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Australian Dollar vs Swiss Franc (AUDCHF) Seasonality

Over 1991 to 2025 (35 years of data), AUDCHF has tended to move short between 13.07 and 04.09, closing higher in 70.6% of those years for an average +2.11% move and an annualized Sharpe of 1.06.

Average seasonal curve

AUDCHF average seasonal curve, 1991 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.9915
3	100.0907
4	100.1832
5	100.2205
6	100.1766
7	99.8669
8	99.8766
9	99.7849
10	99.973
11	100.4085
12	100.5138
13	100.3994
14	100.3754
15	100.2112
16	100.0477
17	100.146
18	100.0899
19	100.233
20	100.4851
21	100.4295
22	100.3694
23	100.4871
24	100.3651
25	100.3862
26	100.4651
27	100.1585
28	100.224
29	100.3265
30	100.2698
31	99.9775
32	100.0227
33	99.7488
34	99.9511
35	99.8932
36	99.8297
37	99.7584
38	99.8909
39	99.6427
40	99.67
41	99.7935
42	99.9061
43	100.1044
44	100.0765
45	100.26
46	100.3721
47	100.2728
48	100.4275
49	100.4049
50	100.5261
51	100.5763
52	100.2824

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
13.07 → 04.09	Short	70.6%	+2.11%	1.06	34
10.07 → 04.09	Short	70.6%	+2.04%	0.89	34
11.07 → 04.09	Short	70.6%	+1.99%	0.91	34
07.07 → 05.09	Short	70.6%	+1.86%	0.81	34
10.07 → 05.09	Short	70.6%	+1.71%	0.75	34
10.07 → 06.09	Short	70.6%	+1.70%	0.72	34
11.07 → 05.09	Short	70.6%

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