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Euro vs. Mexican peso (EURMXN) Seasonality

Over 1999 to 2025 (27 years of data), EURMXN has tended to move long between 10.07 and 05.09, closing higher in 59.3% of those years for an average +1.49% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.80.

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
10.07 → 05.09	Long	59.3%	+1.49%	0.80	27
11.07 → 05.09	Long	59.3%	+1.48%	0.79	27
12.07 → 05.09	Long	59.3%	+1.46%	0.78	27
09.07 → 07.09	Long	55.6%	+1.78%	0.91	27
13.07 → 02.09	Long	55.6%	+1.76%	0.99	27
13.07 → 07.09	Long	55.6%	+1.76%	0.89	27
07.07 → 04.09	Long	55.6%	+1.73%	0.92	27
10.07 → 01.09	Long	55.6%	+1.72%	0.99	27

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