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Euro vs Canadian Dollar (EURCAD) Seasonality

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), EURCAD has tended to move long between 11.07 and 05.08, closing higher in 76.5% of those years for an average +0.90% move and an annualized Sharpe of 1.06.

Average seasonal curve

EURCAD average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.8054
3	99.6685
4	99.7178
5	99.4746
6	99.4668
7	99.4684
8	99.3676
9	99.3711
10	99.4736
11	99.6044
12	99.788
13	99.7789
14	99.893
15	99.7407
16	99.6877
17	99.7028
18	99.881
19	99.9074
20	99.8546
21	100.0797
22	100.1346
23	100.0766
24	100.0277
25	100.0598
26	99.9625
27	100.1163
28	100.0453
29	99.8973
30	99.8768
31	99.8842
32	99.8762
33	99.9772
34	99.9073
35	99.8779
36	99.8712
37	99.8537
38	99.7853
39	99.7765
40	99.81
41	99.7719
42	99.6361
43	99.648
44	99.4598
45	99.5051
46	99.4609
47	99.634
48	99.478
49	99.4828
50	99.6788
51	99.6673
52	99.6247

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.07 → 05.08	Long	76.5%	+0.90%	1.06	34
12.07 → 05.08	Long	76.5%	+0.90%	1.09	34
11.07 → 04.08	Long	76.5%	+0.86%	1.04	34
07.07 → 12.08	Long	76.5%	+0.85%	0.86	34
10.07 → 06.08	Long	73.5%	+0.97%	1.10	34
07.07 → 18.08	Long	73.5%	+0.94%	0.72	34
10.07 → 05.08	Long	73.5%

Explore further

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