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Bitcoin Cash vs. Pound sterling (BCHGBP) Seasonality

Over 2023 to 2025 (3 years of data), BCHGBP has tended to move short between 11.07 and 28.08, closing higher in 100.0% of those years for an average +7.99% move and an annualized Sharpe of 2.86.

Average seasonal curve

BCHGBP average seasonal curve, 2023 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	100.0235
3	99.5189
4	99.7421
5	99.593
6	99.5563
7	98.8906
8	99.4917
9	99.098
10	99.8109
11	100.1991
12	99.8922
13	99.4427
14	99.3878
15	99.8498
16	99.9389
17	100.1455
18	99.6186
19	99.0046
20	99.0488
21	99.2379
22	99.0393
23	98.8872
24	98.9019
25	99.1201
26	98.9698
27	99.075
28	98.6325
29	98.8094
30	99.0431
31	98.7893
32	98.508
33	97.8548
34	97.7902
35	97.1769
36	97.1809
37	96.9345
38	97.1175
39	97.3203
40	97.5037
41	97.5542
42	98.2973
43	98.6001
44	98.1636
45	98.5262
46	98.0998
47	98.0574
48	97.8205
49	97.744
50	97.9746
51	97.7855
52	97.4698

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.07 → 28.08	Short	100.0%	+7.99%	2.86	3
08.07 → 12.07	Long	100.0%	+6.38%	7.30	3
08.07 → 11.07	Long	100.0%	+5.52%	15.08	3
08.07 → 29.07	Long	66.7%	+18.52%	3.48	3
07.07 → 29.07	Long	66.7%	+16.51%	2.87	3
08.07 → 30.07	Long	66.7%	+15.50%	2.86	3
09.07 → 29.07	Long	66.7%

Explore further

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