Forex major currencies

Euro vs US Dollar (EURUSD) Seasonality

Over 1973 to 2025 (53 years of data), EURUSD has tended to move long between 09.10 and 19.10, closing higher in 66.0% of those years for an average +0.14% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.53.

Years: 1973-2025
Category: Forex major currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

09.10 - 19.10

Direction

Long

Win rate

66.0%

Avg return

+0.14%

Sample

53 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1973-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
09.10 → 19.10	Long	66.0%	+0.14%	0.53	53
06.10 → 15.10	Long	60.4%	+0.25%	1.13	53
06.10 → 14.10	Long	60.4%

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EURUSD average seasonal curve, 1973 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.6227
3	99.4592
4	99.6203
5	99.602
6	99.808
7	99.9362
8	99.7811
9	99.9081
10	99.8216
11	99.8651
12	100.1655
13	100.2101
14	100.1705
15	100.1613
16	100.0677
17	99.968
18	99.8369
19	99.9923
20	100.11
21	100.1715
22	100.1286
23	100.193
24	100.2364
25	100.3468
26	100.2397
27	100.1012
28	100.1496
29	100.0324
30	100.071
31	100.1897
32	100.5006
33	100.1744
34	100.428
35	100.4681
36	100.3573
37	100.227
38	99.9583
39	99.9611
40	100.0781
41	99.9505
42	99.9754
43	99.9432
44	99.9484
45	100.0156
46	100.0731
47	99.9928
48	99.8936
49	99.8375
50	99.8767
51	99.8966
52	99.7701
53	99.7326
54	99.6996
55	99.5388
56	99.7117
57	99.6062
58	99.5253
59	99.494
60	99.4315
61	99.4691
62	99.6924
63	99.7031
64	99.8299
65	99.9341
66	99.8134
67	99.767
68	100.1281
69	100.2127
70	100.3667
71	100.3326
72	100.3364
73	100.2655
74	100.0857
75	100.2272
76	100.5184
77	100.3973
78	100.3247
79	100.0095
80	100.1942
81	100.1264
82	99.9673
83	99.8835
84	99.8534
85	100.0427
86	100.2226
87	100.1985
88	100.2228
89	100.3289
90	100.0998
91	100.1121
92	100.054
93	100.2381
94	100.1646
95	100.0401
96	100.1207
97	99.9739
98	100.1566
99	100.1918
100	100.5514
101	100.588
102	100.6741
103	100.6514
104	100.4444
105	100.4387
106	100.4774
107	100.3969
108	100.5179
109	100.5198
110	100.6285
111	100.6564
112	100.4473
113	100.4436
114	100.5232
115	100.3823
116	100.3635
117	100.2316
118	100.3252
119	100.4134
120	100.3932
121	100.2574
122	100.3302
123	100.5048
124	100.5893
125	100.4298
126	100.3821
127	100.3474
128	100.1834
129	100.1556
130	100.1974
131	100.1024
132	99.8246
133	99.9346
134	99.8833
135	99.863
136	100.0282
137	100.1108
138	100.0005
139	100.2211
140	100.2974
141	100.3874
142	100.3268
143	100.2986
144	100.4155
145	100.2723
146	100.2688
147	100.3498
148	100.1486
149	100.1615
150	100.3137
151	100.458
152	100.3958
153	100.6445
154	100.588
155	100.9575
156	101.0566
