

Over 2017 to 2025 (9 years of data), NVDAUSUSD has tended to move long between 18.08 and 16.10, closing higher in 88.9% of those years for an average +5.36% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.85.
| Index | Value |
|---|---|
| 1 | 100 |
| 2 | 100.0323 |
| 3 | 100.7019 |
| 4 | 101.0239 |
| 5 | 100.0257 |
| 6 | 100.7708 |
| 7 | 99.9266 |
| 8 | 101.0396 |
| 9 | 102.4134 |
| 10 | 102.7633 |
| 11 | 103.8825 |
| 12 | 104.4205 |
| 13 | 103.4861 |
| 14 | 103.0533 |
| 15 | 103.2054 |
| 16 | 103.4317 |
| 17 | 104.8511 |
| 18 | 104.0303 |
| 19 | 103.7182 |
| 20 | 104.7651 |
| 21 | 105.3174 |
| 22 | 106.0371 |
| 23 | 107.7072 |
| 24 | 107.6494 |
| 25 | 106.7595 |
| 26 | 107.2038 |
| 27 | 102.262 |
| 28 | 104.903 |
| 29 | 104.5415 |
| 30 | 103.5808 |
| 31 | 104.2048 |
| 32 | 106.6982 |
| 33 | 109.6069 |
| 34 | 107.1607 |
| 35 | 108.1198 |
| 36 | 110.1335 |
| 37 | 110.4009 |
| 38 | 112.7007 |
| 39 | 114.3088 |
| 40 | 116.3861 |
| 41 | 115.9036 |
| 42 | 114.7863 |
| 43 | 114.1062 |
| 44 | 115.3539 |
| 45 | 118.0454 |
| 46 | 119.5385 |
| 47 | 119.2795 |
| 48 | 116.138 |
| 49 | 115.2572 |
| 50 | 115.3956 |
| 51 | 114.4942 |
| 52 | 112.1128 |
| Window | Dir | Win rate | Avg return | Sharpe | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08 → 16.10 | Long | 88.9% | +5.36% | 0.85 | 9 |
| 20.08 → 16.10 | Long | 88.9% | +4.94% | 0.86 | 9 |
| 18.08 → 12.10 | Long | 88.9% | +4.52% | 0.75 | 9 |
| 19.08 → 12.10 | Long | 88.9% | +4.14% | 0.69 | 9 |
| 20.08 → 12.10 | Long | 88.9% | +4.13% | 0.74 | 9 |
| 18.08 → 06.10 | Long | 88.9% | +3.74% | 0.87 | 9 |
| 18.08 → 07.10 | Long | 88.9% |
| 53 |
|---|
| 114.5714 |
| 54 | 116.2718 |
|---|
| 55 | 117.1535 |
|---|
| 56 | 114.8993 |
|---|
| 57 | 116.5349 |
|---|
| 58 | 114.5627 |
|---|
| 59 | 114.9972 |
|---|
| 60 | 114.448 |
|---|
| 61 | 115.8112 |
|---|
| 62 | 112.7427 |
|---|
| 63 | 111.3519 |
|---|
| 64 | 112.5551 |
|---|
| 65 | 111.0929 |
|---|
| 66 | 110.6577 |
|---|
| 67 | 111.0493 |
|---|
| 68 | 112.2625 |
|---|
| 69 | 110.2093 |
|---|
| 70 | 110.8743 |
|---|
| 71 | 111.6124 |
|---|
| 72 | 113.1578 |
|---|
| 73 | 114.321 |
|---|
| 74 | 115.9629 |
|---|
| 75 | 118.8774 |
|---|
| 76 | 119.0649 |
|---|
| 77 | 118.682 |
|---|
| 78 | 119.47 |
|---|
| 79 | 120.0826 |
|---|
| 80 | 120.6793 |
|---|
| 81 | 121.6912 |
|---|
| 82 | 122.0324 |
