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Australian Dollar vs Canadian Dollar (AUDCAD) Seasonality

Over 1992 to 2025 (34 years of data), AUDCAD has tended to move long between 11.07 and 17.07, closing higher in 69.7% of those years for an average +0.41% move and an annualized Sharpe of 2.55.

Average seasonal curve

AUDCAD average seasonal curve, 1992 to 2025
Index	Value
1	100
2	99.9149
3	99.9376
4	99.8679
5	99.7988
6	99.77
7	99.6025
8	99.6538
9	99.7428
10	99.9574
11	100.0273
12	100.2829
13	100.3196
14	100.2332
15	100.2426
16	100.0989
17	100.1566
18	100.2631
19	100.3923
20	100.4196
21	100.5086
22	100.5943
23	100.5161
24	100.4111
25	100.4691
26	100.4457
27	100.3508
28	100.5438
29	100.3807
30	100.339
31	100.2427
32	100.3798
33	100.2151
34	100.0594
35	100.2013
36	100.2162
37	100.1441
38	100.1804
39	100.2354
40	100.2191
41	100.2673
42	100.2023
43	100.181
44	100.1132
45	100.2762
46	100.2681
47	100.3451
48	100.2997
49	100.3819
50	100.5734
51	100.6717
52	100.5202

Strongest recurring windows

Window	Dir	Win rate	Avg return	Sharpe	Years
11.07 → 17.07	Long	69.7%	+0.41%	2.55	33
08.07 → 18.07	Long	69.7%	+0.39%	1.56	33
07.07 → 15.07	Long	69.7%	+0.38%	2.03	33
08.07 → 14.07	Long	69.7%	+0.28%	1.77	33
11.07 → 21.08	Short	69.7%	+0.13%	0.14	33
07.07 → 21.07	Long	66.7%	+0.60%	2.10	33
11.07 → 21.07	Long	66.7%

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