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Euro vs Australian Dollar (EURAUD) Seasonality

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), EURAUD has tended to move long between 12.07 and 04.09, closing higher in 73.5% of those years for an average +1.56% move and an annualized Sharpe of 0.79.

Average seasonal curve

EURAUD average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.6909
3	99.84
4	99.6361
5	99.6811
6	99.664
7	99.6786
8	99.7311
9	99.9078
10	99.9778
11	99.978
12	99.8827
13	99.7934
14	99.968
15	99.7927
16	100.0024
17	99.9967
18	100.001
19	100.0468
20	99.969
21	100.0057
22	99.8764
23	99.5918
24	99.7477
25	99.5085
26	99.5158
27	99.6171
28	99.5124
29	99.3854
30	99.6383
31	99.5719
32	99.6203
33	99.6161
34	99.7656
35	100.0267
36	100.1685
37	99.7986
38	99.3837
39	99.4061
40	99.2852
41	99.197
42	99.0467
43	99.2003
44	99.3299
45	99.0617
46	99.2535
47	99.1823
48	99.1379
49	99.0354
50	98.9803
51	98.7651
52	98.8734

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
12.07 → 04.09	Long	73.5%	+1.56%	0.79	34
12.07 → 05.09	Long	73.5%	+1.41%	0.70	34
13.07 → 04.09	Long	70.6%	+1.73%	0.90	34
13.07 → 26.08	Long	70.6%	+1.59%	1.01	34
13.07 → 05.09	Long	70.6%	+1.58%	0.81	34
11.07 → 04.09	Long	70.6%	+1.57%	0.76	34
11.07 → 03.09	Long	70.6%

Explore further

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