Forex currencies

Pound Sterling vs New Zealand Dollar (GBPNZD) Seasonality

Over 1997 to 2025 (29 years of data), GBPNZD has tended to move short between 06.10 and 09.10, closing higher in 75.9% of those years for an average +0.41% move and an annualized Sharpe of 2.45.

Years: 1997-2025
Category: Forex currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

06.10 - 09.10

Direction

Short

Win rate

75.9%

Avg return

+0.41%

Sample

29 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1997-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
06.10 → 09.10	Short	75.9%	+0.41%	2.45	29
05.10 → 09.10	Short	72.4%	+0.62%	2.94	29
05.10 → 15.10	Short	69.0%

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GBPNZD average seasonal curve, 1997 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.8512
3	99.9408
4	99.9802
5	99.9823
6	100.0404
7	100.078
8	100.0348
9	99.9464
10	99.8896
11	99.7623
12	99.704
13	99.762
14	99.8703
15	99.7234
16	99.9184
17	100.2662
18	100.2587
19	100.3733
20	100.1596
21	100.2405
22	100.4958
23	100.398
24	100.6304
25	100.6967
26	100.7236
27	100.9354
28	100.9241
29	100.7412
30	100.726
31	100.9253
32	100.9561
33	100.8795
34	100.5821
35	100.5799
36	100.3395
37	100.3633
38	100.5793
39	100.6797
40	100.5409
41	100.5483
42	100.5153
43	100.7147
44	100.8387
45	100.6468
46	100.516
47	100.4696
48	100.4289
49	100.5973
50	100.571
51	100.6552
52	100.7846
53	100.3587
54	100.3865
55	100.112
56	100.1503
57	100.4998
58	100.8363
59	100.8294
60	100.5431
61	100.6668
62	100.7758
63	100.6398
64	100.5859
65	100.6487
66	100.6251
67	100.626
68	100.8799
69	100.8657
70	101.0164
71	100.7814
72	101.0951
73	100.8279
74	100.8854
75	101.2065
76	100.7498
77	100.8481
78	100.8477
79	100.9221
80	101.2507
81	101.2025
82	101.327
83	101.1018
84	101.1819
85	101.2405
86	101.4568
87	101.4911
88	101.3371
89	101.245
90	101.3258
91	101.4483
92	101.5704
93	101.3981
94	101.4867
95	101.6209
96	101.7965
97	101.4453
98	101.5695
99	101.2933
100	101.1395
101	101.2899
102	101.2264
103	101.2078
104	101.1218
105	101.2553
106	101.471
107	101.4203
108	101.6015
109	101.6188
110	101.6557
111	101.6131
112	101.6984
113	101.878
114	101.9653
115	101.997
116	102.0844
117	102.1105
118	102.1526
119	102.2961
120	102.3188
121	102.3941
122	102.0641
123	102.198
124	102.1253
125	102.0354
126	101.9273
127	102.0505
128	101.8851
129	102.0811
130	102.2153
131	102.1569
132	102.4091
133	102.2708
134	102.4117
135	102.3908
136	102.3391
137	102.4106
138	102.3062
139	102.3333
140	102.3167
141	102.1102
142	102.0758
143	101.9357
144	102.0209
145	102.0635
146	102.0032
147	101.888
148	101.8059
149	101.9385
150	101.7985
151	101.8742
152	101.684
153	101.3339
154	101.3233
155	100.9087
156	100.9265