|---|
| 83 | 123.8894 |
|---|
| 84 | 123.1296 |
|---|
| 85 | 122.4751 |
|---|
| 86 | 121.1178 |
|---|
| 87 | 120.4995 |
|---|
| 88 | 121.6332 |
|---|
| 89 | 121.0245 |
|---|
| 90 | 121.5839 |
|---|
| 91 | 122.2896 |
|---|
| 92 | 122.3136 |
|---|
| 93 | 120.2847 |
|---|
| 94 | 118.4754 |
|---|
| 95 | 116.1729 |
|---|
| 96 | 115.2582 |
|---|
| 97 | 116.3447 |
|---|
| 98 | 115.3083 |
|---|
| 99 | 119.1057 |
|---|
| 100 | 117.6745 |
|---|
| 101 | 117.2401 |
|---|
| 102 | 118.4393 |
|---|
| 103 | 119.2216 |
|---|
| 104 | 117.8049 |
|---|
| 105 | 119.4319 |
|---|
| 106 | 116.837 |
|---|
| 107 | 116.7133 |
|---|
| 108 | 116.9578 |
|---|
| 109 | 116.9689 |
|---|
| 110 | 112.8195 |
|---|
| 111 | 110.71 |
|---|
| 112 | 109.6767 |
|---|
| 113 | 112.0423 |
|---|
| 114 | 113.5699 |
|---|
| 115 | 113.5661 |
|---|
| 116 | 114.0001 |
|---|
| 117 | 114.9935 |
|---|
| 118 | 116.4325 |
|---|
| 119 | 115.0607 |
|---|
| 120 | 114.5404 |
|---|
| 121 | 115.6929 |
|---|
| 122 | 116.0375 |
|---|
| 123 | 116.3014 |
|---|
| 124 | 116.9703 |
|---|
| 125 | 116.0978 |
|---|
| 126 | 115.9914 |
|---|
| 127 | 118.0511 |
|---|
| 128 | 118.0812 |
|---|
| 129 | 115.1977 |
|---|
| 130 | 114.9858 |
|---|
| 131 | 113.819 |
|---|
| 132 | 113.3196 |
|---|
| 133 | 116.4782 |
|---|
| 134 | 118.5426 |
|---|
| 135 | 119.2253 |
|---|
| 136 | 119.7649 |
|---|
| 137 | 121.6206 |
|---|
| 138 | 120.3202 |
|---|
| 139 | 120.3813 |
|---|
| 140 | 120.5206 |
|---|
| 141 | 121.2724 |
|---|
| 142 | 121.5335 |
|---|
| 143 | 121.0561 |
|---|
| 144 | 122.9563 |
|---|
| 145 | 130.4266 |
|---|
| 146 | 132.5158 |
|---|
| 147 | 134.2887 |
|---|
| 148 | 135.4737 |
|---|
| 149 | 138.2809 |
|---|
| 150 | 138.4067 |
|---|
| 151 | 135.6051 |
|---|
| 152 | 136.2472 |
|---|
| 153 | 139.1889 |
|---|
| 154 | 138.9911 |
|---|
| 155 | 141.4265 |
|---|
| 156 | 141.2576 |
|---|
| 157 | 142.7433 |
|---|
| 158 | 141.845 |
|---|
| 159 | 141.8865 |
|---|
| 160 | 141.1906 |
|---|
| 161 | 139.8295 |
|---|
| 162 | 88.6179 |
|---|
| 163 | 89.0895 |
|---|
| 164 | 88.5607 |
|---|
| 165 | 90.3896 |
|---|
| 166 | 91.1648 |
|---|
| 167 | 90.523 |
|---|
| 168 | 91.6316 |
|---|
| 169 | 91.6067 |
|---|
| 170 | 92.2454 |
|---|
| 171 | 92.5173 |
|---|
| 172 | 92.0799 |
|---|
| 173 | 91.7086 |
|---|
| 174 | 91.4254 |
|---|
| 175 | 93.0325 |
|---|
| 176 | 92.3652 |
