Forex currencies

Euro vs Turkish Lira (EURTRY) Seasonality

Over 2005 to 2025 (21 years of data), EURTRY has tended to move long between 06.10 and 23.11, closing higher in 71.4% of those years for an average +2.97% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.67.

Years: 2005-2025
Category: Forex currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

06.10 - 23.11

Direction

Long

Win rate

71.4%

Avg return

+2.97%

Sample

21 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

2005-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
06.10 → 23.11	Long	71.4%	+2.97%	0.67	21
07.10 → 24.11	Long	71.4%	+2.74%	0.71	21
07.10 → 23.11	Long	71.4%

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EURTRY average seasonal curve, 2005 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.1002
3	99.9681
4	99.9022
5	99.8453
6	99.75
7	99.9875
8	100.021
9	100.087
10	100.2509
11	100.3476
12	100.2182
13	100.2266
14	100.3544
15	100.3412
16	100.4511
17	100.3213
18	100.3033
19	100.5102
20	100.5778
21	100.8954
22	100.718
23	100.8432
24	100.9673
25	101.1828
26	101.1723
27	101.1861
28	100.945
29	101.063
30	100.7964
31	100.5886
32	100.5475
33	100.4539
34	100.5422
35	100.4222
36	100.2932
37	100.2853
38	100.3777
39	100.5216
40	100.5904
41	100.5714
42	100.5062
43	100.4743
44	100.3744
45	100.3928
46	100.3511
47	100.4152
48	100.194
49	100.2407
50	100.4174
51	100.6582
52	100.6942
53	100.737
54	100.9416
55	101.1135
56	101.266
57	101.4513
58	101.6742
59	101.7179
60	101.6547
61	102.0481
62	102.1566
63	102.0774
64	102.418
65	102.4692
66	102.8356
67	102.9758
68	103.1123
69	102.9501
70	102.9846
71	102.8215
72	103.2648
73	103.1953
74	103.028
75	103.1107
76	103.4534
77	103.5313
78	103.6882
79	103.5924
80	104.2451
81	104.3117
82	104.1684
83	103.9329
84	103.7213
85	103.7307
86	104.0158
87	104.3138
88	104.298
89	104.3076
90	104.0577
91	103.9322
92	103.855
93	103.7744
94	103.8144
95	103.8269
96	103.7899
97	103.7796
98	103.9192
99	103.9931
100	104.3404
101	104.5191
102	104.4619
103	104.6618
104	104.6976
105	104.8126
106	104.8514
107	104.862
108	104.9061
109	104.9328
110	105.0298
111	105.0554
112	105.2139
113	105.3388
114	105.268
115	105.1767
116	105.0271
117	104.7612
118	104.8117
119	104.9422
120	105.1428
121	105.0579
122	105.1121
123	105.2176
124	105.3759
125	105.3844
126	105.3895
127	105.4485
128	105.475
129	105.5698
130	105.4931
131	105.4885
132	105.3634
133	105.4761
134	105.2452
135	105.3258
136	105.3376
137	105.5546
138	105.4482
139	105.7254
140	105.6599
141	106.0454
142	106.3564
143	106.09
144	106.3635
145	106.2902
146	106.3658
147	106.3689
148	106.2134
149	106.2387
150	106.1441
151	106.2256
152	106.522
153	106.7946
154	106.8598
155	106.7515
156	106.8646
157	107.0121
