Forex currencies

Pound Sterling vs Japanese Yen (GBPJPY) Seasonality

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), GBPJPY has tended to move short between 19.09 and 24.09, closing higher in 74.3% of those years for an average +0.43% move and an annualized Sharpe of 1.78.

Years: 1991-2025
Category: Forex currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

19.09 - 24.09

Direction

Short

Win rate

74.3%

Avg return

+0.43%

Sample

35 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1991-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
19.09 → 24.09	Short	74.3%	+0.43%	1.78	35
16.09 → 07.11	Long	74.3%	+0.09%	0.04	35
15.09 → 07.11	Long	74.3%

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GBPJPY average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.4772
3	99.4545
4	99.6491
5	99.5583
6	99.6219
7	99.68
8	99.5382
9	99.401
10	99.4129
11	99.4315
12	99.24
13	99.0516
14	99.1816
15	98.7969
16	98.9717
17	99.3213
18	99.4816
19	99.3587
20	99.2771
21	99.0835
22	99.2457
23	99.1854
24	99.3182
25	99.3101
26	99.5519
27	99.6922
28	99.6978
29	99.6689
30	99.5919
31	99.7096
32	99.7827
33	99.5398
34	99.5722
35	99.5033
36	99.4384
37	99.463
38	99.4515
39	99.41
40	99.5545
41	99.3302
42	99.3679
43	99.579
44	99.7237
45	99.7226
46	99.7277
47	99.6999
48	99.7997
49	99.8838
50	99.9487
51	99.9695
52	100.0449
53	99.8882
54	99.7965
55	99.9322
56	99.7673
57	99.7696
58	99.5481
59	99.4422
60	99.1507
61	99.1213
62	99.2138
63	99.26
64	99.3738
65	99.4208
66	99.2133
67	99.2921
68	99.3377
69	99.1659
70	99.2446
71	99.2363
72	99.1113
73	99.3977
74	99.0062
75	99.009
76	99.0337
77	98.9572
78	98.9144
79	99.0692
80	99.2384
81	99.2288
82	98.9906
83	99.1444
84	99.2172
85	99.4584
86	99.4468
87	99.5474
88	99.6339
89	99.7515
90	100.0148
91	100.1471
92	100.2414
93	100.3528
94	100.589
95	100.6644
96	100.4397
97	100.4393
98	100.3147
99	100.3878
100	100.4267
101	100.3888
102	100.3284
103	100.4955
104	100.5225
105	100.4539
106	100.4726
107	100.5332
108	100.5733
109	101.0311
110	100.8592
111	100.9954
112	100.7477
113	101.0104
114	100.9909
115	101.057
116	100.9922
117	101.1454
118	101.465
119	101.5001
120	101.3561
121	101.5527
122	101.4263
123	101.4489
124	101.3165
125	101.1268
126	100.9821
127	100.8543
128	100.9061
129	101.0489
130	101.0631
131	101.1029
132	101.0232
133	100.7848
134	100.775
135	100.7698
136	100.6186
137	100.87
138	100.6657
139	100.9658
140	100.9293
141	100.9832
142	100.9903
143	100.9894
144	100.74
145	100.908
146	100.9527
147	101.2281
148	101.2628
149	101.155
150	101.3148
151	101.2311
152	101.3519
153	101.341
154	101.3352
155	101.1787
156	101.2774