157	101.0011
158	101.1115
159	101.0457
160	100.9616
161	100.8048
162	100.7881
163	100.713
164	100.6877
165	100.4727
166	100.4567
167	100.6154
168	100.3727
169	100.3564
170	100.2818
171	100.401
172	100.5703
173	100.5253
174	100.7136
175	100.8052
176	100.6709
177	100.5915
178	100.6583
179	100.5908
180	100.6816
181	100.8108
182	100.69
183	100.7138
184	100.6647
185	100.6621
186	100.4653
187	100.4618
188	100.5253
189	100.4948
190	100.5753
191	100.5237
192	100.4348
193	100.5352
194	100.5823
195	100.7304
196	100.752
197	100.7104
198	100.66
199	100.8945
200	100.8679
201	100.8392
202	100.9771
203	101.0986
204	101.0183
205	100.8709
206	100.9621
207	100.9281
208	100.9113
209	101.0434
210	101.0582
211	101.0981
212	101.0985
213	101.1974
214	100.9958
215	101.1794
216	101.1155
217	101.1924
218	101.2121
219	101.251
220	101.0685
221	101.0151
222	101.035
223	101.0874
224	101.0234
225	101.1706
226	101.0317
227	100.9569
228	100.9404
229	101.0391
230	100.986
231	100.9814
232	101.0169
233	101.1826
234	101.026
235	101.151
236	101.2025
237	101.2045
238	101.239
239	101.2346
240	101.2716
241	101.4164
242	101.2665
243	101.1215
244	100.9981
245	100.955
246	100.9413
247	100.9303
248	101.0627
249	101.0005
250	101.1342
251	101.1557
252	101.1537
253	101.1292
254	101.1341
255	101.291
256	101.1806
257	101.0223
258	101.1732
259	101.1671
260	101.1199
261	101.1347
262	101.1257
263	101.0551
264	100.9385
265	100.9168
266	100.7641
267	100.6215
268	100.4733
269	100.2379
270	100.0716
271	100.1954
272	100.3535
273	100.3252
274	100.3109
275	100.1042
276	100.0742
277	100.2846
278	100.1202
279	100.0696
280	99.864
281	99.89
282	99.8743
283	100.0375
284	100.0913
285	99.844
286	99.8488
287	99.7801
288	99.7877
289	99.8423
290	99.8634
291	99.8978
292	99.9669
293	99.9676
294	99.9957
295	99.8559
296	99.8976
297	99.7954
298	99.8614
299	99.8294
300	99.6871
301	99.7363
302	99.6403
303	99.6443
304	99.4969
305	99.6113
306	99.5881
307	99.642
308	99.8923
309	99.8885
310	100.0435
311	99.9177
312	99.937
313	99.754
314	99.7307
315	99.8447
316	99.6246
317	99.6969
318	99.9081
319	99.7828
320	99.8514
321	99.8621
322	99.7956
323	99.6763
324	99.6731
325	99.4827
326	99.4994
327	99.5415
328	99.4976
329	99.6393
330	99.7787
331	99.7439
332	99.8963
333	99.8844
334	99.9626
335	99.9631
336	100.199
337	100.2232
338	100.2033
339	99.9921
340	100.1252
341	100.1008
342	100.2101
343	100.0272
344	100.003
345	100.0719
346	100.1132
347	100.3176
348	100.3715
349	100.175
350	100.0892
351	100.1201
352	100.1894
353	100.1771
354	100.2121
355	100.1738
356	100.3183
357	100.3508
358	100.3243
359	100.3571
360	100.3554
361	100.603
362	100.6081
363	100.6777
364	100.8563
365	100.8888
366	100.4866