158	107.8328
159	107.9717
160	107.9275
161	107.5426
162	107.5426
163	107.7154
164	107.7705
165	107.7417
166	107.9336
167	108.1748
168	108.2024
169	107.9716
170	107.9694
171	108.1173
172	108.2895
173	108.3905
174	108.4737
175	108.3169
176	108.4157
177	108.3946
178	108.4472
179	108.3781
180	108.5983
181	108.5126
182	108.318
183	108.4225
184	108.516
185	108.4208
186	108.406
187	108.4779
188	108.5548
189	108.5606
190	108.373
191	108.6784
192	108.8611
193	108.8862
194	108.7879
195	108.7946
196	108.7165
197	108.8912
198	108.7401
199	108.8037
200	108.8582
201	109.0771
202	109.2464
203	109.2678
204	109.1591
205	109.3976
206	109.3268
207	109.6926
208	109.619
209	109.6144
210	109.6774
211	109.4481
212	109.453
213	109.5087
214	109.4099
215	109.6035
216	109.6905
217	109.936
218	110.2348
219	110.3595
220	110.3266
221	110.533
222	111.3318
223	111.4758
224	111.5877
225	111.9426
226	111.6236
227	111.4654
228	111.3168
229	111.4627
230	111.4324
231	111.7887
232	112.0443
233	112.2095
234	112.2011
235	112.2977
236	112.1362
237	112.1967
238	112.0453
239	112.2888
240	112.4004
241	112.5234
242	112.6466
243	112.3103
244	112.2545
245	112.1474
246	112.2325
247	112.326
248	112.493
249	112.3697
250	112.35
251	112.5777
252	112.6571
253	112.6524
254	112.5677
255	112.7442
256	112.5856
257	112.6244
258	112.7563
259	112.741
260	113.0254
261	113.1814
262	113.1237
263	113.1555
264	113.2006
265	113.2522
266	113.2957
267	113.2556
268	113.3953
269	113.118
270	112.9297
271	113.2107
272	113.4058
273	113.1458
274	113.058
275	112.8654
276	113.0704
277	113.3642
278	113.1377
279	113.0429
280	113.3959
281	113.5712
282	113.8425
283	113.9141
284	113.7735
285	113.6455
286	113.8967
287	113.8829
288	113.9243
289	114.1512
290	114.072
291	114.2143
292	114.3273
293	114.2404
294	114.5281
295	114.4023
296	114.9221
297	114.8121
298	114.5118
299	114.5005
300	114.6068
301	114.3704
302	114.3313
303	114.0159
304	114.0059
305	113.8472
306	113.7945
307	113.9345
308	114.0927
309	113.9969
310	114.2264
311	114.3202
312	114.4605
313	114.3688
314	114.1698
315	114.4623
316	114.3236
317	114.3647
318	114.4615
319	114.4001
320	114.5012
321	114.7178
322	115.0995
323	115.3205
324	115.4054
325	115.4353
326	115.3343
327	116.1208
328	116.0963
329	116.2199
330	116.8321
331	116.6426
332	116.4722
333	116.2831
334	116.5137
335	116.3386
336	116.8647
337	117.2014
338	117.2645
339	116.9768
340	117.214
341	116.8812
342	117.0222
343	117.3047
344	117.3647
345	117.6931
346	117.8271
347	117.9611
348	118.4417
349	118.6336
350	118.9132
351	119.2168
352	119.2414
353	119.0661
354	118.5015
355	117.8073
356	117.4515
357	117.1336
358	116.7549
359	116.7572
360	116.8476
361	117.5891
362	117.729
363	118.1002
364	118.3379
365	118.3505
366	118.2439