157	101.3743
158	101.5787
159	101.5664
160	101.5702
161	101.586
162	101.4622
163	101.3136
164	101.5072
165	101.4065
166	101.475
167	101.5903
168	101.6317
169	101.564
170	101.5315
171	101.6562
172	101.8148
173	101.8145
174	102.0346
175	101.8592
176	101.4214
177	101.3547
178	101.3484
179	101.2372
180	101.3679
181	101.5181
182	101.561
183	101.3749
184	101.4319
185	101.5
186	101.3234
187	101.1082
188	100.9649
189	100.7489
190	100.9225
191	100.8401
192	100.8557
193	100.7429
194	101.2398
195	101.3428
196	101.6257
197	101.2691
198	101.2862
199	101.3797
200	101.4462
201	101.4342
202	101.4253
203	101.3872
204	101.4846
205	101.3892
206	101.3096
207	101.1005
208	101.0545
209	101.0704
210	100.8643
211	100.833
212	100.91
213	100.7141
214	100.649
215	100.5619
216	100.6919
217	100.5738
218	100.5321
219	100.5322
220	100.5347
221	100.3552
222	100.0235
223	99.9742
224	100.0979
225	99.9905
226	99.9032
227	99.804
228	99.8911
229	99.7897
230	99.8352
231	99.7395
232	99.679
233	99.7594
234	99.9184
235	99.8355
236	99.6989
237	99.7273
238	99.6649
239	99.6753
240	99.6071
241	99.9465
242	99.7804
243	99.6481
244	99.6478
245	99.6914
246	99.6724
247	99.6302
248	99.4816
249	99.5526
250	99.3388
251	99.5664
252	99.3649
253	99.5841
254	99.5843
255	99.7175
256	99.89
257	99.8021
258	100.0047
259	99.8685
260	100.0059
261	100.1471
262	100.1811
263	100.2163
264	100.1113
265	99.7678
266	99.7034
267	99.5801
268	99.4466
269	99.505
270	99.5104
271	99.4318
272	99.6461
273	99.4735
274	99.4827
275	99.2585
276	99.3253
277	99.3655
278	99.5428
279	99.4761
280	99.1102
281	99.1125
282	98.884
283	98.9563
284	99.1904
285	99.243
286	99.3884
287	99.5366
288	99.8113
289	99.7295
290	99.8989
291	99.8438
292	99.8647
293	99.9839
294	99.9543
295	99.6684
296	99.5424
297	99.4079
298	99.194
299	99.3621
300	99.1624
301	99.0753
302	99.6059
303	99.6401
304	100.1417
305	99.9737
306	99.9184
307	100.0931
308	100.1283
309	100.2127
310	100.1178
311	100.0625
312	100.0685
313	99.7649
314	100.0761
315	100.0958
316	99.7779
317	99.6318
318	99.7679
319	99.6467
320	99.757
321	99.6698
322	99.9307
323	99.8741
324	99.7949
325	99.6234
326	99.8573
327	99.7521
328	99.9546
329	100.145
330	99.8731
331	99.9346
332	100.0768
333	100.0384
334	100.1513
335	100.3234
336	100.1024
337	100.146
338	100.1863
339	100.1046
340	100.2011
341	100.16
342	100.0214
343	100.096
344	100.1055
345	100.1595
346	100.5033
347	100.2889
348	100.33
349	100.2421
350	100.3234
351	100.2083
352	100.2357
353	100.3536
354	99.9947
355	99.9847
356	99.978
357	99.9156
358	99.8837
359	99.9564
360	100.1157
361	100.199
362	100.1325
363	99.9827
364	99.847
365	99.9726
366	100.5851