157	100.8287
158	101.0417
159	100.9828
160	100.6412
161	100.615
162	100.6942
163	100.6188
164	100.5689
165	100.5251
166	100.7043
167	100.5536
168	100.5907
169	100.6199
170	100.6704
171	100.7912
172	100.8961
173	100.8671
174	100.8927
175	100.5487
176	100.0652
177	99.9581
178	99.9383
179	100.0537
180	100.1812
181	100.0027
182	99.947
183	99.8308
184	99.7141
185	99.6987
186	99.5832
187	99.555
188	99.5294
189	99.5056
190	99.449
191	99.4226
192	99.6618
193	99.6161
194	99.7543
195	99.6171
196	99.8675
197	99.7182
198	99.7601
199	99.7965
200	99.7944
201	99.5784
202	99.9065
203	99.7691
204	99.7456
205	99.773
206	99.9323
207	99.9454
208	99.9632
209	100.0917
210	100.0216
211	99.9336
212	100.0081
213	100.202
214	100.3185
215	100.1436
216	100.1432
217	99.9279
218	100.0362
219	100.0245
220	100.1076
221	100.0089
222	100.0223
223	99.8368
224	99.9086
225	99.8495
226	99.9741
227	100.2682
228	100.332
229	100.4435
230	100.4443
231	100.6118
232	100.5591
233	100.5853
234	100.6119
235	100.6663
236	100.581
237	100.5574
238	100.5583
239	100.5984
240	100.5244
241	100.4187
242	100.5455
243	100.4307
244	100.5254
245	100.3206
246	100.2201
247	100.5755
248	100.6107
249	100.6038
250	100.56
251	100.3831
252	100.4938
253	100.6253
254	100.4258
255	100.4299
256	100.667
257	100.8893
258	100.9677
259	100.8851
260	100.9296
261	100.8533
262	100.7508
263	100.7604
264	100.7184
265	100.4976
266	100.2966
267	100.6246
268	100.5019
269	100.6788
270	100.5783
271	100.4068
272	100.7673
273	100.962
274	100.9552
275	100.7287
276	100.9652
277	101.0109
278	101.0583
279	101.1911
280	100.9815
281	101.0466
282	100.9878
283	101.4505
284	101.3905
285	101.3868
286	101.5429
287	101.3688
288	101.4858
289	101.6894
290	101.4188
291	101.3113
292	101.2832
293	101.3609
294	101.3329
295	101.3392
296	101.2113
297	101.2476
298	101.5074
299	101.3937
300	101.3278
301	101.3135
302	101.2384
303	101.1384
304	101.2051
305	101.0138
306	100.7453
307	100.5302
308	100.5265
309	100.5402
310	100.6926
311	100.7598
312	100.5326
313	100.4842
314	100.6616
315	100.8733
316	100.7806
317	100.8343
318	100.9098
319	100.5225
320	100.699
321	100.7715
322	100.8842
323	100.8092
324	100.8682
325	100.8244
326	100.8872
327	100.7405
328	101.0284
329	101.0777
330	100.996
331	100.8582
332	100.7543
333	100.5753
334	100.522
335	100.5299
336	100.4106
337	100.54
338	100.6505
339	100.855
340	100.7396
341	100.8645
342	100.5755
343	100.556
344	100.4733
345	100.2659
346	100.4821
347	100.2733
348	100.5503
349	100.4443
350	100.428
351	100.5428
352	100.5864
353	100.7583
354	100.6123
355	100.5773
356	100.6491
357	100.4696
358	100.4952
359	100.5734
360	100.4539
361	100.5838
362	100.529
363	100.4632
364	100.4135
365	100.6986
366	101.0574