|---|
| 177 | 92.9571 |
|---|
| 178 | 93.5981 |
|---|
| 179 | 92.811 |
|---|
| 180 | 92.123 |
|---|
| 181 | 92.3068 |
|---|
| 182 | 91.139 |
|---|
| 183 | 91.9633 |
|---|
| 184 | 91.9946 |
|---|
| 185 | 92.8143 |
|---|
| 186 | 93.3843 |
|---|
| 187 | 93.3369 |
|---|
| 188 | 93.96 |
|---|
| 189 | 93.7093 |
|---|
| 190 | 94.5295 |
|---|
| 191 | 94.9982 |
|---|
| 192 | 94.8314 |
|---|
| 193 | 94.7656 |
|---|
| 194 | 95.7716 |
|---|
| 195 | 95.3267 |
|---|
| 196 | 95.6858 |
|---|
| 197 | 94.8504 |
|---|
| 198 | 95.1422 |
|---|
| 199 | 94.5843 |
|---|
| 200 | 96.5997 |
|---|
| 201 | 72.8685 |
|---|
| 202 | 73.2144 |
|---|
| 203 | 72.3767 |
|---|
| 204 | 73.3482 |
|---|
| 205 | 73.5666 |
|---|
| 206 | 72.6325 |
|---|
| 207 | 71.6884 |
|---|
| 208 | 72.9131 |
|---|
| 209 | 73.8424 |
|---|
| 210 | 74.0075 |
|---|
| 211 | 74.0019 |
|---|
| 212 | 72.8262 |
|---|
| 213 | 74.3894 |
|---|
| 214 | 72.9114 |
|---|
| 215 | 73.0456 |
|---|
| 216 | 74.2119 |
|---|
| 217 | 74.1646 |
|---|
| 218 | 73.1201 |
|---|
| 219 | 73.9579 |
|---|
| 220 | 72.1935 |
|---|
| 221 | 71.7254 |
|---|
| 222 | 72.1905 |
|---|
| 223 | 71.3126 |
|---|
| 224 | 72.1435 |
|---|
| 225 | 72.8136 |
|---|
| 226 | 74.798 |
|---|
| 227 | 75.226 |
|---|
| 228 | 75.3757 |
|---|
| 229 | 74.7248 |
|---|
| 230 | 74.8286 |
|---|
| 231 | 74.1621 |
|---|
| 232 | 75.5332 |
|---|
| 233 | 76.4164 |
|---|
| 234 | 75.6579 |
|---|
| 235 | 76.519 |
|---|
| 236 | 77.1104 |
|---|
| 237 | 77.8124 |
|---|
| 238 | 76.3756 |
|---|
| 239 | 76.4073 |
|---|
| 240 | 76.7747 |
|---|
| 241 | 76.1164 |
|---|
| 242 | 74.978 |
|---|
| 243 | 74.6587 |
|---|
| 244 | 73.302 |
|---|
| 245 | 72.616 |
|---|
| 246 | 72.8909 |
|---|
| 247 | 71.5463 |
|---|
| 248 | 70.9225 |
|---|
| 249 | 70.4736 |
|---|
| 250 | 69.7825 |
|---|
| 251 | 69.7548 |
|---|
| 252 | 70.2329 |
|---|
| 253 | 71.4597 |
|---|
| 254 | 71.5337 |
|---|
| 255 | 72.7621 |
|---|
| 256 | 71.5791 |
|---|
| 257 | 71.6446 |
|---|
| 258 | 70.9535 |
|---|
| 259 | 70.9495 |
|---|
| 260 | 70.0693 |
|---|
| 261 | 70.4361 |
|---|
| 262 | 70.2525 |
|---|
| 263 | 69.6612 |
|---|
| 264 | 69.186 |
|---|
| 265 | 69.6417 |
|---|
| 266 | 69.5356 |
|---|
| 267 | 69.1857 |
|---|
| 268 | 69.9899 |
|---|
| 269 | 69.9002 |
|---|
| 270 | 70.0748 |
|---|
| 271 | 69.7016 |
|---|
| 272 | 69.4376 |
|---|
| 273 | 69.8127 |
