97	100.43
98	100.2393
99	100.3442
100	100.0993
101	100.0104
102	99.9231
103	99.8076
104	100.0883
105	100.0125
106	99.9943
107	99.9881
108	99.9142
109	99.9322
110	99.888
111	99.9593
112	100.1876
113	100.0703
114	100.067
115	100.0871
116	100.0237
117	100.2143
118	100.0015
119	99.9034
120	99.7568
121	99.7559
122	99.7609
123	99.7134
124	99.6264
125	99.7529
126	99.7715
127	99.8848
128	100.0037
129	100.0154
130	100.0694
131	100.1336
132	100.1621
133	100.174
134	100.3848
135	100.427
136	100.3007
137	100.306
138	100.235
139	100.2476
140	100.1106
141	100.0934
142	100.0799
143	100.1553
144	100.0873
145	100.0683
146	100.067
147	99.996
148	100.0676
149	99.8827
150	99.8504
151	99.8789
152	99.9411
153	99.6893
154	99.6812
155	99.6125
156	99.414
157	99.549
158	99.4403
159	99.4769
160	99.4593
161	99.6366
162	99.5651
163	99.5994
164	99.6414
165	99.6911
166	99.6172
167	99.516
168	99.4829
169	99.4073
170	99.367
171	99.2982
172	99.1873
173	99.2467
174	99.1762
175	99.2118
176	99.1517
177	99.1662
178	99.0736
179	99.2337
180	99.0529
181	99.0626
182	99.0528
183	99.0915
184	99.0948
185	99.2427
186	99.4175
187	99.3464
188	99.4607
189	99.2873
190	99.3095
191	99.1327
192	99.1134
193	98.9657
194	98.9577
195	98.9751
196	98.9133
197	98.8818
198	98.854
199	98.6652
200	98.713
201	98.6649
202	98.5738
203	98.5297
204	98.7273
205	98.8308
206	98.7152
207	98.6142
208	98.7068
209	98.6716
210	98.6346
211	98.679
212	98.6661
213	98.4617
214	98.3495
215	98.2018
216	98.161
217	98.1335
218	98.2849
219	98.2773
220	98.2964
221	98.2153
222	98.2613
223	98.4923
224	98.4749
225	98.4421
226	98.5043
227	98.4712
228	98.5184
229	98.3959
230	98.5776
231	98.4494
232	98.3749
233	98.3039
234	98.3974
235	98.3785
236	98.3899
237	98.385
238	98.5006
239	98.4651
240	98.4611
241	98.4676
242	98.572
243	98.5282
244	98.4242
245	98.455
246	98.4448
247	98.5561
248	98.4931
249	98.8151
250	98.747
251	98.7339
252	98.7303
253	98.8868
254	98.7686
255	98.7384
256	98.6821
257	98.5806
258	98.5092
259	98.635
260	98.5909
261	98.4837
262	98.4974
263	98.436
264	98.4101
265	98.3542
266	98.3659
267	98.4836
268	98.4998
269	98.6738
270	98.7528
271	98.6428
272	98.5901
273	98.6282
274	98.7785
275	98.7593
276	99.0669
277	98.9992
278	99.0546
279	98.8254
280	99.0281
281	98.9156
282	98.9187
283	98.892
284	98.9802
285	98.884
286	98.8536
287	98.7469
288	98.7806
289	98.7358
290	98.7243
291	98.7215
292	98.7144
293	98.5941
294	98.6014
295	98.7106
296	98.7457
297	98.7768
298	98.6967
299	98.7827
300	98.714
301	98.781
302	98.722
303	98.6693
304	98.9108
305	98.9635
306	98.8979
307	99.0353
308	98.9329
309	98.9551
310	98.9368
311	98.929
312	98.955
313	98.9814
314	99.0624
315	98.9042
316	98.9484
317	98.9315
318	98.8682
319	98.9695
320	99.0617
321	99.1046
322	98.9543
323	99.0248
324	99.0257
325	99.1347
326	98.9898
327	99.0576
328	99.0101
329	98.96
330	98.7022
331	98.8177
332	98.662
333	98.8052
334	98.6928
335	98.6304
336	98.4425
337	98.2957
338	98.2636
339	98.278
340	98.2995
341	98.4741
342	98.4062
343	98.2999
344	98.2672
345	98.2675
346	98.1792
347	98.1153
348	98.1164
349	98.1642
350	98.0308
351	97.9735
352	97.7795
353	97.8184
354	97.8736
355	97.9483
356	97.9118
357	97.8406
358	97.8017
359	97.7809
360	97.8385
361	97.5225
362	97.4145
363	97.2933
364	97.059
365	97.0888
366	97.5983

