Over 2017 to 2025 (9 years of data), HONUSUSD has tended to move long between 22.08 and 29.08, closing higher in 87.5% of those years for an average +1.48% move and an annualized Sharpe of 4.73.
| Window | Dir | Win rate | Avg return | Sharpe | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.08 → 29.08 | Long | 87.5% | +1.48% | 4.73 | 8 |
| 22.08 → 02.09 | Long | 87.5% | +1.44% | 2.10 | 8 |
| 22.08 → 01.09 | Long | 87.5% | +1.40% | 3.05 | 8 |
| 22.08 → 30.08 | Long | 87.5% | +1.33% | 3.66 | 8 |
| 22.08 → 31.08 | Long | 87.5% | +1.18% | 2.83 | 8 |
| 28.08 → 02.10 | Short | 75.0% | +2.40% | 1.74 | 8 |
| 28.08 → 30.09 | Short | 75.0% | +2.20% | 1.17 | 8 |
| 28.08 → 01.10 | Short | 75.0% | +2.13% | 1.46 | 8 |