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Turkish Lira vs Japanese Yen (TRYJPY) Seasonality

Over 2010 to 2025 (16 years of data), TRYJPY has tended to move short between 08.07 and 13.08, closing higher in 93.8% of those years for an average +4.58% move and an annualized Sharpe of 1.67.

Average seasonal curve

TRYJPY average seasonal curve, 2010 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.5705
3	99.7928
4	100.1577
5	100.0415
6	99.8377
7	99.6213
8	99.4948
9	99.4203
10	99.2361
11	99.11
12	99.4094
13	99.1669
14	99.2513
15	98.7835
16	98.8402
17	99.0832
18	99.2428
19	99.2029
20	99.1149
21	99.0171
22	99.0827
23	98.9089
24	98.9232
25	98.6632
26	98.7658
27	98.9685
28	99.0437
29	98.8053
30	98.7567
31	99.1359
32	99.2533
33	99.3223
34	99.4363
35	99.4667
36	99.6558
37	99.6213
38	99.31
39	99.2085
40	99.3284
41	99.2905
42	99.574
43	99.7339
44	99.6721
45	99.6787
46	99.8695
47	99.8097
48	100.0605
49	99.8854
50	99.8037
51	99.6402
52	99.3954

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
08.07 → 13.08	Short	93.8%	+4.58%	1.67	16
07.07 → 22.08	Short	87.5%	+5.15%	1.82	16
08.07 → 22.08	Short	87.5%	+5.09%	1.85	16
09.07 → 22.08	Short	87.5%	+5.04%	1.95	16
13.07 → 22.08	Short	87.5%	+4.99%	2.24	16
10.07 → 22.08	Short	87.5%	+4.90%	1.91	16
11.07 → 22.08	Short	87.5%

Explore further

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