Forex major currencies

US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) Seasonality

Over 1986 to 2025 (40 years of data), USDCAD has tended to move long between 12.10 and 17.11, closing higher in 75.0% of those years for an average +0.76% move and an annualized Sharpe of 1.47.

Years: 1986-2025
Category: Forex major currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

12.10 - 17.11

Direction

Long

Win rate

75.0%

Avg return

+0.76%

Sample

40 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1986-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
12.10 → 17.11	Long	75.0%	+0.76%	1.47	40
12.10 → 20.11	Long	72.5%	+0.99%	1.35	40
12.10 → 21.11	Long	72.5%

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USDCAD average seasonal curve, 1986 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.2588
3	100.6558
4	100.3473
5	100.5838
6	100.2849
7	100.2431
8	100.2445
9	100.3524
10	100.4486
11	100.3032
12	100.0921
13	100.0672
14	100.1125
15	100.1329
16	100.3309
17	100.4082
18	100.4967
19	100.339
20	99.9016
21	100.0958
22	100.1434
23	99.9397
24	100.0958
25	100.0331
26	100.0343
27	100.0081
28	99.9586
29	99.8163
30	100.2293
31	100.1393
32	100.0097
33	100.4887
34	100.1486
35	100.2279
36	100.3674
37	100.2511
38	99.9767
39	100.1017
40	99.9756
41	99.9026
42	99.8606
43	99.953
44	99.9231
45	99.8828
46	99.8503
47	99.9779
48	100.0079
49	100.1599
50	100.2639
51	100.1575
52	100.2974
53	100.2712
54	100.2979
55	100.612
56	100.4385
57	100.466
58	100.6758
59	100.7296
60	100.7666
61	100.618
62	100.7279
63	100.6256
64	100.6343
65	100.4333
66	100.7502
67	100.9292
68	100.8644
69	100.8485
70	100.8738
71	100.7306
72	100.9125
73	100.8475
74	100.9865
75	100.7565
76	100.5775
77	100.6025
78	100.6094
79	100.5962
80	100.5016
81	100.5734
82	100.6489
83	100.633
84	100.5975
85	100.6339
86	100.6125
87	100.5957
88	100.457
89	100.3954
90	100.4887
91	100.3105
92	100.3231
93	100.0849
94	100.1606
95	100.2155
96	100.4461
97	100.3937
98	100.4176
99	100.108
100	99.9411
101	100.013
102	100.0204
103	99.7852
104	99.8841
105	99.8961
106	99.7631
107	99.8191
108	99.7223
109	99.8684
110	99.5535
111	99.831
112	100.0421
113	100.0741
114	99.9536
115	100.1599
116	100.2373
117	100.1654
118	100.0911
119	100.1272
120	99.9919
121	100.2228
122	100.2192
123	100.1014
124	99.8846
125	99.772
126	99.8678
127	99.9792
128	100.2333
129	100.3902
130	100.3597
131	100.4578
132	100.6861
133	100.4576
134	100.5363
135	100.3914
136	100.2514
137	100.2145
138	100.3316
139	100.2425
140	100.1936
141	100.1785
142	100.247
143	100.0894
144	100.3175
145	100.3019
146	100.1879
147	100.2709
148	100.1796
149	100.1557
150	100.0431
151	99.9195
152	99.7495
153	99.5561
154	99.6517
155	99.64
156	99.7526
157	99.7271
