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Euro vs Pound Sterling (EURGBP) Seasonality

Over 1995 to 2025 (31 years of data), EURGBP has tended to move long between 13.07 and 07.09, closing higher in 74.2% of those years for an average +0.59% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.65.

Average seasonal curve

EURGBP average seasonal curve, 1995 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.1344
3	100.0757
4	99.9547
5	99.8717
6	99.8788
7	99.8976
8	99.8599
9	100.0433
10	100.1697
11	100.1605
12	100.2767
13	100.3518
14	100.2982
15	100.3448
16	100.3027
17	99.9634
18	100.0166
19	100.1739
20	100.0788
21	100.1095
22	99.811
23	99.735
24	99.7414
25	99.8319
26	99.7158
27	99.8266
28	99.7887
29	99.8757
30	99.8502
31	99.7339
32	99.8083
33	99.9686
34	100.1993
35	100.0356
36	100.2401
37	100.143
38	99.9134
39	99.9232
40	100.0636
41	99.8924
42	99.9572
43	99.8261
44	99.7064
45	99.6555
46	99.5948
47	99.6865
48	99.68
49	99.5801
50	99.6073
51	99.6153
52	99.5588

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
13.07 → 07.09	Long	74.2%	+0.59%	0.65	31
11.07 → 25.08	Long	74.2%	+0.56%	0.78	31
11.07 → 23.08	Long	74.2%	+0.49%	0.71	31
12.07 → 27.08	Long	74.2%	+0.49%	0.69	31
13.07 → 25.08	Long	71.0%	+0.74%	0.97	31
13.07 → 26.08	Long	71.0%	+0.68%	0.93	31
13.07 → 06.09	Long	71.0%

Explore further

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