United States ETFs

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPYUSUSD) Seasonality

Over 2017 to 2025 (9 years of data), SPYUSUSD has tended to move long between 11.10 and 02.12, closing higher in 100.0% of those years for an average +5.21% move and an annualized Sharpe of 4.31.

Years: 2017-2025
Category: United States ETFs
Windows: 8

Best window

11.10 - 02.12

Direction

Long

Win rate

100.0%

Avg return

+5.21%

Sample

9 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

2017-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.10 → 02.12	Long	100.0%	+5.21%	4.31	9
12.10 → 02.12	Long	100.0%	+5.13%	4.23	9
11.10 → 01.12	Long	100.0%

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SPYUSUSD average seasonal curve, 2017 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.8619
3	99.9912
4	99.792
5	99.3381
6	100.0068
7	99.9904
8	100.4133
9	100.375
10	100.2991
11	100.5976
12	100.7379
13	100.6389
14	100.6044
15	100.8138
16	100.7058
17	100.7414
18	100.2339
19	100.2804
20	100.6979
21	100.5195
22	100.6077
23	101.0153
24	101.013
25	100.9722
26	101.1044
27	100.257
28	101.0775
29	100.7745
30	100.6118
31	100.8444
32	101.7684
33	102.7441
34	101.9067
35	102.4039
36	102.4921
37	102.5067
38	102.6568
39	102.7624
40	102.9845
41	102.7916
42	102.4297
43	102.4625
44	102.6336
45	102.7586
46	103.2892
47	102.9079
48	102.4165
49	102.23
50	102.2442
51	102.0469
52	101.3078
53	101.3384
54	101.1092
55	101.2965
56	101.1675
57	100.9922
58	100.7761
59	100.9229
60	101.1039
61	101.6522
62	101.268
63	100.5186
64	101.0799
65	100.5306
66	99.9265
67	99.9228
68	100.1953
69	99.4221
70	99.1864
71	99.2973
72	99.2183
73	99.7846
74	100.1568
75	100.7233
76	100.8813
77	100.546
78	100.781
79	101.0317
80	101.4189
81	101.5372
82	101.1406
83	101.8091
84	102.0728
85	102.1118
86	102.0358
87	101.9092
88	102.476
89	102.4146
90	102.577
91	102.9336
92	103.0018
93	101.9391
94	100.7797
95	100.5255
96	100.5915
97	100.643
98	100.3997
99	102.3464
100	101.705
101	101.5121
102	101.5143
103	101.7823
104	101.6002
105	101.7788
106	101.1454
107	101.195
108	101.0862
109	101.2674
110	100.8141
111	100.2537
112	99.9947
113	100.7139
114	101.3879
115	101.3309
116	100.6231
117	101.2592
118	101.9297
119	101.3992
120	101.3501
121	101.1573
122	101.2858
123	101.4652
124	102.0624
125	101.5806
126	101.482
127	101.9233
128	102.0877
129	101.2959
130	101.3538
131	100.8424
132	101.0294
133	101.8709
134	102.2085
135	102.4697
136	102.644
137	103.2151
138	102.4148
139	102.2416
140	102.3972
141	102.0667
142	102.1182
143	102.0807
144	101.8158
145	102.2794
146	102.9935
147	103.8904
148	103.8121
149	103.9144
150	103.7476
151	103.3881
152	103.6025
153	104.4226
154	104.1246
155	104.3256
156	104.2024
157	104.7743