USDCHF average seasonal curve, 1986 to 2025

Index

Value

100

100.1586

100.321

100.2692

100.5346

100.5287

100.6072

100.5479

100.614

100.5877

100.5732

100.4418

100.4266

100.496

100.015

100.0941

100.1776

100.0762

100.278

100.2962

100.1599

100.1367

100.0232

99.9795

100.0333

100.1108

100.1286

100.2689

100.3998

100.3949

100.2666

100.1728

100.382

100.3398

100.4247

100.5353

100.5171

100.6409

100.6651

100.5474

100.6126

100.6693

100.7625

100.802

100.6888

100.6886

100.546

100.6301

100.7752

100.622

100.6524

100.6626

100.6098

100.5796

100.5279

100.6014

100.6731

100.555

100.3773

100.5112

100.4709

100.4984

100.432

100.5059

100.366

100.3969

100.5106

100.3649

100.4

100.3941

100.3842

100.4257

100.4622

100.559

100.2622

100.1691

99.9493

100.034

100.106

100.1827

100.2837

100.3304

100.3614

100.5044

100.4397

100.4077

100.5012

100.4656

100.4377

100.3932

100.2747

100.3051

100.3076

100.2801

100.269

100.3194

100.43

100.2393

100.3442

100

100.0993

101

100.0104

102

99.9231

103

99.8076

104

100.0883

105

100.0125

106

99.9943

107

99.9881

108

99.9142

109

99.9322

110

99.888

111

99.9593

112

100.1876

113

100.0703

114

100.067

115

100.0871

116

100.0237

117

100.2143

118

100.0015

119

99.9034

120

99.7568

121

99.7559

122

99.7609

123

99.7134

124

99.6264

125

99.7529

126

99.7715

127

99.8848

128

100.0037

129

100.0154

130

100.0694

131

100.1336

132

100.1621

133

100.174

134

100.3848

135

100.427

136

100.3007

137

100.306

138

100.235

139

100.2476

140

100.1106

141

100.0934

142

100.0799

143

100.1553

144

100.0873

145

100.0683

146

100.067

147

99.996

148

100.0676

149

99.8827

150

99.8504

151

99.8789

152

99.9411

153

99.6893

154

99.6812

155

99.6125

156

99.414

157

99.549

158

99.4403

159

99.4769

160

99.4593

161

99.6366

162

99.5651

163

99.5994

164

99.6414

165

99.6911

166

99.6172

167

99.516

168

99.4829

169

99.4073

170

99.367

171

99.2982

172

99.1873

173

99.2467

174

99.1762

175

99.2118

176

99.1517

177

99.1662

178

99.0736

179

99.2337

180

99.0529

181

99.0626

182

99.0528

183

99.0915

184

99.0948

185

99.2427

186

99.4175

187

99.3464

188

99.4607

189

99.2873

190

99.3095

191

99.1327

192

99.1134

193

98.9657

194

98.9577

195

98.9751

196

98.9133

197

98.8818

198

98.854

199

98.6652

200

98.713

201

98.6649

202

98.5738

203

98.5297

204

98.7273

205

98.8308

206

98.7152

207

98.6142

208

98.7068

209

98.6716

210

98.6346

211

98.679

212

98.6661

213

98.4617

214

98.3495

215

98.2018

216

98.161

217

98.1335

218

98.2849

219

98.2773

220

98.2964

221

98.2153

222

98.2613

223

98.4923

224

98.4749

225

98.4421

226

98.5043

227

98.4712

228

98.5184

229

98.3959

230

98.5776

231

98.4494

232

98.3749

233

98.3039

234

98.3974

235

98.3785

236

98.3899

237

98.385

238

98.5006

239

98.4651

240

98.4611

241

98.4676

242

98.572

243

98.5282

244

98.4242

245

98.455

246

98.4448

247

98.5561

248

98.4931

249

98.8151

250

98.747

251

98.7339

252

98.7303

253

98.8868

254

98.7686

255

98.7384

256

98.6821

257

98.5806

258

98.5092

259

98.635

260

98.5909

261

98.4837

262

98.4974

263

98.436

264

98.4101

265

98.3542

266

98.3659

267

98.4836

268

98.4998

269

98.6738

270

98.7528

271

98.6428

272

98.5901

273

98.6282

274

98.7785

275

98.7593

276

99.0669

277

98.9992

278

99.0546

279

98.8254

280

99.0281

281

98.9156

282

98.9187

283

98.892

284

98.9802

285

98.884

286

98.8536

287

98.7469

288

98.7806

289

98.7358

290

98.7243

291

98.7215

292

98.7144

293

98.5941

294

98.6014

295

98.7106

296

98.7457

297

98.7768

298

98.6967

299

98.7827

300

98.714

301

98.781

302

98.722

303

98.6693

304

98.9108

305

98.9635

306

98.8979

307

99.0353

308

98.9329

309

98.9551

310

98.9368

311

98.929

312

98.955

313

98.9814

314

99.0624

315

98.9042

316

98.9484

317

98.9315

318

98.8682

319

98.9695

320

99.0617

321

99.1046

322

98.9543

323

99.0248

324

99.0257

325

99.1347

326

98.9898

327

99.0576

328

99.0101

329

98.96

330

98.7022

331

98.8177

332

98.662

333

98.8052

334

98.6928

335

98.6304

336

98.4425

337

98.2957

338

98.2636

339

98.278

340

98.2995

341

98.4741

342

98.4062

343

98.2999

344

98.2672

345

98.2675

346

98.1792

347

98.1153

348

98.1164

349

98.1642

350

98.0308

351

97.9735

352

97.7795

353

97.8184

354

97.8736

355

97.9483

356

97.9118

357

97.8406

358

97.8017

359

97.7809

360

97.8385

361

97.5225

362

97.4145

363

97.2933

364

97.059

365

97.0888

366

97.5983