Energy

US Brent Crude Oil (BRENTCMDUSD) Seasonality

Over 2006 to 2026 (21 years of data), BRENTCMDUSD has tended to move short between 11.10 and 13.11, closing higher in 80.0% of those years for an average +5.17% move and an annualized Sharpe of 2.07.

Years: 2006-2026
Category: Energy
Windows: 8

Best window

11.10 - 13.11

Direction

Short

Win rate

80.0%

Avg return

+5.17%

Sample

15 yrs

Average seasonal curve

Average path across the year

2006-2026

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.10 → 13.11	Short	80.0%	+5.17%	2.07	15
09.10 → 13.11	Short	80.0%	+4.95%	1.78	15
12.10 → 13.11	Short	80.0%

Embed this chart

<iframe src="https://www.analytics-fx.com/embed/seasonality/brentcmdusd" title="BRENTCMDUSD seasonality" width="480" height="240" style="border:0;border-radius:8px;overflow:hidden" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Explore further

Open in the seasonality screener →Browse all instruments How to read seasonality

BRENTCMDUSD average seasonal curve, 2006 to 2026
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.0059
3	100.4164
4	100.1855
5	100.2764
6	99.9646
7	99.9473
8	99.5776
9	99.6919
10	99.7548
11	99.8398
12	99.8362
13	99.6682
14	100.0279
15	99.7033
16	99.7149
17	99.8434
18	99.7713
19	99.7732
20	99.5559
21	99.9346
22	100.1133
23	100.0183
24	99.8662
25	99.6875
26	100.2374
27	100.1539
28	100.2642
29	100.4183
30	100.5081
31	100.3548
32	100.5025
33	100.5092
34	100.8494
35	100.5406
36	100.7238
37	100.9339
38	100.8918
39	101.1142
40	100.8185
41	100.8575
42	100.8911
43	101.757
44	101.8739
45	102.1241
46	102.3636
47	102.2728
48	102.6888
49	102.4909
50	102.5509
51	102.5529
52	102.7667
53	103.0076
54	103.1146
55	103.2951
56	103.0867
57	102.4134
58	102.4308
59	102.3625
60	102.825
61	102.9861
62	103.236
63	103.5712
64	103.8822
65	103.7074
66	103.282
67	103.2714
68	102.5604
69	101.0843
70	101.8802
71	101.9564
72	101.2069
73	101.272
74	100.5577
75	100.458
76	100.2744
77	100.1898
78	99.8554
79	100.4702
80	100.6843
81	100.5166
82	100.5947
83	100.7156
84	100.7394
85	101.2072
86	101.0758
87	100.4006
88	100.5062
89	100.3922
90	100.6001
91	100.822
92	100.4473
93	101.1061
94	101.8421
95	101.4791
96	101.6362
97	101.5681
98	101.397
99	102.1439
100	102.0011
101	101.8328
102	102.0837
103	102.5008
104	102.8404
105	102.8273
106	102.5869
107	102.57
108	102.5688
109	102.1106
110	102.1098
111	101.7451
112	100.7286
113	101.1471
114	101.5221
115	101.3447
116	101.1799
117	101.3657
118	101.0382
119	101.39
120	101.6848
121	101.8241
122	101.3307
123	100.9356
124	100.867
125	100.7877
126	101.4463
127	100.9848
128	101.2354
129	101.4831
130	101.3848
131	101.4585
132	101.7017
133	101.7798
134	102.0151
135	102.4965
136	102.7322
137	103.0605
138	102.7116
139	102.8718
140	102.7813
141	103.1247
142	103.0402
143	102.7685
144	102.8928
145	102.6864