EURUSD average seasonal curve, 1973 to 2025

Index

Value

100

99.6227

99.4592

99.6203

99.602

99.808

99.9362

99.7811

99.9081

99.8216

99.8651

100.1655

100.2101

100.1705

100.1613

100.0677

99.968

99.8369

99.9923

100.11

100.1715

100.1286

100.193

100.2364

100.3468

100.2397

100.1012

100.1496

100.0324

100.071

100.1897

100.5006

100.1744

100.428

100.4681

100.3573

100.227

99.9583

99.9611

100.0781

99.9505

99.9754

99.9432

99.9484

100.0156

100.0731

99.9928

99.8936

99.8375

99.8767

99.8966

99.7701

99.7326

99.6996

99.5388

99.7117

99.6062

99.5253

99.494

99.4315

99.4691

99.6924

99.7031

99.8299

99.9341

99.8134

99.767

100.1281

100.2127

100.3667

100.3326

100.3364

100.2655

100.0857

100.2272

100.5184

100.3973

100.3247

100.0095

100.1942

100.1264

99.9673

99.8835

99.8534

100.0427

100.2226

100.1985

100.2228

100.3289

100.0998

100.1121

100.054

100.2381

100.1646

100.0401

100.1207

99.9739

100.1566

100.1918

100

100.5514

101

100.588

102

100.6741

103

100.6514

104

100.4444

105

100.4387

106

100.4774

107

100.3969

108

100.5179

109

100.5198

110

100.6285

111

100.6564

112

100.4473

113

100.4436

114

100.5232

115

100.3823

116

100.3635

117

100.2316

118

100.3252

119

100.4134

120

100.3932

121

100.2574

122

100.3302

123

100.5048

124

100.5893

125

100.4298

126

100.3821

127

100.3474

128

100.1834

129

100.1556

130

100.1974

131

100.1024

132

99.8246

133

99.9346

134

99.8833

135

99.863

136

100.0282

137

100.1108

138

100.0005

139

100.2211

140

100.2974

141

100.3874

142

100.3268

143

100.2986

144

100.4155

145

100.2723

146

100.2688

147

100.3498

148

100.1486

149

100.1615

150

100.3137

151

100.458

152

100.3958

153

100.6445

154

100.588

155

100.9575

156

101.0566

157

101.0011

158

101.1115

159

101.0457

160

100.9616

161

100.8048

162

100.7881

163

100.713

164

100.6877

165

100.4727

166

100.4567

167

100.6154

168

100.3727

169

100.3564

170

100.2818

171

100.401

172

100.5703

173

100.5253

174

100.7136

175

100.8052

176

100.6709

177

100.5915

178

100.6583

179

100.5908

180

100.6816

181

100.8108

182

100.69

183

100.7138

184

100.6647

185

100.6621

186

100.4653

187

100.4618

188

100.5253

189

100.4948

190

100.5753

191

100.5237

192

100.4348

193

100.5352

194

100.5823

195

100.7304

196

100.752

197

100.7104

198

100.66

199

100.8945

200

100.8679

201

100.8392

202

100.9771

203

101.0986

204

101.0183

205

100.8709

206

100.9621

207

100.9281

208

100.9113

209

101.0434

210

101.0582

211

101.0981

212

101.0985

213

101.1974

214

100.9958

215

101.1794

216

101.1155

217

101.1924

218

101.2121

219

101.251

220

101.0685

221

101.0151

222

101.035

223

101.0874

224

101.0234

225

101.1706

226

101.0317

227

100.9569

228

100.9404

229

101.0391

230

100.986

231

100.9814

232

101.0169

233

101.1826

234

101.026

235

101.151

236

101.2025

237

101.2045

238

101.239

239

101.2346

240

101.2716

241

101.4164

242

101.2665

243

101.1215

244

100.9981

245

100.955

246

100.9413

247

100.9303

248

101.0627

249

101.0005

250

101.1342

251

101.1557

252

101.1537

253

101.1292

254

101.1341

255

101.291

256

101.1806

257

101.0223

258

101.1732

259

101.1671

260

101.1199

261

101.1347

262

101.1257

263

101.0551

264

100.9385

265

100.9168

266

100.7641

267

100.6215

268

100.4733

269

100.2379

270

100.0716

271

100.1954

272

100.3535

273

100.3252

274

100.3109

275

100.1042

276

100.0742

277

100.2846

278

100.1202

279

100.0696

280

99.864

281

99.89

282

99.8743

283

100.0375

284

100.0913

285

99.844

286

99.8488

287

99.7801

288

99.7877

289

99.8423

290

99.8634

291

99.8978

292

99.9669

293

99.9676

294

99.9957

295

99.8559

296

99.8976

297

99.7954

298

99.8614

299

99.8294

300

99.6871

301

99.7363

302

99.6403

303

99.6443

304

99.4969

305

99.6113

306

99.5881

307

99.642

308

99.8923

309

99.8885

310

100.0435

311

99.9177

312

99.937

313

99.754

314

99.7307

315

99.8447

316

99.6246

317

99.6969

318

99.9081

319

99.7828

320

99.8514

321

99.8621

322

99.7956

323

99.6763

324

99.6731

325

99.4827

326

99.4994

327

99.5415

328

99.4976

329

99.6393

330

99.7787

331

99.7439

332

99.8963

333

99.8844

334

99.9626

335

99.9631

336

100.199

337

100.2232

338

100.2033

339

99.9921

340

100.1252

341

100.1008

342

100.2101

343

100.0272

344

100.003

345

100.0719

346

100.1132

347

100.3176

348

100.3715

349

100.175

350

100.0892

351

100.1201

352

100.1894

353

100.1771

354

100.2121

355

100.1738

356

100.3183

357

100.3508

358

100.3243

359

100.3571

360

100.3554

361

100.603

362

100.6081

363

100.6777

364

100.8563

365

100.8888

366

100.4866