GBPNZD average seasonal curve, 1997 to 2025

Index

Value

100

99.8512

99.9408

99.9802

99.9823

100.0404

100.078

100.0348

99.9464

99.8896

99.7623

99.704

99.762

99.8703

99.7234

99.9184

100.2662

100.2587

100.3733

100.1596

100.2405

100.4958

100.398

100.6304

100.6967

100.7236

100.9354

100.9241

100.7412

100.726

100.9253

100.9561

100.8795

100.5821

100.5799

100.3395

100.3633

100.5793

100.6797

100.5409

100.5483

100.5153

100.7147

100.8387

100.6468

100.516

100.4696

100.4289

100.5973

100.571

100.6552

100.7846

100.3587

100.3865

100.112

100.1503

100.4998

100.8363

100.8294

100.5431

100.6668

100.7758

100.6398

100.5859

100.6487

100.6251

100.626

100.8799

100.8657

101.0164

100.7814

101.0951

100.8279

100.8854

101.2065

100.7498

100.8481

100.8477

100.9221

101.2507

101.2025

101.327

101.1018

101.1819

101.2405

101.4568

101.4911

101.3371

101.245

101.3258

101.4483

101.5704

101.3981

101.4867

101.6209

101.7965

101.4453

101.5695

101.2933

100

101.1395

101

101.2899

102

101.2264

103

101.2078

104

101.1218

105

101.2553

106

101.471

107

101.4203

108

101.6015

109

101.6188

110

101.6557

111

101.6131

112

101.6984

113

101.878

114

101.9653

115

101.997

116

102.0844

117

102.1105

118

102.1526

119

102.2961

120

102.3188

121

102.3941

122

102.0641

123

102.198

124

102.1253

125

102.0354

126

101.9273

127

102.0505

128

101.8851

129

102.0811

130

102.2153

131

102.1569

132

102.4091

133

102.2708

134

102.4117

135

102.3908

136

102.3391

137

102.4106

138

102.3062

139

102.3333

140

102.3167

141

102.1102

142

102.0758

143

101.9357

144

102.0209

145

102.0635

146

102.0032

147

101.888

148

101.8059

149

101.9385

150

101.7985

151

101.8742

152

101.684

153

101.3339

154

101.3233

155

100.9087

156

100.9265

157

100.8287

158

101.0417

159

100.9828

160

100.6412

161

100.615

162

100.6942

163

100.6188

164

100.5689

165

100.5251

166

100.7043

167

100.5536

168

100.5907

169

100.6199

170

100.6704

171

100.7912

172

100.8961

173

100.8671

174

100.8927

175

100.5487

176

100.0652

177

99.9581

178

99.9383

179

100.0537

180

100.1812

181

100.0027

182

99.947

183

99.8308

184

99.7141

185

99.6987

186

99.5832

187

99.555

188

99.5294

189

99.5056

190

99.449

191

99.4226

192

99.6618

193

99.6161

194

99.7543

195

99.6171

196

99.8675

197

99.7182

198

99.7601

199

99.7965

200

99.7944

201

99.5784

202

99.9065

203

99.7691

204

99.7456

205

99.773

206

99.9323

207

99.9454

208

99.9632

209

100.0917

210

100.0216

211

99.9336

212

100.0081

213

100.202

214

100.3185

215

100.1436

216

100.1432

217

99.9279

218

100.0362

219

100.0245

220

100.1076

221

100.0089

222

100.0223

223

99.8368

224

99.9086

225

99.8495

226

99.9741

227

100.2682

228

100.332

229

100.4435

230

100.4443

231

100.6118

232

100.5591

233

100.5853

234

100.6119

235

100.6663

236

100.581

237

100.5574

238

100.5583

239

100.5984

240

100.5244

241

100.4187

242

100.5455

243

100.4307

244

100.5254

245

100.3206

246

100.2201

247

100.5755

248

100.6107

249

100.6038

250

100.56

251

100.3831

252

100.4938

253

100.6253

254

100.4258

255

100.4299

256

100.667

257

100.8893

258

100.9677

259

100.8851

260

100.9296

261

100.8533

262

100.7508

263

100.7604

264

100.7184

265

100.4976

266

100.2966

267

100.6246

268

100.5019

269

100.6788

270

100.5783

271

100.4068

272

100.7673

273

100.962

274

100.9552

275

100.7287

276

100.9652

277

101.0109

278

101.0583

279

101.1911

280

100.9815

281

101.0466

282

100.9878

283

101.4505

284

101.3905

285

101.3868

286

101.5429

287

101.3688

288

101.4858

289

101.6894

290

101.4188

291

101.3113

292

101.2832

293

101.3609

294

101.3329

295

101.3392

296

101.2113

297

101.2476

298

101.5074

299

101.3937

300

101.3278

301

101.3135

302

101.2384

303

101.1384

304

101.2051

305

101.0138

306

100.7453

307

100.5302

308

100.5265

309

100.5402

310

100.6926

311

100.7598

312

100.5326

313

100.4842

314

100.6616

315

100.8733

316

100.7806

317

100.8343

318

100.9098

319

100.5225

320

100.699

321

100.7715

322

100.8842

323

100.8092

324

100.8682

325

100.8244

326

100.8872

327

100.7405

328

101.0284

329

101.0777

330

100.996

331

100.8582

332

100.7543

333

100.5753

334

100.522

335

100.5299

336

100.4106

337

100.54

338

100.6505

339

100.855

340

100.7396

341

100.8645

342

100.5755

343

100.556

344

100.4733

345

100.2659

346

100.4821

347

100.2733

348

100.5503

349

100.4443

350

100.428

351

100.5428

352

100.5864

353

100.7583

354

100.6123

355

100.5773

356

100.6491

357

100.4696

358

100.4952

359

100.5734

360

100.4539

361

100.5838

362

100.529

363

100.4632

364

100.4135

365

100.6986

366

101.0574