|---|
| 274 | 69.8951 |
|---|
| 275 | 69.8883 |
|---|
| 276 | 70.0605 |
|---|
| 277 | 70.6779 |
|---|
| 278 | 71.6789 |
|---|
| 279 | 71.9543 |
|---|
| 280 | 71.0094 |
|---|
| 281 | 71.4716 |
|---|
| 282 | 72.1442 |
|---|
| 283 | 71.0425 |
|---|
| 284 | 71.3984 |
|---|
| 285 | 71.319 |
|---|
| 286 | 72.0069 |
|---|
| 287 | 71.021 |
|---|
| 288 | 71.4365 |
|---|
| 289 | 71.0985 |
|---|
| 290 | 71.7371 |
|---|
| 291 | 71.3193 |
|---|
| 292 | 71.8507 |
|---|
| 293 | 71.5911 |
|---|
| 294 | 72.1755 |
|---|
| 295 | 72.7276 |
|---|
| 296 | 73.4128 |
|---|
| 297 | 73.7177 |
|---|
| 298 | 74.1881 |
|---|
| 299 | 74.336 |
|---|
| 300 | 74.9513 |
|---|
| 301 | 76.7251 |
|---|
| 302 | 77.4798 |
|---|
| 303 | 77.4842 |
|---|
| 304 | 76.7199 |
|---|
| 305 | 76.7491 |
|---|
| 306 | 77.4627 |
|---|
| 307 | 78.6863 |
|---|
| 308 | 80.6973 |
|---|
| 309 | 80.4749 |
|---|
| 310 | 80.5596 |
|---|
| 311 | 81.4675 |
|---|
| 312 | 82.98 |
|---|
| 313 | 81.9362 |
|---|
| 314 | 84.896 |
|---|
| 315 | 85.5448 |
|---|
| 316 | 85.3378 |
|---|
| 317 | 85.1649 |
|---|
| 318 | 85.5793 |
|---|
| 319 | 85.5435 |
|---|
| 320 | 84.4976 |
|---|
| 321 | 83.3194 |
|---|
| 322 | 83.8408 |
|---|
| 323 | 84.8095 |
|---|
| 324 | 85.455 |
|---|
| 325 | 84.9191 |
|---|
| 326 | 84.8157 |
|---|
| 327 | 84.6588 |
|---|
| 328 | 85.3011 |
|---|
| 329 | 84.6119 |
|---|
| 330 | 83.595 |
|---|
| 331 | 83.7404 |
|---|
| 332 | 82.5654 |
|---|
| 333 | 83.3577 |
|---|
| 334 | 84.2307 |
|---|
| 335 | 84.0636 |
|---|
| 336 | 84.2956 |
|---|
| 337 | 83.4155 |
|---|
| 338 | 83.5224 |
|---|
| 339 | 84.1118 |
|---|
| 340 | 82.7129 |
|---|
| 341 | 84.2231 |
|---|
| 342 | 85.5981 |
|---|
| 343 | 84.6396 |
|---|
| 344 | 83.9361 |
|---|
| 345 | 82.9043 |
|---|
| 346 | 83.7394 |
|---|
| 347 | 82.9942 |
|---|
| 348 | 82.4533 |
|---|
| 349 | 83.2535 |
|---|
| 350 | 81.8397 |
|---|
| 351 | 80.624 |
|---|
| 352 | 81.0824 |
|---|
| 353 | 81.057 |
|---|
| 354 | 80.5833 |
|---|
| 355 | 82.5798 |
|---|
| 356 | 81.7453 |
|---|
| 357 | 82.2434 |
|---|
| 358 | 82.7507 |
|---|
| 359 | 82.8254 |
|---|
| 360 | 83.1561 |
|---|
| 361 | 82.6566 |
|---|
| 362 | 81.9185 |
|---|
| 363 | 82.1913 |
|---|
| 364 | 81.9107 |
|---|
| 365 | 81.769 |
|---|
| 366 | 79.9946 |
|---|
| +3.66% |
| 0.71 |
| 9 |
| 18.08 → 09.10 | Long | 88.9% | +3.66% | 0.68 | 9 |