GBPJPY average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025

Index

Value

100

99.4772

99.4545

99.6491

99.5583

99.6219

99.68

99.5382

99.401

99.4129

99.4315

99.24

99.0516

99.1816

98.7969

98.9717

99.3213

99.4816

99.3587

99.2771

99.0835

99.2457

99.1854

99.3182

99.3101

99.5519

99.6922

99.6978

99.6689

99.5919

99.7096

99.7827

99.5398

99.5722

99.5033

99.4384

99.463

99.4515

99.41

99.5545

99.3302

99.3679

99.579

99.7237

99.7226

99.7277

99.6999

99.7997

99.8838

99.9487

99.9695

100.0449

99.8882

99.7965

99.9322

99.7673

99.7696

99.5481

99.4422

99.1507

99.1213

99.2138

99.26

99.3738

99.4208

99.2133

99.2921

99.3377

99.1659

99.2446

99.2363

99.1113

99.3977

99.0062

99.009

99.0337

98.9572

98.9144

99.0692

99.2384

99.2288

98.9906

99.1444

99.2172

99.4584

99.4468

99.5474

99.6339

99.7515

100.0148

100.1471

100.2414

100.3528

100.589

100.6644

100.4397

100.4393

100.3147

100.3878

100

100.4267

101

100.3888

102

100.3284

103

100.4955

104

100.5225

105

100.4539

106

100.4726

107

100.5332

108

100.5733

109

101.0311

110

100.8592

111

100.9954

112

100.7477

113

101.0104

114

100.9909

115

101.057

116

100.9922

117

101.1454

118

101.465

119

101.5001

120

101.3561

121

101.5527

122

101.4263

123

101.4489

124

101.3165

125

101.1268

126

100.9821

127

100.8543

128

100.9061

129

101.0489

130

101.0631

131

101.1029

132

101.0232

133

100.7848

134

100.775

135

100.7698

136

100.6186

137

100.87

138

100.6657

139

100.9658

140

100.9293

141

100.9832

142

100.9903

143

100.9894

144

100.74

145

100.908

146

100.9527

147

101.2281

148

101.2628

149

101.155

150

101.3148

151

101.2311

152

101.3519

153

101.341

154

101.3352

155

101.1787

156

101.2774

157

101.3743

158

101.5787

159

101.5664

160

101.5702

161

101.586

162

101.4622

163

101.3136

164

101.5072

165

101.4065

166

101.475

167

101.5903

168

101.6317

169

101.564

170

101.5315

171

101.6562

172

101.8148

173

101.8145

174

102.0346

175

101.8592

176

101.4214

177

101.3547

178

101.3484

179

101.2372

180

101.3679

181

101.5181

182

101.561

183

101.3749

184

101.4319

185

101.5

186

101.3234

187

101.1082

188

100.9649

189

100.7489

190

100.9225

191

100.8401

192

100.8557

193

100.7429

194

101.2398

195

101.3428

196

101.6257

197

101.2691

198

101.2862

199

101.3797

200

101.4462

201

101.4342

202

101.4253

203

101.3872

204

101.4846

205

101.3892

206

101.3096

207

101.1005

208

101.0545

209

101.0704

210

100.8643

211

100.833

212

100.91

213

100.7141

214

100.649

215

100.5619

216

100.6919

217

100.5738

218

100.5321

219

100.5322

220

100.5347

221

100.3552

222

100.0235

223

99.9742

224

100.0979

225

99.9905

226

99.9032

227

99.804

228

99.8911

229

99.7897

230

99.8352

231

99.7395

232

99.679

233

99.7594

234

99.9184

235

99.8355

236

99.6989

237

99.7273

238

99.6649

239

99.6753

240

99.6071

241

99.9465

242

99.7804

243

99.6481

244

99.6478

245

99.6914

246

99.6724

247

99.6302

248

99.4816

249

99.5526

250

99.3388

251

99.5664

252

99.3649

253

99.5841

254

99.5843

255

99.7175

256

99.89

257

99.8021

258

100.0047

259

99.8685

260

100.0059

261

100.1471

262

100.1811

263

100.2163

264

100.1113

265

99.7678

266

99.7034

267

99.5801

268

99.4466

269

99.505

270

99.5104

271

99.4318

272

99.6461

273

99.4735

274

99.4827

275

99.2585

276

99.3253

277

99.3655

278

99.5428

279

99.4761

280

99.1102

281

99.1125

282

98.884

283

98.9563

284

99.1904

285

99.243

286

99.3884

287

99.5366

288

99.8113

289

99.7295

290

99.8989

291

99.8438

292

99.8647

293

99.9839

294

99.9543

295

99.6684

296

99.5424

297

99.4079

298

99.194

299

99.3621

300

99.1624

301

99.0753

302

99.6059

303

99.6401

304

100.1417

305

99.9737

306

99.9184

307

100.0931

308

100.1283

309

100.2127

310

100.1178

311

100.0625

312

100.0685

313

99.7649

314

100.0761

315

100.0958

316

99.7779

317

99.6318

318

99.7679

319

99.6467

320

99.757

321

99.6698

322

99.9307

323

99.8741

324

99.7949

325

99.6234

326

99.8573

327

99.7521

328

99.9546

329

100.145

330

99.8731

331

99.9346

332

100.0768

333

100.0384

334

100.1513

335

100.3234

336

100.1024

337

100.146

338

100.1863

339

100.1046

340

100.2011

341

100.16

342

100.0214

343

100.096

344

100.1055

345

100.1595

346

100.5033

347

100.2889

348

100.33

349

100.2421

350

100.3234

351

100.2083

352

100.2357

353

100.3536

354

99.9947

355

99.9847

356

99.978

357

99.9156

358

99.8837

359

99.9564

360

100.1157

361

100.199

362

100.1325

363

99.9827

364

99.847

365

99.9726

366

100.5851