146	102.8876
147	102.7877
148	102.6432
149	102.965
150	102.8043
151	102.1013
152	101.9174
153	102.3313
154	102.5431
155	102.1675
156	102.2176
157	102.6345
158	103.0573
159	103.0298
160	103.304
161	103.0389
162	103.3456
163	102.5585
164	103.2438
165	103.1293
166	102.7892
167	102.8203
168	102.6638
169	103.1966
170	103.3207
171	103.0197
172	102.9802
173	102.8535
174	102.4959
175	102.3038
176	101.969
177	102.1557
178	102.214
179	102.3278
180	102.3075
181	102.911
182	103.0034
183	103.0396
184	103.2341
185	103.4677
186	103.1798
187	102.4587
188	102.8205
189	102.6493
190	102.9008
191	102.9967
192	102.8608
193	102.7039
194	103.1162
195	102.7149
196	102.6489
197	102.4316
198	102.3511
199	102.5916
200	102.3769
201	102.3703
202	102.4574
203	102.4444
204	102.4909
205	102.2805
206	102.5041
207	102.561
208	102.5161
209	102.4546
210	102.6247
211	102.6974
212	102.4614
213	101.9484
214	101.6593
215	101.1161
216	101.0221
217	101.0885
218	100.9462
219	100.755
220	100.5882
221	100.8935
222	101.14
223	101.2681
224	101.2861
225	101.7468
226	101.3603
227	101.0003
228	101.127
229	101.2206
230	101.3878
231	101.3384
232	101.2398
233	101.0861
234	100.9812
235	101.3219
236	101.4033
237	101.6463
238	101.7137
239	102.5025
240	102.5839
241	102.8084
242	102.4241
243	102.5633
244	102.1127
245	102.2006
246	102.1596
247	101.9131
248	101.6329
249	101.8159
250	101.4037
251	101.6914
252	101.3978
253	101.5039
254	101.2093
255	101.4815
256	101.5199
257	101.4892
258	101.4809
259	102.3937
260	102.1161
261	102.2038
262	102.0364
263	102.0262
264	101.8536
265	101.81
266	101.6101
267	101.6359
268	101.8272
269	101.6342
270	101.7465
271	101.6333
272	101.7903
273	101.1736
274	101.3203
275	101.0552
276	100.9811
277	101.1655
278	101.6058
279	102.1884
280	102.5382
281	102.7557
282	102.6115
283	102.595
284	102.6601
285	102.4365
286	102.5486
287	102.2798
288	102.1966
289	102.3425
290	102.1903
291	101.9977
292	101.8132
293	101.6002
294	101.5614
295	101.6738
296	101.7859
297	101.6167
298	101.6288
299	101.7296
300	101.6858
301	101.7489
302	101.311
303	100.9968
304	100.7538
305	100.6759
306	100.5891
307	100.5055
308	100.5489
309	100.7325
310	100.7226
311	100.5503
312	100.3811
313	100.1103
314	100.4192
315	100.6271
316	99.9312
317	99.6454
318	99.5353
319	99.8916
320	99.7983
321	99.6566
322	99.5204
323	99.3768
324	99.3879
325	99.7525
326	100.1289
327	99.8811
328	100.1289
329	100.1381
330	99.4755
331	99.0756
332	98.6748
333	98.8879
334	98.4475
335	99.0176
336	100.3004
337	100.7256
338	100.7705
339	100.4082
340	100.1317
341	99.7095
342	99.4542
343	99.3728
344	99.265
345	99.1913
346	98.9266
347	99.3578
348	99.2487
349	99.2063
350	98.9898
351	98.9451
352	98.7071
353	99.2254
354	99.2018
355	99.4115
356	99.2819
357	99.7099
358	99.491
359	99.5235
360	99.9422
361	99.8701
362	99.757
363	99.804
364	99.6722
365	99.7711
366	100.092

