Forex currencies

Euro vs New Zealand Dollar (EURNZD) Seasonality

Over 1999 to 2025 (27 years of data), EURNZD has tended to move long between 21.09 and 29.09, closing higher in 70.4% of those years for an average +0.86% move and an annualized Sharpe of 2.48.

Years: 1999-2025
Category: Forex currencies
Windows: 8

Best window

21.09 - 29.09

Direction

Long

Win rate

70.4%

Avg return

+0.86%

Sample

27 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

1999-2025

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
21.09 → 29.09	Long	70.4%	+0.86%	2.48	27
17.09 → 27.09	Long	70.4%	+0.75%	1.92	27
21.09 → 26.09	Long	70.4%

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EURNZD average seasonal curve, 1999 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.8303
3	99.8358
4	99.8655
5	99.8275
6	99.8369
7	99.7724
8	99.8861
9	100.0256
10	100.1492
11	100.1914
12	100.0802
13	99.9839
14	100.1552
15	100.1222
16	100.1889
17	100.1378
18	100.0244
19	100.2132
20	100.0143
21	100.0643
22	100.0286
23	99.8685
24	99.9541
25	100.0125
26	99.9919
27	100.0946
28	99.9843
29	99.7691
30	99.8524
31	99.9339
32	99.9383
33	100.0151
34	100.2355
35	100.5436
36	100.5589
37	100.2039
38	100.0242
39	99.9127
40	99.7995
41	99.7978
42	99.764
43	99.9326
44	99.9879
45	99.8689
46	100.0167
47	99.9174
48	99.8734
49	99.9511
50	99.834
51	99.6874
52	99.7024
53	99.4607
54	99.3569
55	99.5097
56	99.5626
57	99.8027
58	99.9125
59	99.9041
60	99.7281
61	99.5976
62	99.6528
63	99.2378
64	99.4953
65	99.4926
66	99.7293
67	99.8184
68	100.0998
69	99.886
70	99.9498
71	99.915
72	100.0509
73	100.095
74	100.02
75	99.8773
76	99.6053
77	99.5829
78	99.4961
79	99.9891
80	100.2706
81	100.097
82	99.9958
83	100.0987
84	100.0302
85	100.1401
86	100.2533
87	100.4406
88	100.7005
89	100.6541
90	100.7177
91	100.5599
92	100.7808
93	100.8924
94	101.1787
95	100.8916
96	101.5044
97	101.2516
98	101.4821
99	100.9476
100	101.1771
101	101.385
102	101.1721
103	101.2181
104	101.1515
105	100.9916
106	101.1911
107	100.9997
108	101.1572
109	101.283
110	101.2972
111	101.5526
112	101.4652
113	101.518
114	101.5598
115	101.3924
116	101.5908
117	101.3228
118	101.3238
119	101.7031
120	101.408
121	101.6101
122	101.2874
123	101.4114
124	100.8565
125	100.9257
126	100.772
127	100.9772
128	100.8621
129	101.046
130	101.0064
131	101.0284
132	101.037
133	100.9138
134	101.0594
135	101.1412
136	100.9234
137	100.8903
138	100.7993
139	100.6281
140	100.5216
141	100.6243
142	100.7178
143	100.6609
144	101.1731
145	101.1077
146	101.3001
147	100.9863
148	100.5394
149	100.6243
150	100.6503
151	100.7618
152	100.767
153	100.5647
154	100.8303
155	100.7891
156	100.9047
157	100.7441
158	100.9457
159	101.1915