158	99.5982
159	99.7656
160	99.9703
161	100.0216
162	100.0554
163	100.0383
164	100.0384
165	100.1477
166	99.897
167	99.9771
168	100.3975
169	100.4468
170	100.4479
171	100.479
172	100.303
173	100.3385
174	100.4815
175	100.3636
176	100.2143
177	100.0973
178	100.2381
179	100.3195
180	100.3373
181	100.1933
182	100.28
183	100.26
184	100.1628
185	100.0377
186	100.3813
187	100.5735
188	100.4127
189	100.3698
190	100.3882
191	100.3565
192	100.3901
193	100.3839
194	100.2355
195	100.5828
196	100.4911
197	100.5176
198	100.5144
199	100.414
200	100.2808
201	100.3469
202	100.3383
203	100.2573
204	100.3378
205	100.375
206	100.3975
207	100.4727
208	100.4488
209	100.5093
210	100.541
211	100.6586
212	100.6388
213	100.6358
214	100.9231
215	100.8595
216	100.9133
217	101.0243
218	100.8576
219	100.8382
220	100.7609
221	100.774
222	100.6266
223	100.6312
224	100.6481
225	100.6358
226	100.7184
227	100.9789
228	100.981
229	101.017
230	101.0504
231	101.2177
232	101.1464
233	101.1852
234	101.1064
235	100.9571
236	100.93
237	100.9451
238	101.0569
239	100.9286
240	100.8903
241	100.7632
242	100.8818
243	100.9277
244	101.0649
245	101.0792
246	101.1129
247	101.2487
248	101.2519
249	101.2763
250	101.4222
251	101.2199
252	101.1874
253	101.1988
254	101.1631
255	101.0226
256	101.3047
257	101.245
258	101.2958
259	101.2581
260	101.3183
261	101.2983
262	101.2114
263	101.38
264	101.5673
265	101.6228
266	101.7993
267	101.8278
268	101.6876
269	102.083
270	102.0589
271	101.961
272	102.1264
273	102.3607
274	102.4063
275	102.4717
276	102.283
277	102.2189
278	102.3641
279	102.4826
280	102.4996
281	102.5664
282	102.58
283	102.7013
284	102.8041
285	102.9898
286	102.9186
287	103.1357
288	103.1533
289	103.0436
290	102.8091
291	102.9791
292	103.0474
293	103.0731
294	102.854
295	102.8498
296	102.8123
297	103.0045
298	102.9997
299	102.9749
300	103.0688
301	103.0403
302	103.0252
303	103.1005
304	103.2096
305	103.1954
306	103.2447
307	103.2015
308	102.8184
309	102.8019
310	102.8292
311	102.9641
312	102.7626
313	103.0256
314	102.6774
315	102.5406
316	102.5506
317	102.6584
318	102.6441
319	102.6445
320	102.8757
321	102.8446
322	102.8211
323	102.8265
324	102.8157
325	102.9148
326	102.797
327	102.7441
328	102.6586
329	102.6367
330	102.7919
331	102.7301
332	102.679
333	102.8368
334	102.489
335	102.4677
336	102.5026
337	102.5236
338	102.6071
339	102.6921
340	102.7082
341	102.9508
342	102.8605
343	102.9132
344	102.8745
345	102.8721
346	102.7973
347	102.6655
348	102.5149
349	102.6326
350	102.6652
351	102.7294
352	102.8434
353	102.9335
354	102.8177
355	102.6685
356	102.6075
357	102.4287
358	102.4037
359	102.4062
360	102.2398
361	102.2831
362	102.4297
363	102.4137
364	102.4046
365	102.3732
366	102.5794