EURTRY average seasonal curve, 2005 to 2025

Index

Value

100

100.1002

99.9681

99.9022

99.8453

99.75

99.9875

100.021

100.087

100.2509

100.3476

100.2182

100.2266

100.3544

100.3412

100.4511

100.3213

100.3033

100.5102

100.5778

100.8954

100.718

100.8432

100.9673

101.1828

101.1723

101.1861

100.945

101.063

100.7964

100.5886

100.5475

100.4539

100.5422

100.4222

100.2932

100.2853

100.3777

100.5216

100.5904

100.5714

100.5062

100.4743

100.3744

100.3928

100.3511

100.4152

100.194

100.2407

100.4174

100.6582

100.6942

100.737

100.9416

101.1135

101.266

101.4513

101.6742

101.7179

101.6547

102.0481

102.1566

102.0774

102.418

102.4692

102.8356

102.9758

103.1123

102.9501

102.9846

102.8215

103.2648

103.1953

103.028

103.1107

103.4534

103.5313

103.6882

103.5924

104.2451

104.3117

104.1684

103.9329

103.7213

103.7307

104.0158

104.3138

104.298

104.3076

104.0577

103.9322

103.855

103.7744

103.8144

103.8269

103.7899

103.7796

103.9192

103.9931

100

104.3404

101

104.5191

102

104.4619

103

104.6618

104

104.6976

105

104.8126

106

104.8514

107

104.862

108

104.9061

109

104.9328

110

105.0298

111

105.0554

112

105.2139

113

105.3388

114

105.268

115

105.1767

116

105.0271

117

104.7612

118

104.8117

119

104.9422

120

105.1428

121

105.0579

122

105.1121

123

105.2176

124

105.3759

125

105.3844

126

105.3895

127

105.4485

128

105.475

129

105.5698

130

105.4931

131

105.4885

132

105.3634

133

105.4761

134

105.2452

135

105.3258

136

105.3376

137

105.5546

138

105.4482

139

105.7254

140

105.6599

141

106.0454

142

106.3564

143

106.09

144

106.3635

145

106.2902

146

106.3658

147

106.3689

148

106.2134

149

106.2387

150

106.1441

151

106.2256

152

106.522

153

106.7946

154

106.8598

155

106.7515

156

106.8646

157

107.0121

158

107.8328

159

107.9717

160

107.9275

161

107.5426

162

107.5426

163

107.7154

164

107.7705

165

107.7417

166

107.9336

167

108.1748

168

108.2024

169

107.9716

170

107.9694

171

108.1173

172

108.2895

173

108.3905

174

108.4737

175

108.3169

176

108.4157

177

108.3946

178

108.4472

179

108.3781

180

108.5983

181

108.5126

182

108.318

183

108.4225

184

108.516

185

108.4208

186

108.406

187

108.4779

188

108.5548

189

108.5606

190

108.373

191

108.6784

192

108.8611

193

108.8862

194

108.7879

195

108.7946

196

108.7165

197

108.8912

198

108.7401

199

108.8037

200

108.8582

201

109.0771

202

109.2464

203

109.2678

204

109.1591

205

109.3976

206

109.3268

207

109.6926

208

109.619

209

109.6144

210

109.6774

211

109.4481

212

109.453

213

109.5087

214

109.4099

215

109.6035

216

109.6905

217

109.936

218

110.2348

219

110.3595

220

110.3266

221

110.533

222

111.3318

223

111.4758

224

111.5877

225

111.9426

226

111.6236

227

111.4654

228

111.3168

229

111.4627

230

111.4324

231

111.7887

232

112.0443

233

112.2095

234

112.2011

235

112.2977

236

112.1362

237

112.1967

238

112.0453

239

112.2888

240

112.4004

241

112.5234

242

112.6466

243

112.3103

244

112.2545

245

112.1474

246

112.2325

247

112.326

248

112.493

249

112.3697

250

112.35

251

112.5777

252

112.6571

253

112.6524

254

112.5677

255

112.7442

256

112.5856

257

112.6244

258

112.7563

259

112.741

260

113.0254

261

113.1814

262

113.1237

263

113.1555

264

113.2006

265

113.2522

266

113.2957

267

113.2556

268

113.3953

269

113.118

270

112.9297

271

113.2107

272

113.4058

273

113.1458

274

113.058

275

112.8654

276

113.0704

277

113.3642

278

113.1377

279

113.0429

280

113.3959

281

113.5712

282

113.8425

283

113.9141

284

113.7735

285

113.6455

286

113.8967

287

113.8829

288

113.9243

289

114.1512

290

114.072

291

114.2143

292

114.3273

293

114.2404

294

114.5281

295

114.4023

296

114.9221

297

114.8121

298

114.5118

299

114.5005

300

114.6068

301

114.3704

302

114.3313

303

114.0159

304

114.0059

305

113.8472

306

113.7945

307

113.9345

308

114.0927

309

113.9969

310

114.2264

311

114.3202

312

114.4605

313

114.3688

314

114.1698

315

114.4623

316

114.3236

317

114.3647

318

114.4615

319

114.4001

320

114.5012

321

114.7178

322

115.0995

323

115.3205

324

115.4054

325

115.4353

326

115.3343

327

116.1208

328

116.0963

329

116.2199

330

116.8321

331

116.6426

332

116.4722

333

116.2831

334

116.5137

335

116.3386

336

116.8647

337

117.2014

338

117.2645

339

116.9768

340

117.214

341

116.8812

342

117.0222

343

117.3047

344

117.3647

345

117.6931

346

117.8271

347

117.9611

348

118.4417

349

118.6336

350

118.9132

351

119.2168

352

119.2414

353

119.0661

354

118.5015

355

117.8073

356

117.4515

357

117.1336

358

116.7549

359

116.7572

360

116.8476

361

117.5891

362

117.729

363

118.1002

364

118.3379

365

118.3505

366

118.2439