158	104.8864
159	104.7637
160	104.2844
161	103.8905
162	103.9335
163	104.2456
164	103.5139
165	103.5593
166	104.0899
167	103.3431
168	103.1094
169	102.9158
170	102.9699
171	102.7742
172	103.3942
173	103.4294
174	103.6513
175	104.6564
176	104.6805
177	104.8465
178	105.1218
179	104.775
180	104.76
181	104.9547
182	105.2608
183	105.5612
184	105.927
185	106.0201
186	106.0396
187	106.033
188	106.1979
189	105.995
190	106.3645
191	106.5037
192	106.5289
193	106.4021
194	106.5117
195	106.5229
196	106.7497
197	106.7191
198	107.0494
199	106.7277
200	106.8461
201	107.0159
202	107.4425
203	107.2949
204	107.9044
205	107.9798
206	107.6546
207	107.3462
208	107.8948
209	108.3572
210	108.702
211	108.5875
212	108.4488
213	108.2969
214	107.5184
215	107.562
216	107.6565
217	107.6493
218	107.2151
219	107.5805
220	107.4956
221	107.7284
222	108.2999
223	108.2945
224	108.9548
225	109.0823
226	109.5644
227	109.4262
228	109.7295
229	109.3038
230	109.1325
231	108.7524
232	109.072
233	109.095
234	108.984
235	109.1903
236	109.2204
237	109.6331
238	108.8462
239	109.0327
240	109.275
241	109.1814
242	109.1216
243	109.1037
244	109.235
245	108.8791
246	108.9862
247	108.7124
248	108.5081
249	108.264
250	108.1507
251	108.3435
252	108.6283
253	108.7695
254	109.1841
255	109.5093
256	108.8106
257	109.0722
258	108.7749
259	108.4547
260	108.1867
261	108.3104
262	108.4063
263	107.9678
264	107.0949
265	107.1688
266	106.9503
267	106.9766
268	107.0247
269	106.5778
270	106.5593
271	106.6276
272	106.2196
273	105.7138
274	106.1328
275	105.9504
276	106.2261
277	106.7149
278	107.0587
279	107.2669
280	106.7651
281	106.6577
282	106.933
283	106.4456
284	106.2042
285	106.0828
286	106.9315
287	106.7679
288	107.1983
289	107.1092
290	107.8604
291	107.8911
292	107.7995
293	107.6572
294	108.2354
295	108.0729
296	108.1417
297	108.5308
298	108.7302
299	108.3271
300	108.2683
301	109.0447
302	109.1623
303	109.2262
304	109.195
305	108.9506
306	108.9819
307	109.1273
308	109.2899
309	109.388
310	109.4544
311	110.2947
312	110.6244
313	110.0037
314	111.6891
315	111.9773
316	112.1853
317	111.7199
318	111.969
319	112.0665
320	111.712
321	111.4136
322	111.4065
323	111.5542
324	111.4592
325	111.5569
326	112.0025
327	112.2487
328	112.619
329	112.8169
330	112.6086
331	112.7096
332	112.4093
333	112.5967
334	113.0769
335	112.8073
336	113.1738
337	113.0944
338	113.0086
339	112.7781
340	112.585
341	113.2242
342	113.4971
343	113.1481
344	113.3958
345	113.4661
346	113.8287
347	113.9925
348	113.7559
349	113.3803
350	112.7492
351	112.2802
352	112.4782
353	111.8704
354	111.3371
355	112.4537
356	112.5462
357	112.9357
358	113.1659
359	113.4039
360	113.4996
361	113.769
362	113.2344
363	113.5107
364	113.3424
365	112.8734
366	112.3554

