← All seasonality|Forex major currencies1973–2025

Euro vs US Dollar (EURUSD) Seasonality

Over 1973 to 2025 (53 years of data), EURUSD has tended to move long between 11.07 and 17.07, closing higher in 67.9% of those years for an average +0.44% move and an annualized Sharpe of 2.48.

Average seasonal curve

EURUSD average seasonal curve, 1973 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.6227
3	99.4592
4	99.6203
5	99.602
6	99.808
7	99.9362
8	99.7811
9	99.9081
10	99.8216
11	99.8651
12	100.1655
13	100.2101
14	100.1705
15	100.1613
16	100.0677
17	99.968
18	99.8369
19	99.9923
20	100.11
21	100.1715
22	100.1286
23	100.193
24	100.2364
25	100.3468
26	100.2397
27	100.1012
28	100.1496
29	100.0324
30	100.071
31	100.1897
32	100.5006
33	100.1744
34	100.428
35	100.4681
36	100.3573
37	100.227
38	99.9583
39	99.9611
40	100.0781
41	99.9505
42	99.9754
43	99.9432
44	99.9484
45	100.0156
46	100.0731
47	99.9928
48	99.8936
49	99.8375
50	99.8767
51	99.8966
52	99.7701

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.07 → 17.07	Long	67.9%	+0.44%	2.48	53
11.07 → 22.07	Long	66.0%	+0.53%	1.76	53
11.07 → 23.07	Long	66.0%	+0.53%	1.57	53
11.07 → 20.07	Long	66.0%	+0.51%	2.05	53
09.07 → 23.07	Long	66.0%	+0.48%	1.41	53
09.07 → 18.07	Long	66.0%	+0.36%	1.57	53
11.07 → 19.07	Long	64.1%

Explore further

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