← All seasonality|Metals2012–2025

High Grade Copper (COPPERCMDUSD) Seasonality

Over 2012 to 2025 (14 years of data), COPPERCMDUSD has tended to move short between 13.07 and 16.08, closing higher in 78.6% of those years for an average +2.72% move and an annualized Sharpe of 1.26.

Average seasonal curve

COPPERCMDUSD average seasonal curve, 2012 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.7581
3	99.3109
4	99.6331
5	99.6451
6	100.0934
7	100.0573
8	100.5891
9	100.4878
10	100.8352
11	100.7558
12	101.263
13	101.5377
14	101.6222
15	101.6317
16	101.2645
17	100.983
18	101.2603
19	101.5446
20	101.7984
21	101.5695
22	101.2203
23	101.1145
24	101.5531
25	101.7262
26	101.4946
27	100.9797
28	100.6786
29	100.8711
30	100.8368
31	100.9458
32	101.004
33	100.2919
34	100.4834
35	100.9172
36	101.4212
37	101.7042
38	101.2902
39	101.2072
40	101.2455
41	101.8091
42	101.2724
43	101.8551
44	102.6472
45	102.5413
46	103.006
47	103.269
48	103.287
49	103.5296
50	103.9434
51	104.4666
52	104.4724

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
13.07 → 16.08	Short	78.6%	+2.72%	1.26	14
13.07 → 17.08	Short	78.6%	+2.54%	1.09	14
08.07 → 12.07	Long	78.6%	+0.91%	3.23	14
08.07 → 11.07	Long	78.6%	+0.38%	1.51	14
13.07 → 14.08	Short	71.4%	+3.20%	1.47	14
13.07 → 07.08	Short	71.4%	+2.79%	1.40	14
13.07 → 13.08	Short	71.4%

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