160	100.9298
161	100.8146
162	100.8669
163	100.8727
164	100.9292
165	101.043
166	100.978
167	100.8369
168	100.9026
169	100.9516
170	101.1893
171	101.4619
172	101.545
173	101.7426
174	101.7557
175	101.7394
176	101.8117
177	101.8142
178	102.1279
179	102.4496
180	102.2807
181	102.0231
182	102.052
183	102.1783
184	102.0157
185	101.8481
186	101.7448
187	101.7868
188	101.7059
189	101.7153
190	101.7793
191	101.6149
192	101.8844
193	101.7802
194	101.6819
195	101.7434
196	101.7521
197	101.954
198	102.042
199	102.3241
200	102.3406
201	102.3745
202	102.6213
203	102.5305
204	102.5754
205	102.4165
206	102.4114
207	102.4954
208	102.5079
209	102.4131
210	102.4624
211	102.4
212	102.1817
213	102.3754
214	102.572
215	102.6159
216	102.7318
217	102.8287
218	102.9682
219	102.6965
220	102.6034
221	102.5827
222	102.6065
223	102.5627
224	102.424
225	102.3472
226	102.3551
227	102.8838
228	102.9846
229	103.0713
230	102.9567
231	103.1076
232	103.2714
233	103.2058
234	102.911
235	102.7853
236	102.7673
237	102.589
238	102.8798
239	102.8874
240	102.8638
241	102.5776
242	102.7228
243	102.5743
244	102.4704
245	102.388
246	102.4778
247	102.743
248	102.8299
249	102.9412
250	103.0922
251	102.9791
252	102.8974
253	102.8145
254	102.7364
255	102.883
256	102.9305
257	102.8392
258	103.1381
259	103.1919
260	103.2689
261	103.3653
262	103.3193
263	103.436
264	103.4107
265	103.2795
266	103.393
267	103.2435
268	103.0255
269	103.405
270	103.304
271	103.1047
272	103.2118
273	103.6348
274	103.4866
275	103.4667
276	103.2832
277	103.7141
278	103.3916
279	103.4762
280	103.6073
281	103.7575
282	103.5653
283	104.0013
284	104.0602
285	103.9431
286	104.0214
287	104.321
288	104.3102
289	104.5273
290	104.346
291	104.329
292	104.3458
293	104.3288
294	104.0785
295	104.194
296	104.112
297	104.3786
298	104.6167
299	104.424
300	104.2459
301	104.2624
302	104.2551
303	104.3591
304	104.2414
305	103.9532
306	103.8722
307	103.7966
308	103.825
309	103.8155
310	104.1499
311	104.1742
312	104.1621
313	104.3104
314	104.191
315	104.1652
316	104.045
317	104.3076
318	104.1525
319	103.8911
320	104.2136
321	104.2841
322	104.09
323	104.1723
324	104.0596
325	103.9041
326	103.8278
327	103.6226
328	103.5422
329	103.5535
330	103.478
331	103.446
332	103.4193
333	103.1682
334	102.7523
335	102.6319
336	102.5159
337	102.4504
338	102.5919
339	102.8059
340	102.7266
341	102.8439
342	102.9243
343	102.6842
344	102.5894
345	102.9076
346	102.9646
347	102.9133
348	103.2371
349	103.4284
350	103.1923
351	103.1789
352	103.2673
353	103.5483
354	103.5968
355	103.7676
356	103.8338
357	103.6463
358	103.6016
359	103.5925
360	103.5017
361	103.8107
362	103.6225
363	103.6588
364	103.7212
365	103.7969
366	104.0871