USDCAD average seasonal curve, 1986 to 2025

Index

Value

100

100.2588

100.6558

100.3473

100.5838

100.2849

100.2431

100.2445

100.3524

100.4486

100.3032

100.0921

100.0672

100.1125

100.1329

100.3309

100.4082

100.4967

100.339

99.9016

100.0958

100.1434

99.9397

100.0958

100.0331

100.0343

100.0081

99.9586

99.8163

100.2293

100.1393

100.0097

100.4887

100.1486

100.2279

100.3674

100.2511

99.9767

100.1017

99.9756

99.9026

99.8606

99.953

99.9231

99.8828

99.8503

99.9779

100.0079

100.1599

100.2639

100.1575

100.2974

100.2712

100.2979

100.612

100.4385

100.466

100.6758

100.7296

100.7666

100.618

100.7279

100.6256

100.6343

100.4333

100.7502

100.9292

100.8644

100.8485

100.8738

100.7306

100.9125

100.8475

100.9865

100.7565

100.5775

100.6025

100.6094

100.5962

100.5016

100.5734

100.6489

100.633

100.5975

100.6339

100.6125

100.5957

100.457

100.3954

100.4887

100.3105

100.3231

100.0849

100.1606

100.2155

100.4461

100.3937

100.4176

100.108

100

99.9411

101

100.013

102

100.0204

103

99.7852

104

99.8841

105

99.8961

106

99.7631

107

99.8191

108

99.7223

109

99.8684

110

99.5535

111

99.831

112

100.0421

113

100.0741

114

99.9536

115

100.1599

116

100.2373

117

100.1654

118

100.0911

119

100.1272

120

99.9919

121

100.2228

122

100.2192

123

100.1014

124

99.8846

125

99.772

126

99.8678

127

99.9792

128

100.2333

129

100.3902

130

100.3597

131

100.4578

132

100.6861

133

100.4576

134

100.5363

135

100.3914

136

100.2514

137

100.2145

138

100.3316

139

100.2425

140

100.1936

141

100.1785

142

100.247

143

100.0894

144

100.3175

145

100.3019

146

100.1879

147

100.2709

148

100.1796

149

100.1557

150

100.0431

151

99.9195

152

99.7495

153

99.5561

154

99.6517

155

99.64

156

99.7526

157

99.7271

158

99.5982

159

99.7656

160

99.9703

161

100.0216

162

100.0554

163

100.0383

164

100.0384

165

100.1477

166

99.897

167

99.9771

168

100.3975

169

100.4468

170

100.4479

171

100.479

172

100.303

173

100.3385

174

100.4815

175

100.3636

176

100.2143

177

100.0973

178

100.2381

179

100.3195

180

100.3373

181

100.1933

182

100.28

183

100.26

184

100.1628

185

100.0377

186

100.3813

187

100.5735

188

100.4127

189

100.3698

190

100.3882

191

100.3565

192

100.3901

193

100.3839

194

100.2355

195

100.5828

196

100.4911

197

100.5176

198

100.5144

199

100.414

200

100.2808

201

100.3469

202

100.3383

203

100.2573

204

100.3378

205

100.375

206

100.3975

207

100.4727

208

100.4488

209

100.5093

210

100.541

211

100.6586

212

100.6388

213

100.6358

214

100.9231

215

100.8595

216

100.9133

217

101.0243

218

100.8576

219

100.8382

220

100.7609

221

100.774

222

100.6266

223

100.6312

224

100.6481

225

100.6358

226

100.7184

227

100.9789

228

100.981

229

101.017

230

101.0504

231

101.2177

232

101.1464

233

101.1852

234

101.1064

235

100.9571

236

100.93

237

100.9451

238

101.0569

239

100.9286

240

100.8903

241

100.7632

242

100.8818

243

100.9277

244

101.0649

245

101.0792

246

101.1129

247

101.2487

248

101.2519

249

101.2763

250

101.4222

251

101.2199

252

101.1874

253

101.1988

254

101.1631

255

101.0226

256

101.3047

257

101.245

258

101.2958

259

101.2581

260

101.3183

261

101.2983

262

101.2114

263

101.38

264

101.5673

265

101.6228

266

101.7993

267

101.8278

268

101.6876

269

102.083

270

102.0589

271

101.961

272

102.1264

273

102.3607

274

102.4063

275

102.4717

276

102.283

277

102.2189

278

102.3641

279

102.4826

280

102.4996

281

102.5664

282

102.58

283

102.7013

284

102.8041

285

102.9898

286

102.9186

287

103.1357

288

103.1533

289

103.0436

290

102.8091

291

102.9791

292

103.0474

293

103.0731

294

102.854

295

102.8498

296

102.8123

297

103.0045

298

102.9997

299

102.9749

300

103.0688

301

103.0403

302

103.0252

303

103.1005

304

103.2096

305

103.1954

306

103.2447

307

103.2015

308

102.8184

309

102.8019

310

102.8292

311

102.9641

312

102.7626

313

103.0256

314

102.6774

315

102.5406

316

102.5506

317

102.6584

318

102.6441

319

102.6445

320

102.8757

321

102.8446

322

102.8211

323

102.8265

324

102.8157

325

102.9148

326

102.797

327

102.7441

328

102.6586

329

102.6367

330

102.7919

331

102.7301

332

102.679

333

102.8368

334

102.489

335

102.4677

336

102.5026

337

102.5236

338

102.6071

339

102.6921

340

102.7082

341

102.9508

342

102.8605

343

102.9132

344

102.8745

345

102.8721

346

102.7973

347

102.6655

348

102.5149

349

102.6326

350

102.6652

351

102.7294

352

102.8434

353

102.9335

354

102.8177

355

102.6685

356

102.6075

357

102.4287

358

102.4037

359

102.4062

360

102.2398

361

102.2831

362

102.4297

363

102.4137

364

102.4046

365

102.3732

366

102.5794