

Over 2021 to 2025 (5 years of data), ADAUSD has tended to move short between 22.07 and 09.09, closing higher in 100.0% of those years for an average +17.70% move and an annualized Sharpe of 4.58.
| Window | Dir | Win rate | Avg return | Sharpe | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.07 → 09.09 | Short | 100.0% | +17.70% | 4.58 | 3 |
| 22.07 → 31.08 | Short | 100.0% | +17.13% | 7.63 | 4 |
| 23.07 → 31.08 | Short | 100.0% | +17.11% | 10.80 | 4 |
| 22.07 → 01.09 | Short | 100.0% | +16.59% | 6.62 | 4 |
| 23.07 → 01.09 | Short | 100.0% | +16.59% | 9.17 | 4 |
| 22.07 → 20.09 | Short | 100.0% | +16.02% | 5.84 | 4 |
| 23.07 → 06.09 | Short | 100.0% | +15.98% | 4.75 | 4 |
| 23.07 → 20.09 | Short | 100.0% | +15.98% | 7.71 | 4 |