EURNZD average seasonal curve, 1999 to 2025

Index

Value

100

99.8303

99.8358

99.8655

99.8275

99.8369

99.7724

99.8861

100.0256

100.1492

100.1914

100.0802

99.9839

100.1552

100.1222

100.1889

100.1378

100.0244

100.2132

100.0143

100.0643

100.0286

99.8685

99.9541

100.0125

99.9919

100.0946

99.9843

99.7691

99.8524

99.9339

99.9383

100.0151

100.2355

100.5436

100.5589

100.2039

100.0242

99.9127

99.7995

99.7978

99.764

99.9326

99.9879

99.8689

100.0167

99.9174

99.8734

99.9511

99.834

99.6874

99.7024

99.4607

99.3569

99.5097

99.5626

99.8027

99.9125

99.9041

99.7281

99.5976

99.6528

99.2378

99.4953

99.4926

99.7293

99.8184

100.0998

99.886

99.9498

99.915

100.0509

100.095

100.02

99.8773

99.6053

99.5829

99.4961

99.9891

100.2706

100.097

99.9958

100.0987

100.0302

100.1401

100.2533

100.4406

100.7005

100.6541

100.7177

100.5599

100.7808

100.8924

101.1787

100.8916

101.5044

101.2516

101.4821

100.9476

100

101.1771

101

101.385

102

101.1721

103

101.2181

104

101.1515

105

100.9916

106

101.1911

107

100.9997

108

101.1572

109

101.283

110

101.2972

111

101.5526

112

101.4652

113

101.518

114

101.5598

115

101.3924

116

101.5908

117

101.3228

118

101.3238

119

101.7031

120

101.408

121

101.6101

122

101.2874

123

101.4114

124

100.8565

125

100.9257

126

100.772

127

100.9772

128

100.8621

129

101.046

130

101.0064

131

101.0284

132

101.037

133

100.9138

134

101.0594

135

101.1412

136

100.9234

137

100.8903

138

100.7993

139

100.6281

140

100.5216

141

100.6243

142

100.7178

143

100.6609

144

101.1731

145

101.1077

146

101.3001

147

100.9863

148

100.5394

149

100.6243

150

100.6503

151

100.7618

152

100.767

153

100.5647

154

100.8303

155

100.7891

156

100.9047

157

100.7441

158

100.9457

159

101.1915

160

100.9298

161

100.8146

162

100.8669

163

100.8727

164

100.9292

165

101.043

166

100.978

167

100.8369

168

100.9026

169

100.9516

170

101.1893

171

101.4619

172

101.545

173

101.7426

174

101.7557

175

101.7394

176

101.8117

177

101.8142

178

102.1279

179

102.4496

180

102.2807

181

102.0231

182

102.052

183

102.1783

184

102.0157

185

101.8481

186

101.7448

187

101.7868

188

101.7059

189

101.7153

190

101.7793

191

101.6149

192

101.8844

193

101.7802

194

101.6819

195

101.7434

196

101.7521

197

101.954

198

102.042

199

102.3241

200

102.3406

201

102.3745

202

102.6213

203

102.5305

204

102.5754

205

102.4165

206

102.4114

207

102.4954

208

102.5079

209

102.4131

210

102.4624

211

102.4

212

102.1817

213

102.3754

214

102.572

215

102.6159

216

102.7318

217

102.8287

218

102.9682

219

102.6965

220

102.6034

221

102.5827

222

102.6065

223

102.5627

224

102.424

225

102.3472

226

102.3551

227

102.8838

228

102.9846

229

103.0713

230

102.9567

231

103.1076

232

103.2714

233

103.2058

234

102.911

235

102.7853

236

102.7673

237

102.589

238

102.8798

239

102.8874

240

102.8638

241

102.5776

242

102.7228

243

102.5743

244

102.4704

245

102.388

246

102.4778

247

102.743

248

102.8299

249

102.9412

250

103.0922

251

102.9791

252

102.8974

253

102.8145

254

102.7364

255

102.883

256

102.9305

257

102.8392

258

103.1381

259

103.1919

260

103.2689

261

103.3653

262

103.3193

263

103.436

264

103.4107

265

103.2795

266

103.393

267

103.2435

268

103.0255

269

103.405

270

103.304

271

103.1047

272

103.2118

273

103.6348

274

103.4866

275

103.4667

276

103.2832

277

103.7141

278

103.3916

279

103.4762

280

103.6073

281

103.7575

282

103.5653

283

104.0013

284

104.0602

285

103.9431

286

104.0214

287

104.321

288

104.3102

289

104.5273

290

104.346

291

104.329

292

104.3458

293

104.3288

294

104.0785

295

104.194

296

104.112

297

104.3786

298

104.6167

299

104.424

300

104.2459

301

104.2624

302

104.2551

303

104.3591

304

104.2414

305

103.9532

306

103.8722

307

103.7966

308

103.825

309

103.8155

310

104.1499

311

104.1742

312

104.1621

313

104.3104

314

104.191

315

104.1652

316

104.045

317

104.3076

318

104.1525

319

103.8911

320

104.2136

321

104.2841

322

104.09

323

104.1723

324

104.0596

325

103.9041

326

103.8278

327

103.6226

328

103.5422

329

103.5535

330

103.478

331

103.446

332

103.4193

333

103.1682

334

102.7523

335

102.6319

336

102.5159

337

102.4504

338

102.5919

339

102.8059

340

102.7266

341

102.8439

342

102.9243

343

102.6842

344

102.5894

345

102.9076

346

102.9646

347

102.9133

348

103.2371

349

103.4284

350

103.1923

351

103.1789

352

103.2673

353

103.5483

354

103.5968

355

103.7676

356

103.8338

357

103.6463

358

103.6016

359

103.5925

360

103.5017

361

103.8107

362

103.6225

363

103.6588

364

103.7212

365

103.7969

366

104.0871