BRENTCMDUSD average seasonal curve, 2006 to 2026

Index

Value

100

100.0059

100.4164

100.1855

100.2764

99.9646

99.9473

99.5776

99.6919

99.7548

99.8398

99.8362

99.6682

100.0279

99.7033

99.7149

99.8434

99.7713

99.7732

99.5559

99.9346

100.1133

100.0183

99.8662

99.6875

100.2374

100.1539

100.2642

100.4183

100.5081

100.3548

100.5025

100.5092

100.8494

100.5406

100.7238

100.9339

100.8918

101.1142

100.8185

100.8575

100.8911

101.757

101.8739

102.1241

102.3636

102.2728

102.6888

102.4909

102.5509

102.5529

102.7667

103.0076

103.1146

103.2951

103.0867

102.4134

102.4308

102.3625

102.825

102.9861

103.236

103.5712

103.8822

103.7074

103.282

103.2714

102.5604

101.0843

101.8802

101.9564

101.2069

101.272

100.5577

100.458

100.2744

100.1898

99.8554

100.4702

100.6843

100.5166

100.5947

100.7156

100.7394

101.2072

101.0758

100.4006

100.5062

100.3922

100.6001

100.822

100.4473

101.1061

101.8421

101.4791

101.6362

101.5681

101.397

102.1439

100

102.0011

101

101.8328

102

102.0837

103

102.5008

104

102.8404

105

102.8273

106

102.5869

107

102.57

108

102.5688

109

102.1106

110

102.1098

111

101.7451

112

100.7286

113

101.1471

114

101.5221

115

101.3447

116

101.1799

117

101.3657

118

101.0382

119

101.39

120

101.6848

121

101.8241

122

101.3307

123

100.9356

124

100.867

125

100.7877

126

101.4463

127

100.9848

128

101.2354

129

101.4831

130

101.3848

131

101.4585

132

101.7017

133

101.7798

134

102.0151

135

102.4965

136

102.7322

137

103.0605

138

102.7116

139

102.8718

140

102.7813

141

103.1247

142

103.0402

143

102.7685

144

102.8928

145

102.6864

146

102.8876

147

102.7877

148

102.6432

149

102.965

150

102.8043

151

102.1013

152

101.9174

153

102.3313

154

102.5431

155

102.1675

156

102.2176

157

102.6345

158

103.0573

159

103.0298

160

103.304

161

103.0389

162

103.3456

163

102.5585

164

103.2438

165

103.1293

166

102.7892

167

102.8203

168

102.6638

169

103.1966

170

103.3207

171

103.0197

172

102.9802

173

102.8535

174

102.4959

175

102.3038

176

101.969

177

102.1557

178

102.214

179

102.3278

180

102.3075

181

102.911

182

103.0034

183

103.0396

184

103.2341

185

103.4677

186

103.1798

187

102.4587

188

102.8205

189

102.6493

190

102.9008

191

102.9967

192

102.8608

193

102.7039

194

103.1162

195

102.7149

196

102.6489

197

102.4316

198

102.3511

199

102.5916

200

102.3769

201

102.3703

202

102.4574

203

102.4444

204

102.4909

205

102.2805

206

102.5041

207

102.561

208

102.5161

209

102.4546

210

102.6247

211

102.6974

212

102.4614

213

101.9484

214

101.6593

215

101.1161

216

101.0221

217

101.0885

218

100.9462

219

100.755

220

100.5882

221

100.8935

222

101.14

223

101.2681

224

101.2861

225

101.7468

226

101.3603

227

101.0003

228

101.127

229

101.2206

230

101.3878

231

101.3384

232

101.2398

233

101.0861

234

100.9812

235

101.3219

236

101.4033

237

101.6463

238

101.7137

239

102.5025

240

102.5839

241

102.8084

242

102.4241

243

102.5633

244

102.1127

245

102.2006

246

102.1596

247

101.9131

248

101.6329

249

101.8159

250

101.4037

251

101.6914

252

101.3978

253

101.5039

254

101.2093

255

101.4815

256

101.5199

257

101.4892

258

101.4809

259

102.3937

260

102.1161

261

102.2038

262

102.0364

263

102.0262

264

101.8536

265

101.81

266

101.6101

267

101.6359

268

101.8272

269

101.6342

270

101.7465

271

101.6333

272

101.7903

273

101.1736

274

101.3203

275

101.0552

276

100.9811

277

101.1655

278

101.6058

279

102.1884

280

102.5382

281

102.7557

282

102.6115

283

102.595

284

102.6601

285

102.4365

286

102.5486

287

102.2798

288

102.1966

289

102.3425

290

102.1903

291

101.9977

292

101.8132

293

101.6002

294

101.5614

295

101.6738

296

101.7859

297

101.6167

298

101.6288

299

101.7296

300

101.6858

301

101.7489

302

101.311

303

100.9968

304

100.7538

305

100.6759

306

100.5891

307

100.5055

308

100.5489

309

100.7325

310

100.7226

311

100.5503

312

100.3811

313

100.1103

314

100.4192

315

100.6271

316

99.9312

317

99.6454

318

99.5353

319

99.8916

320

99.7983

321

99.6566

322

99.5204

323

99.3768

324

99.3879

325

99.7525

326

100.1289

327

99.8811

328

100.1289

329

100.1381

330

99.4755

331

99.0756

332

98.6748

333

98.8879

334

98.4475

335

99.0176

336

100.3004

337

100.7256

338

100.7705

339

100.4082

340

100.1317

341

99.7095

342

99.4542

343

99.3728

344

99.265

345

99.1913

346

98.9266

347

99.3578

348

99.2487

349

99.2063

350

98.9898

351

98.9451

352

98.7071

353

99.2254

354

99.2018

355

99.4115

356

99.2819

357

99.7099

358

99.491

359

99.5235

360

99.9422

361

99.8701

362

99.757

363

99.804

364

99.6722

365

99.7711

366

100.092