SPYUSUSD average seasonal curve, 2017 to 2025

Index

Value

100

99.8619

99.9912

99.792

99.3381

100.0068

99.9904

100.4133

100.375

100.2991

100.5976

100.7379

100.6389

100.6044

100.8138

100.7058

100.7414

100.2339

100.2804

100.6979

100.5195

100.6077

101.0153

101.013

100.9722

101.1044

100.257

101.0775

100.7745

100.6118

100.8444

101.7684

102.7441

101.9067

102.4039

102.4921

102.5067

102.6568

102.7624

102.9845

102.7916

102.4297

102.4625

102.6336

102.7586

103.2892

102.9079

102.4165

102.23

102.2442

102.0469

101.3078

101.3384

101.1092

101.2965

101.1675

100.9922

100.7761

100.9229

101.1039

101.6522

101.268

100.5186

101.0799

100.5306

99.9265

99.9228

100.1953

99.4221

99.1864

99.2973

99.2183

99.7846

100.1568

100.7233

100.8813

100.546

100.781

101.0317

101.4189

101.5372

101.1406

101.8091

102.0728

102.1118

102.0358

101.9092

102.476

102.4146

102.577

102.9336

103.0018

101.9391

100.7797

100.5255

100.5915

100.643

100.3997

102.3464

100

101.705

101

101.5121

102

101.5143

103

101.7823

104

101.6002

105

101.7788

106

101.1454

107

101.195

108

101.0862

109

101.2674

110

100.8141

111

100.2537

112

99.9947

113

100.7139

114

101.3879

115

101.3309

116

100.6231

117

101.2592

118

101.9297

119

101.3992

120

101.3501

121

101.1573

122

101.2858

123

101.4652

124

102.0624

125

101.5806

126

101.482

127

101.9233

128

102.0877

129

101.2959

130

101.3538

131

100.8424

132

101.0294

133

101.8709

134

102.2085

135

102.4697

136

102.644

137

103.2151

138

102.4148

139

102.2416

140

102.3972

141

102.0667

142

102.1182

143

102.0807

144

101.8158

145

102.2794

146

102.9935

147

103.8904

148

103.8121

149

103.9144

150

103.7476

151

103.3881

152

103.6025

153

104.4226

154

104.1246

155

104.3256

156

104.2024

157

104.7743

158

104.8864

159

104.7637

160

104.2844

161

103.8905

162

103.9335

163

104.2456

164

103.5139

165

103.5593

166

104.0899

167

103.3431

168

103.1094

169

102.9158

170

102.9699

171

102.7742

172

103.3942

173

103.4294

174

103.6513

175

104.6564

176

104.6805

177

104.8465

178

105.1218

179

104.775

180

104.76

181

104.9547

182

105.2608

183

105.5612

184

105.927

185

106.0201

186

106.0396

187

106.033

188

106.1979

189

105.995

190

106.3645

191

106.5037

192

106.5289

193

106.4021

194

106.5117

195

106.5229

196

106.7497

197

106.7191

198

107.0494

199

106.7277

200

106.8461

201

107.0159

202

107.4425

203

107.2949

204

107.9044

205

107.9798

206

107.6546

207

107.3462

208

107.8948

209

108.3572

210

108.702

211

108.5875

212

108.4488

213

108.2969

214

107.5184

215

107.562

216

107.6565

217

107.6493

218

107.2151

219

107.5805

220

107.4956

221

107.7284

222

108.2999

223

108.2945

224

108.9548

225

109.0823

226

109.5644

227

109.4262

228

109.7295

229

109.3038

230

109.1325

231

108.7524

232

109.072

233

109.095

234

108.984

235

109.1903

236

109.2204

237

109.6331

238

108.8462

239

109.0327

240

109.275

241

109.1814

242

109.1216

243

109.1037

244

109.235

245

108.8791

246

108.9862

247

108.7124

248

108.5081

249

108.264

250

108.1507

251

108.3435

252

108.6283

253

108.7695

254

109.1841

255

109.5093

256

108.8106

257

109.0722

258

108.7749

259

108.4547

260

108.1867

261

108.3104

262

108.4063

263

107.9678

264

107.0949

265

107.1688

266

106.9503

267

106.9766

268

107.0247

269

106.5778

270

106.5593

271

106.6276

272

106.2196

273

105.7138

274

106.1328

275

105.9504

276

106.2261

277

106.7149

278

107.0587

279

107.2669

280

106.7651

281

106.6577

282

106.933

283

106.4456

284

106.2042

285

106.0828

286

106.9315

287

106.7679

288

107.1983

289

107.1092

290

107.8604

291

107.8911

292

107.7995

293

107.6572

294

108.2354

295

108.0729

296

108.1417

297

108.5308

298

108.7302

299

108.3271

300

108.2683

301

109.0447

302

109.1623

303

109.2262

304

109.195

305

108.9506

306

108.9819

307

109.1273

308

109.2899

309

109.388

310

109.4544

311

110.2947

312

110.6244

313

110.0037

314

111.6891

315

111.9773

316

112.1853

317

111.7199

318

111.969

319

112.0665

320

111.712

321

111.4136

322

111.4065

323

111.5542

324

111.4592

325

111.5569

326

112.0025

327

112.2487

328

112.619

329

112.8169

330

112.6086

331

112.7096

332

112.4093

333

112.5967

334

113.0769

335

112.8073

336

113.1738

337

113.0944

338

113.0086

339

112.7781

340

112.585

341

113.2242

342

113.4971

343

113.1481

344

113.3958

345

113.4661

346

113.8287

347

113.9925

348

113.7559

349

113.3803

350

112.7492

351

112.2802

352

112.4782

353

111.8704

354

111.3371

355

112.4537

356

112.5462

357

112.9357

358

113.1659

359

113.4039

360

113.4996

361

113.769

362

113.2344

363

113.5107

364

113.3424

365

112.8734

366

112.3554