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Pound Sterling vs Australian Dollar (GBPAUD) Seasonality

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), GBPAUD has tended to move long between 11.07 and 04.09, closing higher in 71.4% of those years for an average +1.10% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.62.

Average seasonal curve

GBPAUD average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.5591
3	99.449
4	99.3867
5	99.334
6	99.3178
7	99.5184
8	99.4194
9	99.3834
10	99.2717
11	99.2893
12	99.2957
13	99.2094
14	99.3446
15	99.3935
16	99.435
17	99.6013
18	99.5213
19	99.4317
20	99.4245
21	99.5066
22	99.6315
23	99.7117
24	99.8586
25	99.8534
26	99.8636
27	100.0497
28	99.9929
29	100.2515
30	100.4935
31	100.4866
32	100.3502
33	100.3159
34	100.1701
35	100.1685
36	100.0732
37	99.9988
38	99.9703
39	100.0255
40	99.9442
41	99.9085
42	99.7208
43	99.8518
44	99.8907
45	99.8288
46	99.8019
47	99.6574
48	99.6337
49	99.6353
50	99.4717
51	99.529
52	99.6299

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.07 → 04.09	Long	71.4%	+1.10%	0.62	35
12.07 → 04.09	Long	71.4%	+1.02%	0.61	35
13.07 → 04.09	Long	71.4%	+0.99%	0.62	35
11.07 → 05.09	Long	71.4%	+0.98%	0.55	35
10.07 → 03.09	Long	71.4%	+0.93%	0.52	35
12.07 → 05.09	Long	71.4%	+0.90%	0.54	35
13.07 → 05.09	Long	71.4%

Explore further

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